Tipps Annecy Martigues Ligue 2 23/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Annecy wins the match”

1. Annecy has a better recent home record, with a 60% win rate compared to Martigues’ 20% away win rate. Additionally, Martigues has not drawn any of their last 5 away matches.

2. Comparing offensive and defensive performances, Annecy scores more goals at home than Martigues do away (1.2 to 1). Furthermore, Annecy has a better defensive record with a 36% clean sheet potential compared to Martigues’ 43%.

3. The recent form of both teams favors Annecy. Annecy has scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 home matches, showing offensive consistency. In contrast, Martigues has lost 4 of their last 5 away matches, with their only win coming against potentially weaker opponents, Chamois Niortais.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both Annecy and Martigues have an average of less than 2.5 goals per match (scored and conceded) in their last 5 games (1.2 goals for Annecy and 1.2 goals for Martigues).

2. Probabilities calculated based on the previous statistics indicate a probability of less than 2.5 goals in the match at 1.60, which is higher than the probability for over 2.5 goals with a success rate of 40%.

3. The recent performance of both teams suggests generally low results in terms of total goals. The last home matches of Annecy and away matches of Martigues have often featured less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams clearly show that they have both been able to score goals in their previous matches. Annecy has scored 9 goals in their last 5 home games, while Martigues has scored 8 goals away in their last 5 matches, indicating that they both have a potent attack.

2. Both teams have a tendency to concede goals. Annecy has conceded 10 goals at home, while Martigues has conceded 11 goals away. This demonstrates some defensive weaknesses that could be exploited, making it likely that both teams will manage to score.

3. Past match details highlight that in the majority of games, both teams have been able to find the back of the net. In Annecy’s last 5 home games, both teams have scored in 4 matches. Similarly, in Martigues’ last 5 away games, both teams have scored in 4 matches. This pattern seems likely to repeat in their encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Martigues wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Annecy 2-1 Martigues

1. Home/Away Performance Statistics: According to the provided statistics, Annecy has a 60% home win record while Martigues has only managed to win 20% of their away matches. Additionally, Annecy has scored more goals at home than Martigues has scored away.

2. Score History: Looking at the score history, it appears that Annecy tends to score an average of 1.2 goals per home match while Martigues concedes an average of 1.2 goals per away match, further reinforcing the likelihood of a 2-1 score in favor of Annecy.

3. Match Result Probabilities: Probability calculations suggest that the most likely scenario is a win for Annecy or a draw with an 80% success rate. Since the prediction also includes a win for Annecy, this strengthens the argument in favor of this score.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Annecy is in good form at home with a 60% win rate in the last five matches. Their attack has scored 9 goals. However, their defense has conceded 10 goals.

Martigues struggles away from home with only a 20% win rate. They have scored 8 goals, but their defense shows weaknesses, having conceded 11 goals.

Annecy shows an average home offensive performance of 1.2 goals per match, and defensively they concede 1 goal per match. Martigues, on the other hand, scores 1 goal away but also concedes an average of 1.2 goals.

For the upcoming match, probabilities suggest an advantage for Annecy with a 47.03% chance of winning (odds: 1.95). There is also a 32.97% chance of a draw (odds: 3.25) and a 20% chance for Martigues to win (odds: 4.00).

Betting also suggests a 67.03% success rate for over 1.5 goals in the match (odds: 1.42) and 85.41% for under 3.5 goals (odds: 1.20).

By observing Annecy’s recent home matches and Martigues’ away matches, we can see trends. Annecy likes to score and, despite some defensive lapses, manages to gain an advantage. Martigues struggles away from home, conceding more than they score.

In conclusion, Annecy’s home form, combined with Martigues’ away struggles, suggest an advantage for Annecy. However, football always offers surprises.

The potential number of goals

Annecy has a solid home performance with a 60% win rate. They have scored 9 goals in 5 games. However, they have conceded 10 goals. Their defense leaves something to be desired.

Martigues, on the other hand, struggles away from home. In 5 games, they have only won once. Their defense is weaker than Annecy’s, having conceded 11 goals.

Notably, Annecy’s home offensive potential is 43%, compared to Martigues’ 36% away. Defensively, the ratios are reversed, favoring Martigues.

The probability of Annecy winning is 47.03%. The chances of a draw are 32.97%, and Martigues has only a 20% chance of winning.

Fewer than 4.5 goals have been scored in almost all previous matches, with a very high probability of 98.92%.

Taking these numbers into account, predicting a match with fewer than 4.5 goals seems to be a safe bet. Additionally, if you are willing to take more risks, you could consider betting on an Annecy victory.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In this match between Annecy and Martigues, everything suggests that Annecy seems to have an advantage at home, with a better overall performance and a more productive offense. However, both teams have shown weak defense, increasing the likelihood of a match where both teams will score. Considering the current form of the teams, goals could be on the cards even though the majority of statistics suggest a match with under 2.5 goals. Ultimately, sports betting is subject to unpredictability, and although the statistics favor Annecy at home, there are no guarantees in the world of football.

In terms of a value bet, the bet ‘draw or Martigues win’ presents a good opportunity with an attractive risk/reward ratio. The exact score, although riskier, seems to lean towards a 2-1 win for Annecy. Lastly, the lowest risk appears to be a bet on a match with under 4.5 goals, considering the goal-scoring performance of both teams in previous matches. Nevertheless, this forecasting game requires thorough consideration; in sports betting, any information is crucial to maximize the chances of winning.