Tipps Arsenal Chelsea Premier League 23/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Arsenal wins the match

1. Recently, Arsenal’s home performance has been better than Chelsea’s away performance. Arsenal has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, while Chelsea has only won 40% of their last 5 away matches.

2. The success probabilities favor Arsenal or a draw, with a success probability of 84.1% for these two outcomes. In comparison, the success probability of a Chelsea victory is significantly lower at 15.9%.

3. Arsenal’s offensive and defensive potential at home is also an important consideration. Arsenal averages 1.4 goals scored and 1 goal conceded per home match, giving them a 50% offensive potential and a 36% defensive potential. Despite Chelsea having a 129% offensive potential and a 64% defensive potential away, Arsenal’s recent home performance suggests they can withstand Chelsea’s attack.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics show that both teams have high rates of goals scored and conceded: Arsenal with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per match at home, and Chelsea with an average of 3.6 goals scored and 1.8 goals conceded per match away. Since the average total goals scored by these two teams exceeds 2.5, whether they are playing at home or away, it is highly likely that there will be over 2.5 goals in this match.

2. In Chelsea’s recent away matches, there have been 2.5 goals or more in 4 out of 5 of these matches: Sheffield United 2 – 2 Chelsea, Brentford 2 – 2 Chelsea, Manchester City 1 – 1 Chelsea, Crystal Palace 1 – 3 Chelsea, Aston Villa 1 – 3 Chelsea.

3. The probability of the match ending with over 2.5 goals is 61.54%, which is higher than average, thus proving that the statistics and historical data favor a total of goals exceeding 2.5 in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. At home, Arsenal has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, while away, Chelsea has an average of 3.6 goals scored per match, demonstrating a strong offensive potential from both teams, thereby increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.
2. Recent away performances by Chelsea show that they have scored in every match, indicating a strong ability to score on the road. Additionally, Arsenal has managed to score in 4 of their last 5 home matches, suggesting both teams have a high probability of scoring.
3. Both teams also display some defensive vulnerability, with Arsenal conceding 8 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Chelsea conceding 12 goals in their last 5 away matches. This defensive weakness combined with the earlier mentioned offensive strength suggests a high probability of both teams finding the back of the net.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Arsenal 1-1 Chelsea

1. Match History: Over their last 5 matches, Arsenal and Chelsea have achieved 60% and 40% victories respectively. More interestingly, Chelsea has drawn 60% of the time in their away games, which could indicate a tendency for a draw in this match.

2. Goal Average: Statistics show that Arsenal scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match, while Chelsea scores an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Additionally, Arsenal concedes an average of 1 goal per home match, whereas Chelsea concedes 1.8 goals per away match. These data suggest an even scoreline, strengthening the prediction of a 1-1 result.

3. Probabilities: The likelihood of a draw stands at 22.05%, compared to 62.05% for an Arsenal win and 15.9% for Chelsea. Considering the 58.97% probability of both teams scoring, a 1-1 scoreline could be a realistic forecast.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Here is the translation:

Here are the key points of the Arsenal Chelsea match.

Arsenal, at home, is strong with a 60% win rate. They often score with 7 goals in 5 matches, but they have a defensive issue, conceding 8 goals!

Chelsea, away, has mixed results: 40% wins and 60% draws. Their attack is effective, scoring 11 goals, but their defense needs improvement as they have conceded 12 goals!

Statistically, Arsenal averages 1.4 goals per match but concedes 1 goal per match. Chelsea, on the other hand, shows an impressive offensive potential with 3.6 goals per match but struggles defensively by conceding 1.8 goals!

The probability of Arsenal winning is 62.05% compared to 15.9% for Chelsea. The draw has a probability of 22.05%.

Regarding goals, there is an 86.15% chance of having over 1.5 goals. Less than 4.5 goals have a probability of 77.44%, and there is a 58.97% chance of both teams scoring.

In summary, a match where Arsenal is the favorite, but Chelsea should be watched as they have the potential to score. Predicting at least 1.5 goals seems very likely. Arsenal’s victory or a draw seems to be the best bet with a probability of 84.1%.

The potential number of goals

Arsenal performs well at home, with a 60% win rate and 20% draw rate. However, they have conceded more goals (8) than they have scored (7). On the other hand, Chelsea has only won 40% of their away matches, with a 60% draw rate, but they have scored more goals (11) than Arsenal.

Arsenal scores 1.4 goals per home match and concedes 1 goal. Their offensive potential is at 50% and defensive at 36%. Meanwhile, Chelsea scores 3.6 goals per away match and concedes 1.8. Their offensive potential is an impressive 129% with a defensive rate of 64%.

Based on statistics, there is a 62.05% chance of Arsenal winning and only 15.9% for Chelsea. Additionally, there is an 86.15% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Looking at previous results, Arsenal seems more successful at home, especially against Bayern Munich and Porto, while Chelsea has managed to keep close scores during their away games.

In conclusion, it is more likely that Arsenal will win, with a high probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match. However, do not underestimate Chelsea. Their strong offensive potential could be surprising.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, for the upcoming match between Arsenal and Chelsea, recent statistics and analysis suggest several plausible outcomes. Based on their recent performances, Arsenal appears to have a higher likelihood of winning or drawing the match. Both teams show a particularly high offensive potential, indicating that there will be over 2.5 goals scored in this match. Additionally, both teams have a strong chance of scoring. A 1-1 scoreline also seems probable based on past performances and the average goals scored by both teams. Overall, an Arsenal win or a draw, with over 2.5 goals in the match and both teams scoring, appears to be the most likely outcome of this encounter, based on a detailed analysis of recent stats and performances. However, as is always the case in sports, no prediction can be certain and the match could hold its share of surprises.