Tipps Arsenal Paris Saint Germain UEFA Champions League 01/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the data provided, my prediction would be that Arsenal will win the match.

1. Arsenal has shown excellent form at home recently, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. This proves that they are a strong and confident team when playing at home.

2. Arsenal’s goals scored/conceded ratio in their last 5 home matches is positive (14 goals scored against 15 conceded), while PSG’s away ratio is negative (11 goals scored against 13 conceded). This means that Arsenal has a better defensive performance when playing at home than PSG does away.

3. According to the provided probabilities, Arsenal has a higher chance of winning the match with a success probability of 54.4%, while PSG has a success probability of 21.76%. These numbers show that based on the collected data, Arsenal is more likely to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. History of scores: Based on the data from their recent matches, Arsenal and PSG both have goal averages higher than 1.5 per match (1.8 for Arsenal and 2.2 for PSG). This indicates a strong offensive trend for both teams and potential for over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Defensive performance: Arsenal has conceded 15 goals in their last 5 home matches and PSG has conceded 13 goals in their last 5 away matches. Both teams have shown defensive weaknesses, which could lead to more goals.

3. Probability of over 2.5 goals: The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 56.99%, which is relatively high. This suggests that conditions are favorable for a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. In their last 5 respective matches, both Arsenal and PSG have shown a strong offensive capacity with an average number of goals scored per match higher than 1 (1.8 for Arsenal and 2.2 for PSG). This indicates that both teams have the ability to score during the match.

2. Furthermore, even though these two teams have good defenses, they have shown some vulnerability by conceding goals in these matches as well (an average of 0.8 goals conceded per match for both teams). Both teams have chances of scoring considering their defensive shortcomings.

3. Taking into account the previous results, we can see that in the last home matches of Arsenal and away matches of PSG, in a significant percentage of cases, both teams have scored. For example, in PSG’s last 5 away matches, both teams scored in 3 matches, which is 60% of the time. This strengthens the hypothesis that both teams will score during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

PSG wins the match

Bet on the exact result

“Arsenal 2-2 PSG”

1. The offensive performance of the two teams: At home, Arsenal seems to have an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, slightly lower than PSG who scores an average of 2.2 goals when playing away. This could justify a match with four goals shared evenly between the two teams, with Arsenal being used to scoring 2 goals at home.

2. The defensive performance of the two teams: Based on the information provided, both teams have similar defensive performances by conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match. This consistency could mean that each team could at least concede two goals, considering their offensive performance, during this confrontation.

3. The recent match results: The results of PSG’s recent away matches show a tendency towards draws (60% of draws) and a high number of goals scored and conceded. This reinforces the argument for the possibility of a 2-2 draw, as was the case in their last away match against Sturm Graz. Additionally, Arsenal has a tendency to score many goals at home, further supporting the idea of a high-scoring game.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Arsenal, strong at home, has won 80% of their last 5 matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding 15, with a defensive gap to watch out for.

PSG, traveling on foreign territory, has won in 40% of cases and drawn in 60% of matches, scoring 11 goals and conceding 13. Their strength seems to be their ability to stand firm.

Arsenal’s offensive power is at 64% at home while their defensive efficiency is at 29%.

PSG, on the other hand, has an offensive potential of 79% and a defense at 29%, showing the same strength in defense as Arsenal.

For this match, Arsenal shows a probability of winning at 54.4% compared to PSG’s victory probability of 21.76%.

Statistics suggest a preference for a match with more than 1.5 goals (82.38%), a probability of both teams scoring (58.03%), but less than 4.5 goals will be scored overall (85.49%).

Historically, Arsenal’s matches against Bolton, Brighton and Hove, and Lyon have been victorious, surely galvanizing them for this match.

PSG’s recent performances against Lille and Le Havre, as well as their draws against Reims and RB Leipzig, testify to their talent when playing away.

In conclusion, Arsenal has an advantage as the home team, but PSG should not be underestimated. An animated match with goals from both sides would therefore seem to be a solid forecast.

The potential number of goals

Arsenal has a high home win rate, at 80% in the last 5 matches. Their strong offensive performance has seen them score 14 goals. However, their defense has conceded 15 goals.

On the PSG side, away results are more mixed with a 40% win rate and 60% draws. They have scored 11 goals and conceded 13.

The average goals per match are 1.8 for Arsenal and 2.2 for PSG. The offensive potential is 64% for Arsenal and 79% for PSG. Their defensive capability is identical: 29%.

According to the predictions, Arsenal has a 54.4% chance of winning, compared to 21.76% for PSG. A draw is considered at 23.83%.

It is more likely to see over 1.5 goals in the match (82.38%) than fewer (4.15%). It is safer to bet on under 4.5 goals (85.49%).

The probability of both teams scoring is 58.03% compared to 41.97% for the opposite.

Looking at the recent matches, a powerful offensive from Arsenal at home can be observed. PSG seems strong away, with high scores.

Based on these numbers, it seems wise to bet on an Arsenal win with over 1.5 goals in the match. However, the fact that both teams tend to score should be taken into account.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this in-depth analysis of the match between Arsenal and PSG gives a slight edge to Arsenal due to their strong performance at home. However, the statistics also show some interesting betting opportunities for this encounter. Considering the increase in goals scored in the last few matches by both teams, a bet on a match where both teams score more than 2.5 goals seems reasonable. Especially as PSG will try to take advantage of their superior attacking potential. Ultimately, with more favorable odds for PSG, a value bet on a PSG win could be a bold but potentially lucrative option. In summary, it is essential to understand the different dynamics and opportunities before placing a bet. May the best team win!