Tipps Argentinos JRS Velez Sarsfield Copa de la Liga Profesional 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Velez Sarsfield wins the match.”

1. In their last 5 away matches, Velez Sarsfield has won 60% of the games compared to only 40% of victories for Argentinos Juniors at home. This indicates Velez Sarsfield’s better recent form.

2. Velez Sarsfield’s defensive potential, at 14%, is much better than that of Argentinos Juniors, which is 64%. This suggests that Velez Sarsfield has a better ability to defend and fewer chances of conceding goals.

3. Argentinos Juniors’ recent home matches show an unstable performance with 2 losses, 2 wins, and 1 draw, suggesting that they may struggle to maintain the consistency needed to win. On the other hand, Velez Sarsfield has shown greater consistency in their away matches with 3 wins, 1 loss, and 1 draw.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. Velez Sarsfield’s away performances show an average of 0.8 goals scored per match and 0.4 goals conceded, which could lead to a total goals under 2.5.
2. Argentinos Juniors, at home, doesn’t have a very high average with 1.4 goals per match, adding further potential for a total goals under 2.5.
3. In the last five matches of each team, neither Argentinos Juniors nor Velez Sarsfield has had a single match with a total goals over 2.5, reinforcing the prediction of a total goals under 2.5 for this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Argentinos Juniors has shown a strong offensive ability in their recent home matches, averaging 1.4 goals per game. This statistic indicates a relatively high likelihood that the team will score during the match against Velez Sarsfield.
2. Velez Sarsfield, although their offensive potential is slightly less impressive with an average of 0.8 goals scored per away game, the team’s ability to score is still present, especially due to their performances in their recent away matches.
3. Argentinos Juniors has conceded more goals (1.8 goals on average) than they have scored at home. Velez Sarsfield has also shown the ability to exploit opponents’ defensive weaknesses, which could allow them to score in the upcoming match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Velez Sarsfield wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Argentinos Juniors 1-1 Velez Sarsfield

1. The offensive and defensive potential of each team: Argentinos Juniors has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%, while Velez Sarsfield has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 14%. This shows that both teams tend to score few goals and concede few goals as well.

2. The home record of Argentinos Juniors and the away record of Velez Sarsfield: In their last 5 matches, Argentinos Juniors has shown some solidity by winning 40% of the matches and drawing 20% of the time. On the other hand, Velez Sarsfield has won 60% of their away matches and drawn 20% of the time. These figures suggest that the match could very well end in a draw.

3. The recurring score in previous matches: By analyzing the last home matches of Argentinos Juniors and the away matches of Velez Sarsfield, a pattern of matches with few goals scored is observed, with a 1-1 scoreline being common, as seen in the match between Argentinos Juniors and Defensa Y Justicia for example.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Argentinos Juniors, at home, has shown a mixed performance, with a 40% win rate and one draw in their last 5 matches. They have scored 9 goals and conceded 10, indicating a less solid defense.

Velez Sarsfield is in better form away, with a 60% win rate. They have scored 5 goals and conceded the same number.

Over the last 5 matches, Argentinos Juniors have averaged 1.4 goals scored per match but have conceded 1.8. Offensive potential at 50%, but defense at 64%.

Velez Sarsfield scores fewer but also concedes less with an average of 0.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded.

Analysis of previous matches shows Argentinos Juniors with a weak defense, especially with a 3-3 draw against Barracas Central and a 0-3 loss against Racing Montevideo.

Velez Sarsfield has a more reassuring away history, notably with wins against Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba and Independ. Rivadavia.

Even though all displayed probabilities are 0%, it is worth noting that the probability of having less than 3.5 goals in the match is 100% and both teams not scoring at the same time is also at 100%.

Taking into account Argentinos Juniors’ offensive needs and Velez Sarsfield’s solid defense, a prediction could be that Velez Sarsfield will win with less than 3.5 total goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Argentinos Juniors has shown a variable performance with 40% home win rate and 20% draws recently. They have scored 9 goals in 5 matches, an average of 1.4 goals per game, but have also conceded 10 goals, revealing a somewhat weak defense.

On the other hand, Velez Sarsfield has been efficient away from home with a 60% win rate and 20% draws. With 5 goals scored and conceded in 5 outings, they have a strong defense but an attack that leaves much to be desired.

Interestingly, while Argentinos Juniors score more, they also concede more goals compared to Velez Sarsfield, who score less but also concede less.

It is also worth noting that in recent encounters, the matches have mostly ended with a score of no more than 3.5 goals.

Overall, the match is likely to be tight, making it difficult to make a secure prediction. However, Velez Sarsfield’s limited offensive potential could be detrimental against Argentinos Juniors’ attacking prowess. Additionally, Velez Sarsfield’s defensive capabilities could save them from a defeat.

A highly tense match awaits!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Taking into account all these analysis and statistics, the logical conclusion would be to bet on a Velez Sarsfield victory with less than 2.5 total goals. Indeed, Argentinos Juniors’ attacking trend could be neutralized by Velez Sarsfield’s solid defense. Moreover, the match could be tight, with few goals scored on either side, hence the prediction of a total of less than 2.5 goals.

As for BTTS, it is possible that both teams score given their recent performances, but we do not expect an offensive festival. Finally, there are still many uncertainties about the exact score. A more definitive conclusion could be reached after considering additional information, especially on the key players available for each team approaching the match.

Remember that sports betting always involves an element of chance, and even though thorough research can increase your chances of success, zero risk does not exist. It is always advisable to bet responsibly.