Tipps Anderlecht Ludogorets UEFA Europa League 24/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Anderlecht wins the match”

1. Anderlecht has a higher probability of success: Statistics show that Anderlecht has a success rate of 54.31% for this match, compared to only 19.8% for Ludogorets. This analysis suggests that Anderlecht has a greater chance of winning.

2. Anderlecht’s home performance: Anderlecht seems to perform well at home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 home matches. Although not a guaranteed win every time, they have shown they are capable of scoring an average of 1.8 goals per home match.

3. Anderlecht’s defensive efficiency: Anderlecht’s defense has shown some resilience, conceding on average only 1 goal per home match. Compared to Ludogorets’ 36% offensive potential in their away games, Anderlecht’s defense has a higher chance of thwarting the opponent’s attacks.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent performance statistics in Anderlecht’s home matches and Ludogorets’ away matches suggest that both teams are capable of scoring goals. Anderlecht has scored 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Ludogorets has scored 8 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The calculated statistical probability in favor of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is 55.84%, which is relatively high, reinforcing the idea that this prediction is plausible.

3. Both teams have shown significant offensive potential in their previous matches. At home, Anderlecht scores an average of 1.8 goals per match, while away, Ludogorets scores an average of 1 goal per match. This, combined with their ability to concede goals, enhances the possibility of a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Match History: Previous home matches for Anderlecht have shown they are able to score in 60% of cases (three out of five matches), and their matches have also seen the opposition score in 60% of cases (three out of five matches). For Ludogorets, they have managed to score in 100% of their away matches (five out of five matches) and conceded goals in 20% of cases (one out of five matches).

2. Goal Averages: Anderlecht has an average of 1.8 goals per home match and concedes an average of 1 goal per match. In contrast, Ludogorets scores an average of 1 goal per away match and concedes 0.4 goals per match. Both teams have shown an ability to score and concede goals, which strengthens the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. Probabilities: The probability of both teams scoring in this match is 56.85% according to the provided data. This probability is higher than the average of 50%, indicating that predictive models suggest it is more likely that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Ludogorets wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Anderlecht 1-1 Ludogorets

1. Home and away performance respectively: Anderlecht has a good home record in 40% of matches, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per match. However, Ludogorets has an impressive away record, winning 80% of the time and scoring an average of 1 goal per match. These statistics suggest that both teams are likely to score at least one goal, supporting the 1-1 prediction.

2. Draw perspectives: Both teams have a similar percentage of draws in their recent matches (20% for Anderlecht at home and Ludogorets away), which corroborates the likelihood of a draw. Furthermore, the success probability for a draw is 25.89%, which is significant.

3. Goals scored and conceded: Both teams have scored and conceded goals in their recent matches – Anderlecht has scored 7 goals and conceded 9, while Ludogorets has scored 8 goals and conceded 8. This trend of both teams scoring and being scored against suggests that a final score of 1-1 could be quite probable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Anderlecht, at home, has been a bit unstable. They have won 2 matches, drawn 1, and lost 2. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 9. Ludogorets, away, is performing well with 4 wins and 1 draw. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals: 8.

On average, Anderlecht scores 1.8 goals per home match and concedes 1. Ludogorets scores 1 goal per away match and concedes 0.4.

The probability of Anderlecht winning is 54.31%. The draw is at 25.89% and Ludogorets winning is at 19.8%. It is more likely that the match ends in a draw or Anderlecht wins (80.2%).

Over 1.5 goals have been scored in 80.71% of cases. The match is more likely to have less than 3.5 goals (68.02%), or less than 4.5 goals (85.28%).

There is a 56.85% chance that both teams will score.

Recent home matches of Anderlecht have presented some challenges. Ludogorets’ away matches show a strong defense.

In conclusion, the potential choice could be “Draw or Anderlecht wins” at odds of 1.22 or “Under 3.5 goals in the match” at 1.38, due to Ludogorets’ solid defense and Anderlecht’s instability.

The potential number of goals

Anderlecht and Ludogorets are set to face each other in a decisive match. Anderlecht has won two of their last five home matches, scoring a total of 7 goals. On the other hand, Ludogorets has won four of their last five away matches, scoring 8 goals.

Despite a 40% home win rate, Anderlecht has conceded more goals than they have scored, indicating a potentially fragile defense with 9 goals conceded. As for Ludogorets, despite a strong 80% away win rate, their goal record is balanced with 8 goals scored and 8 goals conceded.

In terms of the probabilities for this match, Anderlecht has a 54.31% chance of winning. A draw is also possible with a probability of 25.89%. Ludogorets remains the underdog with only a 19.8% chance of winning.

Regarding the betting odds, the most likely scenario based on the odds would be a match with over 1.5 goals (80.71% chance). There is a 56.85% chance that both teams will score.

In conclusion, this match seems to favor Anderlecht, despite a potentially weakened defense. Goal enthusiasts should be in for an exciting match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the available data and statistics indicate a favorable trend for Anderlecht, with an estimated win probability of 54.31%. However, Ludogorets’ impressive performances in their away games, combined with their proven goal-scoring abilities, should not be overlooked. Therefore, if they can overcome their underdog status (estimated win probability of 19.8%), they could provide attractive returns for bettors. The probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals is 55.84%, which could be another interesting betting option. Lastly, the probability of both teams scoring in this match is 56.85%, offering another appealing avenue for bets.