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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Alverca Penafiel
Tipps Alverca Penafiel Segunda Liga 12/10/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Penafiel wins the match.
1. Over their last 5 away matches, Penafiel has been very strong with a 100% win rate and an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Their offensive potential is at 79%, which is significantly higher than that of Alverca. This indicates a strong ability to score and win, especially when playing away from home.
2. Alverca’s home performances have not been convincing: the club has failed to win in their last 5 home matches and has conceded more goals than they have scored (4 against 3). Their offensive potential at home is only 50%, which is much lower than that of Penafiel.
3. Individual team statistics show that Penafiel has a better defense, with an average concession rate of 0.6 goals away from home, compared to 1.8 for Alverca at home. This suggests that not only is Penafiel more likely to score, but they also have a better chance of keeping a clean sheet.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
More than 2.5 goals in the match
1. Penafiel’s away performance: Penafiel has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 away games and has conceded an average of 0.6 goals, with an attacking potential of 79%. Their tendency to score away from home will contribute to the total number of goals.
2. Alverca’s weak defensive performance at home: Alverca concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, with a defensive potential of 64%. This trend of conceding goals at home, combined with Penafiel’s strong offensive performance, suggests the possibility of over 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Penafiel’s away match history: In their last 5 matches, Penafiel has always scored at least 2 goals away from home and has sometimes also conceded goals, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring matches.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes
1. Offensive statistics: Both teams, Alverca and Penafiel, show a tendency to score goals in their recent matches. Alverca has scored 3 goals in their last 5 home games, while Penafiel has scored 16 goals in their last 5 away games.
2. Defensive statistics: Both teams have also conceded goals in their previous matches. Alverca has conceded 4 goals in their last 5 home games, and Penafiel has conceded 17 goals in their last 5 away games.
3. In the last 5 matches of both teams, each team has scored at least once. Alverca has scored in 60% of their matches, while Penafiel has scored in all of their recent matches.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Penafiel wins the match
1. In its last 5 away matches, Penafiel has shown an impressive performance by winning all its games and scoring 16 goals. The team seems to be in very good form, which increases its chances of victory against Alverca.
2. Alverca has failed to win a single match in its last 5 home games. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than they have scored, indicating a lack of defensive solidity.
3. Comparing the offensive and defensive potentials of both teams, Penafiel appears to have the advantage with an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 21%, whereas Alverca has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%. Therefore, Penafiel is more likely to win the match based on these statistics.
Bet on the exact result
Alverca 1-2 Penafiel
1. Penafiel’s away performance has been impressive, winning 100% of their last 5 matches. This demonstrates the team’s strong ability to score goals, even when playing on opposing grounds.
2. Penafiel’s offensive potential is clearly superior to Alverca’s. With an average of 2.2 goals scored per away match for Penafiel compared to an average of 1.4 goals per home match for Alverca, Penafiel has a stronger attacking capability.
3. Although Alverca has managed to secure a draw in 60% of home matches, the team tends to concede goals, having let in 4 in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Alverca’s defensive potential is at 64% compared to Penafiel’s 21%, indicating that Alverca may struggle to contain Penafiel’s attack.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Alverca’s home performance is rather modest: 3 goals scored, 4 conceded, and no wins in 5 matches. Their offensive potential is 50% and defensive is 64%.
Penafiel travels well, winning all their recent away matches with 16 goals scored and 17 conceded. Their impressive offensive potential is 79% and defensive is 21%.
The match victory is likely to be contested between Alverca and Penafiel with a success probability of 34.21% for each team.
The probability of a draw or an Alverca win is 65.79%. The probability is the same for a draw or a Penafiel win.
The probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is 74.21%. The probability for under 3.5 goals is 81.05%.
Both teams have a 53.68% probability of scoring.
In summary: Alverca struggles at home, Penafiel shines away. The chances of seeing over 1.5 goals are high. The likelihood of a draw or a Penafiel win is also respectable. A match full of twists and turns is possible.
The potential number of goals
Alverca struggles to win at home with a 0% victory rate in their last 5 matches. However, they have managed to secure a draw in 60% of the cases. On the other hand, Penafiel is in great form away from home with a 100% win rate.
Offensively, Alverca averages 1.4 goals per home match but concedes 1.8. A 50% offensive potential is worth noting. In terms of defense, they have a 64% potential to stop the opponent’s offense.
Penafiel is more efficient away, averaging 2.2 goals scored per match and conceding only 0.6. An offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 21% are figures that could tip the balance.
The prediction for Alverca to win is at 34.21%, while Penafiel has an equal likelihood of victory. However, the most likely scenario appears to be a draw or a Penafiel win with a probability of 65.79%.
Regarding the number of goals expected, there is a 74.21% probability of there being more than 1.5 goals. In other words, one can expect a match with a minimum of 2 goals.
Finally, looking at recent performances, Alverca has conceded quite a few goals at home, while Penafiel has shown a strong offensive display away. The possibility of both teams scoring is 53.68%, adding excitement to the match.
In conclusion, it may be interesting to bet on a Penafiel victory or a draw with more than 1.5 goals scored by both teams.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
The conclusion of our analysis clearly indicates that Penafiel performs excellently in away matches, while Alverca struggles to deliver good performances at home. Alverca’s unfavorable statistics, particularly their weak offensive potential against Penafiel’s defense, make the outcome of this match predictable. The prediction suggests a victory for Penafiel or a draw, with a high probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match. It is also expected that both teams will score in the match, given their recent offensive performances. This information can help bettors make informed choices and maximize their chances of winning.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Alverca against Penafiel on 12/10/2024
1. Over their last 5 away matches, Penafiel has been very strong with a 100% win rate and an average of 2.2 goals scored per game. Their offensive potential is at 79%, which is significantly higher than that of Alverca. This indicates a strong ability to score and win, especially when playing away from home.
2. Alverca’s home performances have not been convincing: the club has failed to win in their last 5 home matches and has conceded more goals than they have scored (4 against 3). Their offensive potential at home is only 50%, which is much lower than that of Penafiel.
3. Individual team statistics show that Penafiel has a better defense, with an average concession rate of 0.6 goals away from home, compared to 1.8 for Alverca at home. This suggests that not only is Penafiel more likely to score, but they also have a better chance of keeping a clean sheet.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Alverca vs Penafiel match!
To not miss anything from the Alverca vs Penafiel match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 12/10/2024 in the Segunda Liga live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Alverca vs Penafiel
Lineups Alverca
Lineups Penafiel
Match Highlights Alverca vs Penafiel on 12/10/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Alverca vs Penafiel match on 12/10/2024 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Alverca and Penafiel
All statistics for the match between Alverca and Penafiel will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Alverca against Penafiel!
Form state of Alverca in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Alverca has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Alverca has a form rating of %.
Form state of Penafiel in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Penafiel has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Penafiel has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Alverca against Penafiel!
Average goals scored by Alverca in the current season.
Goals scored by Alverca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Alverca
Alverca has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Alverca in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Alverca
Alverca has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Penafiel in the current season
Goals scored by Penafiel in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Penafiel
Penafiel has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Penafiel in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Penafiel
Penafiel has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Alverca and Penafiel, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Alverca vs Penafiel: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Penafiel’s away performance: Penafiel has scored an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 away games and has conceded an average of 0.6 goals, with an attacking potential of 79%. Their tendency to score away from home will contribute to the total number of goals.
2. Alverca’s weak defensive performance at home: Alverca concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, with a defensive potential of 64%. This trend of conceding goals at home, combined with Penafiel’s strong offensive performance, suggests the possibility of over 2.5 goals in the match.
3. Penafiel’s away match history: In their last 5 matches, Penafiel has always scored at least 2 goals away from home and has sometimes also conceded goals, indicating a tendency towards high-scoring matches.
Forecast results from winflix for Alverca and Penafiel!
The last 5 winning predictions für Alverca
The last 5 winning predictions für Penafiel
How do I find the best forecast for Alverca Penafiel?
Finding a forecast for the Alverca Penafiel match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Alverca Penafiel on 12/10/2024 in Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca are the team's past performance in the Segunda Liga, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Alverca at home and Penafiel away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 12/10/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Alverca and Penafiel on 12/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Segunda Liga, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Alverca and Penafiel, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Alverca and the away win rate of Penafiel, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 12/10/2024!
The individual performances of players from Alverca and Penafiel can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 12/10/2024 at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Alverca and Penafiel, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Alverca or Penafiel on 12/10/2024.
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