Tipps Armenia Kazakhstan Matchs amicaux 07/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Armenia wins the match

1. Recent statistics show that Armenia has a higher probability of not losing this match, with a positive home performance (60% of the time they do not lose). This results in a strong chance for Armenia to either win the match or end in a draw.

2. Comparing the defensive performances of both teams, Armenia appears to be stronger. Even though Armenia concedes around 1.6 goals per match on average, Kazakhstan concedes even more (2 goals per match on average), giving Armenia a better chance of at least securing a draw.

3. The odds also suggest that the forecast “Draw or Armenia win the match” has a fairly high probability of success (71.13%). This assessment clearly indicates that bookmakers also consider this scenario to be very likely.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Recent statistics show that Armenia scores an average of 0.6 goals per match and concedes an average of 1.6 goals per match at home, while Kazakhstan scores an average of 1.4 goals per match and concedes an average of 2 goals per match away. These numbers suggest a possible low-scoring game.

2. Referring to the last 5 matches of Armenia at home and Kazakhstan away, none of these matches have seen more than 2.5 goals. This further supports the argument for a potentially low-scoring game.

3. The offered success probabilities for betting on under 2.5 goals in the match are high at 1.78, higher than those for over 2.5 goals in the match at 2.00. This balance of probabilities suggests that bookmakers are also taking into account a low-scoring game.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Armenia and Kazakhstan have both shown they can score, with an average of 0.6 for Armenia and 1.4 for Kazakhstan per match in their respective last 5 matches.
2. The defenses of both teams have also shown signs of weakness, conceding an average of 1.6 and 2 goals per match respectively. This increases the likelihood of both teams scoring in the upcoming match.
3. Statistics show that the probability of both teams scoring is 51.55%, which is higher than the probability of them not scoring (48.45%). This suggests that both teams are more likely to score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Armenia wins the match – 71.13% success probability: 1.44

Bet on the exact result

Armenia 1-1 Kazakhstan

1. The draw rate for Armenia at home is quite high (40%), indicating some difficulty in converting results into wins, thus favoring a 1-1 outcome.

2. Statistics show that Armenia and Kazakhstan have a relatively close average level of goals scored (0.6 goal per match for Armenia and 1.4 goals for Kazakhstan). Both teams scoring in this match is likely with a success probability of 51.55%.

3. Both teams have higher defensive potential (57% for Armenia and 71% for Kazakhstan) compared to their offensive potential. This suggests a more defensive game, where it is likely that each team scores a goal and then focuses on maintaining their defense to secure the result, supporting the prediction of a 1-1 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Armenia at home has a mixed record. Only one win in five games, but three draws. Not really an impregnable fortress. The numbers speak for themselves, with 5 goals scored and 7 conceded.

On the other hand, Kazakhstan away from home is not spectacular either. One win in five matches. They have scored as much as Armenia, but conceded one more goal.

In terms of goals per game, Armenia is weak offensively at home. Barely 0.6 goals per game. Defensively, they concede 1.6 goals per game, which is not reassuring.

Kazakhstan, on the other hand, scores more away from home. On average, 1.4 goals per game. However, their defense is more porous, conceding two goals per game.

As for the prediction, the probabilities are close. Armenia has a 34.54% chance of winning, a draw is at 36.6%, and Kazakhstan’s victory at 28.87%. Not a sure thing, then.

For the number of goals, predicting less than 1.5 goals is risky. In fact, more than 1.5 goals have a success rate of 69.07%. Expecting a match with at least two goals seems plausible.

Covering with a draw or Armenia’s victory seems wise. The success probability is 71.13%.

In conclusion, a close match is expected. Goals from both sides are possible. A sure prediction is difficult to offer, but the probabilities point towards a draw or Armenia’s victory.

The potential number of goals

In its last 5 home matches, Armenia has scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Away from home, Kazakhstan has scored the same number of goals but has conceded 8. The scenario is more unfavorable for Kazakhstan.

Armenia lacks offensive capabilities at home, with a potential of 21%. On the other hand, it has a solid defensive potential of 57%. Kazakhstan has a strong offensive potential away from home with 50%, and a defensive potential of 71%.

The probabilities suggest a rather tight match: 34.54% for an Armenia win, 36.6% for a draw, and 28.87% for a Kazakhstan win.

The scenario with the highest likelihood is a draw or an Armenia win, with a probability of 71.13% and odds of 1.44. Furthermore, there is a 69.07% chance that the match will have more than 1.5 goals.

When analyzing Armenia’s recent home matches, they have struggled to secure victories, with only one win against Latvia. Kazakhstan’s away matches have also been challenging, with a sole victory against Finland.

The probability of both teams scoring is 51.55%, indicating a potentially lively match.

In conclusion, an interesting bet would be to wager on “draw or Armenia wins the match” and “more than 1.5 goals in the match.”

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of statistics and probabilities suggests a probably close match, with higher chances for Armenia to win or draw. Recent performances of Armenia at home and Kazakhstan away do not provide strong assurances for a victory for either team. The safest bet with good value would therefore be to bet on “Draw or Armenia wins the match”, with a success probability of 71.13%.

Additionally, both teams have the ability to score and concede goals. Therefore, it is plausible to expect a match with a final score totaling more than 1.5 goals. However, considering the defensive weaknesses of both teams and their recent history, a bet on “Under 2.5 goals in the match” could also be interesting.

Finally, it is worth noting that despite their defensive performances, statistics suggest a high probability that both teams will score during the match. Thus, a last safe bet to consider would be “Both teams to score: Yes”.

Overall, although sports betting remains an unpredictable field, reading and interpreting statistics and probabilities can significantly support decision-making.