Tipps Annecy Amiens Ligue 2 13/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Annecy wins the match.

1. Recent statistics favor Annecy, with a 45.31% probability of winning and a 40% probability of a draw in the last 5 home matches. In contrast, Amiens only has a 20% probability of success in their recent away matches, whether it be a win or a draw.

2. Annecy’s offensive potential is greater than that of Amiens. On average, Annecy scores 1.4 goals per home match, while Amiens only scores 1 goal per away match. Additionally, Amiens tends to concede more goals than Annecy, with an average of 0.4 goals conceded per match compared to 1.2 for Annecy.

3. The probability for the outcome “draw or Annecy wins the match” is the highest among all options, with a success probability of 75%. In comparison, “draw or Amiens wins the match” has a success probability of only 54.69%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The match history shows a trend towards high scores. For example, the last two home matches of Annecy had over 2.5 goals (Annecy 2 – 4 Martigues, Annecy 3 – 1 Caen) and three out of the last five away matches of Amiens had over 2.5 goals (Dunkerque 5 – 1 Amiens, Boulogne 2 – 2 Amiens, Anderlecht 6 – 2 Amiens).
2. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams suggest a high-scoring match. Annecy scores an average of 1.4 goals per match at home and concedes 1.2 goals per match. Away from home, Amiens scores an average of 1 goal per match and concedes 0.4 goals per match.
3. The calculated probability for “Over 2.5 goals in the match” is relatively high at 46.35%. This suggests that the conditions are favorable for a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent Performance Analysis: By analyzing the last 5 matches for both Annecy at home and Amiens away, each team tends to score in the majority of their matches. For Annecy, this equates to 80% of their home matches, and for Amiens, this equates to 80% of their away matches.

2. Goal Statistical Analysis: Looking at the average number of goals scored per match, Annecy scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and Amiens scores an average of 1 goal per match. These statistics suggest that it is likely that both teams will score at least once in the match.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: With reasonably high offensive potential for both teams (50% for Annecy and 36% for Amiens), combined with relatively low defensive potential (43% for Annecy and 14% for Amiens), the chances of both teams scoring in the match are heightened. The defenses of both teams have shown weaknesses in their recent past, which could lead to goal-scoring opportunities for both sides.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 3.40

Bet on the exact result

Annecy 1-1 Amiens

1. The past results of both teams point towards a lower number of goals scored per match, with an average of 1.4 goals for Annecy and 1 goal for Amiens, which could explain a score prediction of 1-1.

2. Historically, Annecy tends to draw (in 60% of cases in their last 5 home matches) and Amiens has a low probability of winning away (in 20% of cases in their last 5 away matches), which reinforces the idea of a draw.

3. The odds for both teams scoring are similar (47.92% probability of success) to those for both teams not scoring (52.08% probability of success), suggesting that a 1-1 scoreline is a logical prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Annecy is stable at home, with a 40% win rate. They have scored 9 goals but conceded 10. Their offensive is at 50% and defensive at 43%.

Amiens struggles away from home with a 20% win rate and draws. They have scored 8 goals but conceded 9. Their offensive is at 36% and defensive at 14%.

The prediction favors Annecy (45.31%) vs Amiens (25%). A draw has a probability of 29.69%.

The “Annecy win or draw” option has a high probability at 75%.

Predicting over 1.5 goals could be wise with a probability of 66.15%.

The risk of both teams scoring is at a balanced 47.92%.

Based on their recent matches, Annecy alternates between failures and successes at home. Amiens struggles away from home.

In conclusion, bet on an Annecy win or a draw. Expect over 1.5 goals but fewer than 4.5 goals. Be prepared for the possibility of both teams scoring.

The potential number of goals

Annecy has a mixed home record: 2 wins, 3 losses. They have conceded more goals (10) than they have scored (9).

Amiens struggles away from home: only one win. They have scored 8 goals but have conceded 9.

Annecy provides an attacking spectacle at home, averaging 1.4 goals. Defensively, they are average, conceding 1.2 goals per match.

Amiens struggles to score on the road, with an average of one goal per match. However, their defensive line is rather solid, conceding only 0.4 goals per match.

The probability of Annecy winning is 45.31%, with odds set at 2.00. If you lean towards Amiens, the success probability is 25%, and the odds are set at 3.60.

A low-scoring match is expected. There is a 66.15% chance of there being less than 1.5 goals in this match, with odds at 1.36.

Both teams have almost equal probabilities of scoring, 47.92% for yes and 52.08% for no, both with odds of 1.87.

In conclusion, this match seems to favor Annecy at home, but a scenario of few goals appears probable.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis predicts a relatively close match between Annecy and Amiens. The chances of an Annecy victory are slightly higher according to these statistics, but a draw remains a significant possibility to consider, thus offering an interesting ‘value bet’. Betting on over 2.5 goals seems sensible given the offensive and defensive performances of both teams. It is likely that both teams will score, considering their offensive and defensive potential. Overall, for higher risk bets, the exact score of 1-1 could be an interesting option. It should be noted that these predictions are based on statistics and may not materialize. Caution is advised when placing your bets.