Tipps America de Cali Independiente Medellin Primera A 16/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

America de Cali wins the match.

1. America de Cali has a better home record in the last 5 matches with 80% of wins compared to Independiente Medellin who has only won once in their last 5 away matches.

2. America de Cali has a higher offensive potential at home (43%) compared to Independiente Medellin away (36%). America de Cali’s defensive potential at home is also superior (7% against 21%).

3. The success odds make America de Cali the favorite with a probability of winning the match at 57.3% compared to Independiente Medellin who only has a 15.14% chance of success.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive performances of both teams are relatively weak. America de Cali scores an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Independiente Medellin only scores an average of 1 goal away.
2. The defensive performances of both teams are solid. America de Cali concedes an average of only 0.2 goals at home, while Independiente Medellin concedes an average of only 0.6 goals away.
3. The history of their encounters generally shows low scores. The last 5 home matches of America de Cali have seen fewer than 2.5 goals. Additionally, 4 of the last 5 away matches of Independiente Medellin have also seen fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. America de Cali has scored in 100% of their last 5 home matches, and Independiente Medellin has managed to score in 40% of their last 5 away matches, indicating that both teams have offensive potentials capable of finding the back of the net.

2. Statistics show that America de Cali has conceded goals in each of their last 5 home matches, indicating some defensive weakness. Therefore, Independiente Medellin has the opportunity to score in this match.

3. The Both Teams to Score prediction has a success probability of 51.35%, which is higher than that for Both Teams Not to Score (48.65%). This means that statistically, it is more likely that both teams will score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Independiente Medellin win the match.

Bet on the exact result

America de Cali 1-0 Independiente Medellin

1. Among America de Cali’s last 5 home matches, they have won 4 times and scored an average of one goal, indicating a trend towards a narrow victory.

2. Independiente Medellin has a poor away performance, only winning once in their last 5 matches, and have scored only 3 goals in these matches, showing a difficulty in scoring away from home.

3. The betting odds overwhelmingly anticipate a match with less than 4.5 goals (96.76% probability), suggesting a low-scoring match, which supports the prediction of a 1-0 score in favor of America de Cali.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

America de Cali’s home performance has been excellent with an 80% win rate in their last 5 matches. Their offensive and defensive potential stands at 43% and 7% respectively. They have scored 6 goals and conceded only 2.

On the other hand, Independiente Medellin struggle away from home. They have only won 20% of their last 5 away matches. Their offensive statistic is at 36% while their defensive performance is at 21%.

The probability of America de Cali winning is evaluated at 57.3%, with odds of 1.72. Conversely, Medellin’s chances are much lower at 15.14% with odds of 5.00.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 71.89% chance of having over 1.5 goals (odds of 1.45). Specifically, the probability of having under 3.5 goals is very high at 85.95% with odds of 1.20.

In conclusion, the statistics favor a win for America de Cali, possibly with fewer than 3.5 total goals scored. A bet on America de Cali with under 3.5 goals in the match could be interesting for this game.

The potential number of goals

America de Cali has a strong home performance, with a victory in 80% of cases. However, they have scored and conceded the same number of goals (6). Independiente Medellin has a weak away performance, winning only 20% of matches, but they have a better defensive record by conceding fewer goals (4).

America de Cali has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 7% at home. Independiente Medellin has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 21% away.

According to the probabilities, America de Cali is more likely to win the match with a chance of 57.3%. The probability of a draw is 27.57%, and Independiente Medellin’s chance is 15.14%.

The match has a high probability (71.89%) of more than 1.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals is also very likely, with a chance of 85.95%.

The probability of both teams scoring is 51.35%. The recent performances of the teams support this probability, as both teams have managed to score in their previous matches.

Taking these factors into account, a possible prediction for the match is a victory for America de Cali with more than 1.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the various predictive elements strongly suggest a victory for América de Cali in their match against Independiente Medellín. Their exceptional home performance with an 80% win rate combined with a strong home offensive potential (43%) clearly indicates that they are the favorites for this match. However, while the odds indicate a high probability of less than 3.5 goals, statistics also reveal a possibility of both teams scoring. This could make the match interesting for bettors looking for higher value.

Furthermore, even though Independiente Medellín struggles away from home, their higher defensive success rate (21%) could give them a chance to resist América de Cali’s offense. Nevertheless, considering all the information, the safest bet seems to be a victory for América de Cali with less than 3.5 total goals scored.