Tipps Amiens Ajaccio Ligue 2 19/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Ajaccio wins the match.

1. Ajaccio has a high probability of drawing as they have drawn in 40% of their last 5 away matches. Additionally, they have a solid defense to contain Amiens’ attack, conceding only 1.2 goals per match on average away from home.
2. The stats heavily discourage a home win for Amiens, as they have lost 80% of their last 5 home matches. Conversely, this increases Ajaccio’s chances of winning or drawing.
3. The confidence level for the “Draw or Ajaccio wins” prediction is at 100% based on the provided data. For most bettors, this is a key factor even though one can never be 100% certain.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The past performances of both teams show a low scoring trend. Amiens has scored 8 goals in 5 home games (average of 1.6 per match) and Ajaccio only 2 goals in 5 away games (average of 0.4 per match). This gives an average total of 2 goals per match.

2. The defensive potentials of both teams are high with 64% for Amiens and 43% for Ajaccio. This indicates a higher likelihood of a match with a low number of goals.

3. The recent home matches of Amiens and away matches of Ajaccio have also shown a trend towards low scores. In the last 5 matches, only two of them have seen more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Amiens has demonstrated a strong defensive performance at home, conceding on average only 1.8 goals per match despite Ajaccio’s weak offensive capabilities away from home, where they score an average of 1 goal per match. This indicates a higher probability that Ajaccio will not be able to score in this match.
2. Ajaccio has a very poor offensive performance when playing away, with an offensive efficiency percentage of only 36%. This means they struggle to score, further supporting the idea that they will not score in this match.
3. Ajaccio’s recent away matches also show a tendency not to score. In their last 5 matches, they only scored in 40% of cases, most of the time finishing the match without finding the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Ajaccio wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Amiens 1-1 Ajaccio

1. Amiens has shown a strong ability to score goals at home in past performances (8 goals in 5 matches), suggesting they are likely to score in this match.

2. Ajaccio has displayed poor performance away from home, scoring only 2 goals in 5 matches and losing most of these matches. However, they have managed to secure draws in 40% of cases, indicating they could level the score against Amiens.

3. The odds analysis indicates a high probability of a draw (50%) and similar success rates for Amiens and Ajaccio winning the match (0% and 50% respectively). This suggests some uncertainty about the match outcome, strengthening the hypothesis of a possible draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Amiens is showing strong form at home with 80% recent victories. Ajaccio struggles away, with no wins in the last 5 outings.

Amiens averages 1.2 goals scored at home and concedes 1.8. While they are efficient offensively at 43%, their defense needs improvement at 64%.

For Ajaccio, scoring away is challenging with an average of 1 goal. With a defensive rate of 43% and a low offensive success rate of 36%, improvement is necessary.

The indicated probability favors a draw or an Ajaccio win at 100%. However, Amiens should not be underestimated at home.

With a 50% probability, over 1.5 goals could be scored in the match. Nevertheless, Ajaccio’s recent low scoring rate could reverse this trend.

Recent matches show mixed performance for both teams, with Amiens appearing more dominant at home.

Based on these factors, a draw or an Ajaccio win seems the safest bet according to the odds of 1.65. However, Amiens’ home performance could spring a surprise.

The potential number of goals

Amiens has had a remarkable performance at home, with a win in 80% of its last 5 matches. However, Amiens’ offense is moderate, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Defensively, they often concede, allowing an average of 1.8 goals per match.

On the other hand, Ajaccio struggles to secure wins away, with no victories in its last 5 matches, but manages to keep tight scores by conceding an average of 1 goal per match. Their attack is also limited, averaging 1 goal per match.

The probability of the match ending in a draw or an Ajaccio win is 100%, with odds of 1.65. This is a strong indicator for making a prediction.

Based on the trend of less than 2.5 goals being scored in their matches, the forecast might lean towards a match with under 2.5 goals, with odds of 1.45.

In conclusion, this match could end in a draw or an Ajaccio win with less than 2.5 goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis demonstrated by recent statistics and the performances of both teams suggest several points. Firstly, a draw or a victory for Ajaccio is the safest bet, considering their recent away performances and struggles of Amiens at home. Secondly, a match with less than 2.5 goals is highly likely, as indicated by the lack of offensive efficiency from both teams. Thirdly, the chances of both teams scoring seem low, especially when considering Ajaccio’s offensive weaknesses. Lastly, although the riskiest bet, Ajaccio’s victory could offer an interesting value bet, taking into account Amiens’ vulnerability at home.

Remember though that every bet comes with risks and nothing is ever certain in the world of football. It is important to carefully analyze statistics, performances, and the current form of the teams before placing a bet. The match between Amiens and Ajaccio looks to be both unpredictable and exciting, with many factors at play. This is one of the beauties of football and one of the reasons why sports betting is so popular. Good luck!