Tipps Argentinos JRS Lanus Liga Profesional 30/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Argentinos Juniors wins the match.”

1. Argentinos Juniors has an impressive home performance in their last 5 matches, winning 80% of the time. This shows strong home form, which is an important factor in winning football matches.

2. In comparison, Lanus only wins 40% of their away matches in their last 5 games, indicating they struggle to maintain the same form on the road. This increases Argentinos Juniors’ chances of winning the match.

3. The odds for Argentinos Juniors to win the match are at a 43.02% probability of success compared to just 25.7% for Lanus. This clearly indicates that bookmakers believe Argentinos Juniors are more likely to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The home match statistics of Argentinos Juniors show an average offensive potential of 21% and a defensive potential of 43%. This means they score fewer goals on average and concede more, which favors a total score of under 2.5 goals.

2. Lanus’s away performances show they score an average of 1.4 goals per match and concede an average of 1 goal per match. This low number of goals scored and conceded also suggests a low-scoring match.

3. Recent statistics show a success rate of 39.11% for over 2.5 goals in the match, which is lower than the success probability for under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams are relatively balanced. Lanus has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match in their last 5 away games, while Argentinos Juniors has scored an average of 0.6 goals per home match over the same period. Furthermore, Argentinos Juniors has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, while Lanus has conceded an average of 1 goal per match. These numbers suggest that both teams have the ability to score at least one goal.

2. The recent match history of each team shows a trend towards results with goals from both sides. In Argentinos Juniors’ last 5 home games, 3 have seen goals from both teams. Similarly, in Lanus’ last 5 away games, goals from both sides were scored in 3 matches.

3. The ‘both teams to score’ bet has a success rate of 50.28% according to the provided data. Although this is a relatively balanced rate, it slightly favors the idea that both teams will score in their next encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Argentinos Juniors win the match – 1.30

Bet on the exact result

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Lanus.

1. The teams Argentinos Juniors and Lanus have shown consistency in their ability to score goals in their recent matches. Argentinos Juniors has scored an average of 0.6 goals per match and Lanus has scored an average of 1.4 goals per match, which could indicate the likelihood of a goal being scored by each team.

2. Both teams have shown weak defense in their recent matches, also conceding goals with a defensive potential of 43% for Argentinos Juniors and 36% for Lanus. This indicates a probability that each team will concede at least one goal.

3. The draw outcome has a success probability of 31.28%, which is quite significant given the performances of both teams in their recent matches. Furthermore, Lanus has drawn in 60% of their recent away matches, supporting this possibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Argentinos Juniors has a good home form, with 80% wins and 20% draws in 5 matches. However, they have a balanced goal record with 6 goals scored and 6 conceded.

Lanus, when playing away, has only won 40% of their matches, but have not lost any, with 60% ending in draws. They have scored 8 goals and also conceded 8.

In terms of potential, Argentinos Juniors have an average of 0.6 goals per match in attack, but their defense is vulnerable with an average of 1.2 goals conceded. On the other hand, Lanus shows better offensive form with 1.4 goals per match, and a more solid defense with 1 goal conceded on average.

The odds indicate that the match is in favor of Argentinos Juniors with a 43.02% chance of winning. The draw has a 31.28% probability and a Lanus victory – 25.7%.

The bet “draw or Argentinos Juniors win” has a 74.3% chance of success. However, the “under 1.5 goals” and “over 1.5 goals” options for the match have odds of 2.94 and 1.38 respectively.

The last 5 home matches of Argentinos Juniors show a series of solid performances. On the other hand, the last 5 away matches of Lanus have seen a series of draws and victories.

In conclusion, the indicators slightly favor Argentinos Juniors. However, considering Lanus’s offensive potential and the trend towards draws, a draw or a win for Lanus could offer a good risk/reward ratio.

The potential number of goals

Argentinos Juniors is quite strong at home, with a victory in 80% of cases. However, they have only scored 6 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a weak offensive capacity (21%). Their defense has conceded as many goals, so these defensive weaknesses could be a concern.

On the other hand, Lanus shows a more balanced performance away from home. They are victorious in 40% of cases and have managed to score 8 goals. Their offensive potential (50%) is therefore stronger than that of Argentinos Juniors.

Based on the percentiles, the most likely scenario would be a draw or a victory for Argentinos Juniors (74.3% probability), even though Lanus has better offensive statistics.

The number of goals should remain below 3.5 (89.39% probability), as both teams have fairly similar defensive and offensive figures. The percentage of both teams scoring is almost 50/50 (50.28% for “yes,” 49.72% for “no”).

In summary, we can expect a closely contested match, with a likely dominance from Argentinos Juniors, but where both teams could score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match in the Argentine Professional League between Argentinos Juniors and Lanus looks set to be tight and intriguing. Argentinos Juniors’ recent home performances give the team a clear advantage, with an 80% win rate. When combined with Lanus’ uncertain away performance, the predictions clearly favor Argentinos Juniors, although a potential surprise from Lanus cannot be ruled out.

This proves that in sports betting, as in football, everything remains unpredictable. For bettors looking for value, a bet on “under 2.5 goals” seems like a safe option given both teams’ defensive performances, while a bet on “both teams to score: Yes” shows potential not to be overlooked. Lastly, a bet on the exact score offers a speculative element, while relying on the teams’ historical data.

However, as always in sports betting, it’s essential to consider all statistics, trends, and potential factors before making a choice. A thorough study of the teams, players, and match conditions is therefore essential before placing a bet.