Tipps Angers Reims Ligue 1 29/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Reims wins the match.

1. Statistically speaking, Reims has a higher probability of success (41.88%) to win the match, unlike Angers who only has a 27.75% chance of winning.
2. The recent away record of the Reims team is rather positive, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, showing a certain solidity on these grounds that could translate into a victory against Angers.
3. Reims’ offensive efficiency away from home is higher than that of Angers at home. On average, Reims scores 1.4 goals per game away, compared to Angers’ 0.6 at home. Furthermore, the defensive efficiency of Reims away and Angers at home is the same (50%), favoring the more offensively efficient team, namely Reims.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Angers’ home goals scored and conceded statistics and Reims’ away statistics are relatively low. Angers, on average, scores 0.6 goals per match at home and concedes 1.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Reims scores on average 1.4 goals per match away and also concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match. These numbers suggest a total number of goals that should be below 2.5.

2. Analyzing the results of the last 5 matches, we also notice a tendency towards low scores. For example, at home, most of Angers’ matches have ended with 2 goals or less (Angers 1 – 1 Nantes, Angers 1 – 4 Nice, Angers 0 – 1 Lens, Angers 0 – 0 Dunkerque, Angers 2 – 1 PAU). The same trend can be seen for Reims away matches (Nantes 1 – 2 Reims, Marseille OM 2 – 2 Reims, Vissel Kobe 1 – 0 Reims, Machida Zelvia 0 – 2 Reims, Shimizu S-Pulse 3 – 0 Reims).

3. Finally, the probability for the bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” is 71.83%, which is higher than the probability for the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” (48.17%). The bookmakers also expect a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches show that Angers has scored at least one goal in 60% of its matches and Reims has scored at least one goal in 80% of its matches, indicating a stable offensive performance from both sides.

2. Angers’ defense index is 64% and Reims’ is 50%. This means that both teams have a high probability of conceding goals, thus favoring the argument that both teams will score during the match.

3. The probability of “Both teams to score” is 57.59%. This is a strong probability that strengthens the argument for this bet. Additionally, Angers has conceded goals in 80% of their last home matches and Reims has managed to score in each of their last away matches, further reinforcing the argument for this bet.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Angers win the match – 58.12% probability of success: 1.65

Bet on the exact result

Angers 1-1 Reims

1. The latest home matches of Angers show a trend of conceding goals while also scoring themselves, with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match and an average of 1.8 goals conceded. This strengthens the idea of a final score of 1-1.

2. On the other hand, Reims has shown a fairly balanced offensive and defensive potential in their recent away matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per match. These statistics favor a 1-1 draw.

3. The odds presented for the match suggest a close outcome. The draw has a success probability of 30.37% and both teams to score has a probability of 57.59%. These probabilities, combined with the past performances of both teams, support the prediction of a 1-1 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Angers have struggled to win at home, with only 1 victory in their last 5 matches. They have scored 4 goals but conceded 5.

Reims, on the other hand, has won 40% of their recent outings, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded.

Angers’ defense appears weak with a 64% concession rate. Reims’ attack is more effective with a 50% offensive potential.

The probabilities suggest that Reims is more likely to win, with a probability of 41.88%.

Both teams tend to score, with a probability of 57.59%. Expect a match with over 1.5 goals.

Based on these statistics, a draw or a Reims win seems to be the most likely outcome with a success probability of 72.25%.

The potential number of goals

Analysis:
Angers at home has a low win rate (20%), but a high draw rate (40%). They have scored 4 goals and conceded 5. Their offensive potential is modest (21%) while their defensive potential is quite good (64%).
Reims away has a better win rate (40%) but fewer draws (20%). They have scored more goals (6) than Angers, but have conceded a lot (9 goals). Both their offensive and defensive potentials are equal (50%).
Chances of winning: Advantage Reims (41.88% vs 27.75% for Angers).
Draw – quite likely (30.37%).
Safe bet – Draw or Reims win (72.25% chance).
Goals: More likely, over 1.5 goals (76.44%). Over 2.5 goals is also a good bet (48.17%). Very likely, under 4.5 goals (91.1%).
Both teams to score: Fairly balanced, slight advantage for both teams to score (57.59%).
Based on recent results, Angers has been inconsistent at home. Reims shows more consistency away, despite some fluctuations.
My prediction: Either a draw or a win for Reims, likely with over 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In short, statistical indicators, recent form of teams, home and away performances, as well as past results suggest a rather close encounter between Angers and Reims. Interestingly, the numbers indicate that Reims has a slight edge with a 41.88% probability of winning compared to 27.75% for Angers. However, the option of a draw or an Angers victory offers an interesting value bet at odds of 1.65. In terms of goals, statistics suggest a total of less than 2.5, with a 71.83% probability for the “Under 2.5” bet and a 57.59% probability for the “BTTS: Yes” bet, indicating both teams could score. Finally, considering recent trends and team performances, a 1-1 exact scoreline could be a plausible prediction for this match. It is important to note that these predictions do not guarantee a sure win, as football remains an unpredictable sport.