Tipps Armenia FYR Macedonia UEFA Nations League 13/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Armenia wins the match.

1. Armenia has stronger home performances: Armenia has managed to win 40% of their recent home matches and drawn in 40% of cases. This demonstrates their ability to maintain a strong defense at home, which could give them an advantage in this match.

2. North Macedonia has weaker away performances: North Macedonia has not won any of their recent away matches and has only drawn in 20% of cases. This poor performance may indicate difficulties in playing away from their usual ground, which could make the match easier for Armenia.

3. Armenia has scored more goals at home than North Macedonia has away: Armenia has a 57% offensive success rate at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match, while North Macedonia has a lower 29% offensive success rate away, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match. This difference indicates that Armenia has a greater offensive potential, which could give them the advantage to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals”

1. Armenia’s home statistics and North Macedonia’s away statistics in previous matches have shown a low tendency to score goals, with a combined average of 2.4 goals per match.

2. Both teams have recently displayed relatively defensive performances. Armenia and North Macedonia have conceded an average of 1.6 and 1.4 goals per match, respectively, which could indicate a cautious approach from both sides, thus limiting the total number of goals.

3. North Macedonia has a poor record in away matches, winning in 0% of cases, suggesting that they may adopt a more defensive approach to contain Armenia. This could reduce the number of goals scored during the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. North Macedonia has a weak offensive performance away from home, with a success rate of only 29% and an average of 0.8 goals per match. This indicates that they may struggle to score in this match.

2. Armenia has a relatively solid defensive performance at home, with a success rate of 57% and only 8 goals conceded in the last 5 matches. This suggests they may be able to keep a clean sheet.

3. Statistics reveal that in previous matches, there has generally been a low number of goals scored and North Macedonia has consistently struggled to score away from home. Therefore, it seems unlikely that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 3.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Armenia 1-1 North Macedonia

1. Past match statistics: With 80% of Armenia’s home matches resulting in a win or draw and 20% of North Macedonia’s away matches ending in a draw, previous statistics suggest that both teams have a relatively equal chance of scoring, supporting the idea of a draw.

2. Offensive and defensive performances: Based on the data provided, Armenia averages 1.6 goals scored and conceded per home match, while North Macedonia averages 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per away match. These numbers further support the hypothesis of a draw with each team scoring a goal.

3. Head-to-head match history: Without further information on previous matches between Armenia and North Macedonia, the prediction of a draw is supported by the teams’ performances in their respective matches, showing they have the ability to score against their opponents but also to concede goals.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Armenia has been rather successful at home with a win or a draw in 80% of cases in their recent five matches. This gives an average of 1.6 goals per match both in attack and defense. It’s quite solid.

North Macedonia, on the other hand, is significantly less successful away from home. In their last five away games, they haven’t won a single one and have a low average of 0.8 goals scored per match and 1.4 goals conceded.

Looking at their recent performances, Armenia has shown an ability to score against various opponents. In contrast, North Macedonia has struggled on the road.

The current odds don’t offer a clear probability of success in assessing the match, making the evaluation risky. However, there is a high likelihood of seeing fewer than 3.5 goals in the match and it’s unlikely that both teams will score.

Based on these factors, Armenia seems to have a slight edge for this match due to their stronger home performance and North Macedonia’s weaker away form. However, football remains an unpredictable sport and anything can happen.

The potential number of goals

Armenia shows a strong performance at home, with 40% of wins and 40% of draws. It is also a team that scores goals, with 7 goals in their last 5 matches.

On the other hand, North Macedonia struggles away from home, with no wins and only 20% of draws. Their attack has trouble scoring with only 4 goals.

Armenia has an offensive potential of 57%, which is equivalent to their defensive potential. They are a balanced team overall.

North Macedonia has an offensive potential of only 29% and a defensive potential of 50%. They struggle to score and defend on the road.

It is unlikely to see a match with more than 4 goals (100% probability of less than 4.5 goals). And statistics suggest a low probability of both teams scoring (0%).

Based on these stats, Armenia seems to have the advantage, especially at home. North Macedonia should be wary of their weak defense and their difficulty in scoring.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, while football remains an inherently unpredictable sport, a careful examination of the past performances of both teams suggests that Armenia has a slight edge in this match, primarily due to their strong home record. Furthermore, considering North Macedonia’s poor away performances and struggles to score, it seems unlikely that they will trouble the Armenian team.

In terms of betting, betting on less than 3.5 goals in the match seems to be an interesting value bet: Armenia and North Macedonia have previously shown strong defenses, and North Macedonia’s limited attacking threat away from home leans towards a low-scoring match. Additionally, statistics suggest a low probability of both teams scoring.

Lastly, predicting the exact score is more challenging, but a 1-1 draw seems plausible, given both teams’ ability to score but also concede goals. However, it should be noted that this is a high-risk bet.

In summary, suggested bets would be to bet on an Armenia win, under 2.5 goals, both teams not to score, less than 3.5 goals in the match, and for the more daring, an exact score of 1-1. Caution is advised, and each bettor should decide based on their own analysis and risk tolerance.