Tipps Argentinos JRS Atletico Tucuman Liga Profesional 01/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Argentinos Juniors wins the match”

1. The Argentinos Juniors team has a high probability of winning the match at 56.12%, which is higher compared to the win probability of the opposing team Atletico Tucuman, which is only 25%.

2. Argentinos Juniors’ offensive potential at home is low, but they have shown more defensive efficiency. This means they can maintain a solid defense and capitalize on limited offensive opportunities to score and potentially win the match.

3. Based on past performances, Argentinos Juniors have shown more consistency at home, having won several of their recent matches there, including a notable 3-0 victory against Newells Old Boys. In contrast, Atletico Tucuman has shown more inconsistency away, indicating they may be vulnerable in this encounter.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics from the last 5 matches show that both teams have a relatively low average score. Argentinos Juniors scored 0.6 goals per match on average, while Atletico Tucuman scored 1.2 goals per match.

2. The defensive performances of these two teams are solid. Argentinos Juniors only conceded 0.8 goals on average per match in their last 5 home games, and Atletico Tucuman conceded an average of 1.8 goals per match away.

3. The odds suggest a 74.49% probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match, indicating a trend towards fewer goals in matches involving these two teams.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. The number of goals scored by both teams in their recent matches seems relatively low, with Argentinos Juniors averaging 0.6 goals per home match and Atletico Tucuman averaging 1.2 goals per away match. This trend may indicate that the match could end without both teams scoring.

2. Defensive statistics also show weaknesses in both teams, with Argentinos Juniors conceding an average of 0.8 goals per home match and Atletico Tucuman conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match. This is another factor supporting the hypothesis that both teams will not score.

3. Based on the previously stated success probabilities, “Both teams to score” has a success probability of 52.55%, which is an important factor in guiding the prediction in that direction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Atletico Tucuman wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Atletico Tucuman

1. The past performances of both teams show a trend towards low-scoring matches. On average, Argentinos Juniors score 0.6 goals at home and Atletico Tucuman score 1.2 goals away in their last 5 matches. The odds also indicate a preference for a match with fewer than 2.5 goals.

2. Both teams have identical win percentages in their last 5 matches (40% for Argentinos Juniors at home and 40% for Atletico Tucuman away). This, combined with a draw probability of 18.88%, suggests a close competitiveness between the two teams, making a draw likely.

3. The defenses of both teams seem fairly equal, with an average of 0.8 goals conceded by Argentinos Juniors at home and 1.8 goals for Atletico Tucuman away. The 1-1 score takes into account each team’s ability to concede at least one goal.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Argentinos Juniors and Atletico Tucuman have won 40% of their last 5 matches. Atletico Tucuman has a stronger offensive potential with 43% compared to 21% for Argentinos Juniors.

Both teams have scored similar goals (6 for Argentinos and 5 for Atletico), but Atletico has conceded more goals (6 against 5).

Probabilities indicate an advantage for Argentinos Juniors with a 56.12% chance of winning against 25% for Atletico Tucuman.

The match is likely to be more defensive, as the defensive potential is higher than the offensive potential of both teams. Thus, there is an 84.69% probability that the match will have less than 4.5 goals.

Looking at their recent matches, Argentinos Juniors has shown defensive strength, notably with a 3-0 match against Newells Old Boys and two 0-0 draws.

On the other hand, Atletico Tucuman has shown good away performances, as evidenced by their victories against San Lorenzo de Almagro and Barracas Central.

Overall, the match could favor Argentinos Juniors, but expect a tight and defensive game.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing recent performances, we can see that Argentinos Juniors has won 40% of their home matches, scoring a total of 6 goals and conceding 6. On the other hand, Atletico Tucuman has won 40% of their away matches, scoring 5 goals and conceding 6.

In detail, Argentinos Juniors averages 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match, while Atletico Tucuman, away from home, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match.

Based on probabilities, Argentinos Juniors are more likely to win the match (56.12%), but a draw or an Atletico Tucuman victory cannot be ruled out (43.88%). In terms of goals, the match is expected to have a low score, with a 69.39% probability of more than 1.5 goals and a 50% probability of more than 2.5 goals.

Ultimately, both teams are unlikely to score according to the probabilities (52.55%). In summary, it seems that the match could lean in favor of Argentinos Juniors with a low number of goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Given the detailed analysis above, it appears clear that both teams have distinct strengths and weaknesses that may influence the outcome of the match. Argentinos Juniors, with a higher probability of winning the match and a strong defensive performance at home, seems to be the favorite. However, Atletico Tucuman should not be underestimated, as their offensive potential and away performances could make a difference.

There is a high likelihood that the number of goals in this match will be low, considering the solid defensive statistics of both teams. The probabilities suggest a potentially defensive match, reducing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

Finally, despite an evident advantage for Argentinos Juniors according to the probabilities, a draw or a victory for Atletico Tucuman remains possible. The odds for Atletico Tucuman could offer an interesting value bet, given the potential for high returns.

In conclusion, a defensive match with a low amount of goals seems probable, with favorable odds for Argentinos Juniors but a significant chance for Atletico Tucuman to cause an upset. While betting on Argentinos Juniors appears to be the safer choice, a value bet on Atletico Tucuman’s victory may be an option to consider for bettors seeking potentially high returns.