Tipps Argentinos JRS Velez Sarsfield Liga Profesional 02/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Argentinos Juniors wins the match

1. Past Performances: Argentinos Juniors have had good performances at home with a 40% win rate in their last 5 matches. Even though the percentage is the same for Velez Sarsfield away, the home match history of Argentinos Juniors shows that they know how to resist against their opponents.

2. Defensive and Offensive Potential: Argentinos Juniors have a higher defensive potential (21%) compared to Velez Sarsfield (36%), suggesting they will be more capable of resisting in defense and preventing the opposing team from scoring.

3. Probabilities: The probability of Argentinos Juniors winning or the match ending in a draw is higher (68.09%) compared to Velez Sarsfield (66.49%). This means it is more likely that Argentinos Juniors will be the team to win or the match will end without a winner.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent performance statistics of both teams show a low goal-scoring rate, with an offensive potential of 29% for both teams.

2. The teams have strong defensive capabilities, with defensive potentials of 21% and 36% respectively. This means they are less likely to concede many goals.

3. The recent match history of both teams at home and away also indicates a low number of goals. For example, in three out of the last five home matches of Argentinos Juniors, the total goals scored was less than 2.5 goals. Similarly, in three out of the last five away matches of Velez Sarsfield, the total goals scored was less than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Defensive Statistics: The statistics indicate that both teams have good defensive performances. Argentinos Juniors concedes an average of 0.6 goals per match when playing at home, while Velez Sarsfield concedes an average of 1 goal per match when playing away. Both teams have managed to restrict their opponents from scoring frequently.

2. Recent Offensive Performances: The recent offensive performances of both teams, especially Argentinos Juniors at home, are not very impressive. Argentinos Juniors has scored an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, similarly to Velez Sarsfield which has scored 0.8 goals on average away. These statistics suggest that the offensive potential of both teams is not very high.

3. Previous Match Statistics: The statistics from previous matches show that there is not always a large number of goals scored in games involving these two teams. For example, two of the last five home matches of Argentinos Juniors ended in 0-0, and one of the last five away matches of Velez Sarsfield ended in 0-1, indicating they managed to keep a clean sheet. Furthermore, the probability of fewer than 1.5 goals in the match is quite high, reinforcing the idea that both teams may not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield.

1. Both teams have equivalent offensive and defensive statistics in their recent matches, with an average of 0.8 goals scored and approximately 0.8-1 goals conceded, predicting a tight and balanced match like 1-1.

2. The home results trends of Argentinos Juniors and away results of Velez Sarsfield show a frequency of drawn matches. In particular, Velez Sarsfield has drawn in 40% of cases away from home, with scores like 1-1 occurring frequently.

3. The provided probabilities and odds suggest that the most likely outcome for this match is a draw (34.57% chance), and that the game is unlikely to see more than 3.5 goals (97.87% probability), making a 1-1 scoreline very plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Recent performance of Argentinos Juniors at home shows signs of instability. With a 40% win rate and 7 goals in 5 matches, their performance is not impressive. Velez Sarsfield, on the other hand, has scored 9 goals on the road and also won 40% of their matches.

In terms of defense, Argentinos Juniors seems more solid, conceding on average 0.6 goals per match. Velez Sarsfield, however, has a weaker defense, conceding 1 goal per match on average.

The predicted probabilities for the match are quite balanced. Argentinos Juniors have a 33.51% chance of winning, Velez Sarsfield 31.91%. A draw is the most likely outcome at 34.57%.

The number of goals could be low, with over 1.5 goals having a 56.38% chance of occurring. Also, there is a 97.87% chance that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals.

There is a high probability (59.57%) that both teams will not score in this match.

Analyzing their recent matches, we can see that Argentinos Juniors have held two draws at home. As for Velez Sarsfield, they secured an impressive 5-0 win against Barracas Central.

Overall, this match seems to promise strong defense from Argentinos Juniors against a robust attack from Velez Sarsfield. The most likely outcome appears to be a draw with few goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Argentinos Juniors has performed well at home, winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7).

Velez Sarsfield, on the other hand, has a similar away performance. They have won 2 matches but scored 1 goal less than Argentinos Juniors.

In terms of offensive potential, both teams are relatively balanced with averages of 0.8 goals per match, showing existing scoring capabilities.

Their defensive potential, however, is different. Argentinos Juniors have conceded fewer goals with an average of 0.6 goals per match compared to 1 goal for Velez Sarsfield.

The odds analysis indicates fairly close win probabilities with 33.51% for Argentinos Juniors and 31.91% for Velez Sarsfield. It is also highly likely that the match will end in a draw at 34.57%.

There is a high likelihood that the match will end with fewer than 3.5 goals (97.87%). The probability of both teams scoring is 40.43%.

In conclusion, the match between Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield seems to indicate a close contest with few goals scored.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the predictions and analyses related to this match between Argentinos Juniors and Velez Sarsfield suggest a competitive and tight contest. Both teams have shown a solid defensive capability combined with a rather average offensive performance. This sets the stage for a match with a low number of goals scored, specifically fewer than 3.5.

Another interesting bet is the option of ‘draw or Argentinos Juniors win’, which is supported by this team’s superior defensive resilience and their track record of home performances. However, it seems unlikely that both teams will score.

Therefore, all indicators suggest that a final score like 1-1 is the most plausible prediction for this match. This forecast is reinforced by both teams’ recent results, offensive and defensive performances, and the odds offered by bookmakers.

For those looking for a “value bet”, the bet ‘under 3.5 goals’ seems to be an excellent option, with a very high probability.

Lastly, despite the balanced probabilities of victory for both teams, a draw remains the most likely result. So, be cautious in your bets and choose wisely.