Tipps Amiens Clermont Foot Ligue 2 20/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Amiens wins the match.

1. Amiens has a good home record in the last 5 matches with a 40% win rate and 20% draws, demonstrating some solid performance on familiar turf.
2. Clermont Foot appears to struggle away from home, with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches and a more vulnerable defense (conceding an average of 1.4 goals per away match).
3. The probability percentage of the match ending in a draw or an Amiens win is quite high (63.02%), indicating a statistically favorable trend towards such an outcome.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics reveal a rather low average of goals scored by both teams. In particular, Clermont Foot scores an average of 0.8 goals per match and Amiens scores an average of 1 goal per match.

2. In terms of defensive results, it also appears that these teams show defensive solidity with an average of 1 goal conceded for Amiens and 1.4 goals conceded for Clermont Foot.

3. Past matches also show a trend towards low scores: most of the recent home matches of Amiens and away matches of Clermont Foot have produced less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The offensive potential of Clermont Foot away from home is relatively low (29%) with an average of only 0.8 goals scored per game, indicating a low probability that they will score during the match.
2. Amiens has a solid defensive potential of 36% at home, indicating a certain ability to prevent the opposing team from scoring.
3. Statistics from the last 5 matches show that Amiens managed to keep a clean sheet in 40% of cases at home, while Clermont Foot failed to score in 80% of its away matches, confirming the trend that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Amiens 1-1 Clermont Foot

1. The statistics reveal that Amiens and Clermont Foot have an average offensive potential (Amiens at 36% and Clermont at 29%), making a 1-1 score plausible. In addition, on average, Amiens scores one goal per home match, while Clermont Foot scores 0.8 goals away.

2. The probabilities of victory are quite balanced between Amiens and Clermont Foot (34.38% and 36.98% respectively), suggesting that both teams could struggle to distinguish themselves, thus favoring the prediction of a draw.

3. Considering the exact score and based on the recent goals scored/conceded by both teams, the match is statistically more likely to end with less than 2.5 goals (probability of 91.67%). This is in line with the prediction of a 1-1 score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Amiens has won two out of five of its last home matches, scoring 7 goals and conceding 10. Clermont Foot only wins one out of five away matches, scoring 3 goals and conceding 4. This reflects Amiens’ offensive potential of 36% at home, compared to Clermont Foot’s 29% offensive potential away. Let’s not forget about the defensive potential: Amiens is at 36% at home, Clermont Foot at 50% away.

Based on the win-draw-loss ratio: Amiens has a 34.38% chance of winning, a draw has a 28.65% chance, and Clermont Foot has a 36.98% chance of winning.

The probabilities are higher for less than 1.5 goals in the match at 2.60, and even higher for less than 3.5 goals at 91.67%, with odds of 1.18.

Both teams seem to struggle to score, with only a 44.79% chance that both teams will score and a higher probability of 55.21% that they will not.

In conclusion, this could be a close match considering Amiens’ current form at home and Clermont Foot’s away form. Consider the match ending with fewer than 3.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Amiens, at home, has a decent performance with a 40% win rate and a 20% draw rate. Its offensive and defensive performances are balanced with a potential of 36% each. In terms of goals, they have scored 7 and conceded 10 in their last 5 matches.

Clermont Foot, when playing away, struggles to secure victories with only a 20% win rate and 20% draw rate. Their offensive potential stands at 29%, paired with a somewhat stronger defense at 50%. They have only scored 3 goals and conceded 4 in their last 5 games.

The chances of success slightly favor Clermont at 36.98%, still remaining close to Amiens at 34.38%. A draw is possible at 28.65%.

An analysis based on goals suggests over 1.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 63.54%. Both teams scoring stands at 44.79%, slightly lower than the option of neither team equalizing at 55.21%.

Recent analysis: Amiens has managed to remain unbeaten in 3 matches (Amiens 1 – 0 Lorient, Amiens 3 – 0 Red Star FC 93, Amiens 1 – 1 Metz), while Clermont has shown vulnerability (Lorient 5 – 0 Clermont Foot, Monaco 4 – 1 Clermont Foot).

Based on these indicators, a close match can be expected with a slight advantage for Clermont and potentially several goals on the horizon.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Amiens and Clermont Foot appears to be tightly contested, leading to a prediction that could go either way. However, statistics suggest a slight edge in favor of Clermont Foot with a 36.98% probability of winning compared to 34.38% for Amiens.

The offensive and defensive potential of both teams remains roughly equal, indicating a low-scoring match is to be expected. Based on this observation, the most interesting bets seem to be “Under 3.5 goals in the match” and “Draw or Amiens to win the match,” offering the highest chances of success.

Nevertheless, the prediction remains uncertain due to the fluctuating performances of both teams, underscoring the importance of tracking statistical developments until the start of the match. Therefore, a cautious bet would involve wagering on a limited number of goals while keeping an eye on potential variations that could challenge this prediction.