Tipps Ascoli Cosenza Serie B 01/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Based on the statistics and recent performances of both teams, my prediction is: Cosenza wins the match.

1. Recent Performance: In the last 5 matches, Cosenza wins more often (40% of the time) and draws more often (40% of the time) compared to Ascoli, who only wins in 20% of cases and has 0% draw rate.
2. Offensive and Defensive Efficiency: Cosenza has demonstrated its offensive superiority by averaging 2.4 goals per away match, compared to only 0.4 goals per home match for Ascoli. Cosenza also has a better defensive performance, with a defensive potential of 43% compared to only 14% for Ascoli.
3. Goal Statistics: Cosenza has scored more goals (10 goals) and conceded fewer goals (11 goals) than Ascoli, who scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their respective last 5 matches played. This indicates that Cosenza has a better balance between attack and defense.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Over 2.5 goals”

1. Cosenza has a high offensive potential in their away matches, averaging 2.4 goals per game. Its ability to score frequently could lead to reaching a total of over 2.5 goals on its own.

2. Both teams have a modest defensive record, with Ascoli conceding an average of 0.4 goals per home match and Cosenza conceding 1.2 goals per away match. This suggests there is a possibility of goals from both sides.

3. The history of Cosenza’s away matches shows a tendency for high-scoring games. In their last 5 away matches, 4 have seen over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Over their past 5 matches, Ascoli has shown a very weak offensive capacity at home, scoring only 5 goals. With an average of just 0.4 goals per match, it is less likely that they will score against Cosenza.
2. Ascoli’s recent home matches demonstrate a solid defensive potential, conceding only 6 goals in total. Given that their defense manages to withstand opponent pressure, they can probably prevent Cosenza from scoring.
3. Cosenza’s recent away performances indicate they are capable of scoring, however, against Ascoli’s solid defense, they may struggle to find the net. Furthermore, even though they have an average of 2.4 goals scored per match away, their recent displays show they can also be held at bay, as seen in matches against Ternana and Parma.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Cosenza wins the match

Bet on the exact result

“Translated into English: Ascoli 1-2 Cosenza”

1. Cosenza displays a significantly higher offensive potential compared to Ascoli. In their last 5 away matches, Cosenza has scored an average of 2.4 goals per game, against only 0.4 for Ascoli at home. This strong indicator suggests that Cosenza is capable of scoring at least two goals in this match.

2. Although both teams tend to concede goals, Cosenza seems to have a slightly better defense than Ascoli, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per away match compared to 1.2 for Ascoli at home. Furthermore, Ascoli has conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Cosenza has only conceded 5 away goals. This suggests that Ascoli could score at least one goal.

3. The statistics from Ascoli’s last 5 home matches and Cosenza’s last 5 away matches indicate a trend towards games with relatively few goals. In particular, the probabilities suggest with 100% certainty that there will be less than 3.5 and less than 4.5 goals in the match. A scoreline of 1-2 fits perfectly into this scenario.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Analysis of form for the match Ascoli vs Cosenza:
In their last 5 home matches, Ascoli has shown a mixed performance with a 20% win rate. The team scored a total of 5 goals but conceded 6.

Cosenza, on the other hand, seems to be stronger away from home. In their last 5 away matches, they managed to win 40% of the games and drew 40% of the time. They scored 10 goals and conceded 11.

Ascoli has low offensive and defensive potential, with only 14% in both areas. Their average goals at home are 0.4 per match.

Cosenza, conversely, has a high offensive potential at 86% and a defensive potential of 43% away from home. They score an average of 2.4 goals per match on the road.

Regarding probabilities, the data do not show any success percentage for a potential winner.

However, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score, according to the data.

For bets on the number of goals, it seems safe to go for under 3.5 goals in the match with a 100% success probability.

Based solely on this data, Cosenza appears to be in better form than Ascoli, despite some hesitations in defense. However, caution is advised in the final prediction.

The potential number of goals

Ascoli, at home, show a weakness with only 1 win in 5 matches. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 6 in total, indicating a defensive frailty. Their offensive potential is low, at only 14%, with 0.4 goals per match.

Cosenza, away from home, have a positive record with 2 wins in 5 matches and 2 draws. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 11, with an average of 2.4 goals per match, showing an 86% offensive potential.

The likelihood of either Ascoli or Cosenza winning is low. Likewise, a draw does not seem likely. It is more probable based on the data that the match will have fewer than 4.5 goals.

Considering Cosenza’s offensive potential and Ascoli’s defensive deficit, a high score like 3-2 in favor of Cosenza could be projected. However, it is expected that fewer than 3.5 goals will be scored with 100% certainty.

Given these trends, it seems more likely that Cosenza will come out with an advantage in this match, despite the lack of probability indicated in the data.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on the analysis and recent performance statistics, there are clear indications that Cosenza is poised to win this match against Ascoli. Cosenza’s superior offensive and defensive capabilities, as well as their ability to win frequently when playing away, are factors that lean in their favor.

In terms of the number of goals, the over 2.5 goals option seems promising given Cosenza’s offensive performances and the defenses of both teams. As for the BTTS (both teams to score) bet, statistics suggest otherwise, due to Ascoli’s weak offensive capability and Cosenza’s solid defensive potential.

The most likely outcome in terms of the exact score is Ascoli 1-2 Cosenza, considering Cosenza’s offensive potential and the goal statistics of both teams.

However, all sports betting involves a certain level of risk and, although the statistics favor Cosenza, nothing is guaranteed in football. It is always recommended to consider other potentially influential factors and to bet responsibly.