Tipps Aston Villa Lille UEFA Europa Conference League 11/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Aston Villa wins the match.”

1. Home Performance: Aston Villa has a more impressive home performance, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have also scored a total of 13 goals in these matches, averaging 2.2 goals per game.

2. Defensive Performance: Aston Villa has a 57% defensive potential at home, showing strength in defense and conceding only 1.6 goals per game on average. In comparison, Lille has a lower defensive potential of 43% away from home and concedes an average of 1.2 goals per game.

3. Probability of Winning: The odds indicate that Aston Villa has a 54.7% probability of winning, higher than Lille’s 20.44%. This shows that bookmakers also believe Aston Villa is more likely to win this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Match History: Recent statistics show that Aston Villa has scored a total of 13 goals in their last 5 home matches, averaging 2.6 goals per match, while Lille has scored 7 goals in their last 5 away matches, averaging 1.4 goals per match. These are high numbers indicating a reasonable possibility of seeing over 2.5 goals during the match.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Aston Villa’s offensive potential at home is 79% and their defensive potential is 57%. For Lille, the offensive potential away is 64% and the defensive potential is 43%. These figures demonstrate a high likelihood of both teams scoring goals in their matchups, increasing the chances of seeing a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. Betting Statistics: The success probability for a total of over 2.5 goals in this match is estimated at 54.7% by bookmakers, with odds of 1.83. Compared to other available bets, this type of bet appears to be one of the most probable.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The goal statistics of both teams show that their matches tend to be high-scoring. Aston Villa has scored 13 goals and Lille 7 goals in their respective last 5 matches, indicating that they have a high offensive potential of 79% and 64% respectively.
2. Defensively, both Aston Villa and Lille have struggled to keep clean sheets. Aston Villa has conceded 15 goals while Lille has conceded 10 goals in their last 5 matches, showing a defensive weakness that could allow the other team to score.
3. Reviewing the recent matches of both teams reveals a consistent trend of both teams scoring. For instance, the Aston Villa vs Brentford match ended 3-3 and the Lille vs Brest match ended 1-1. These scores suggest that both teams have the offensive capabilities to score against each other.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Lille wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Aston Villa 2-1 Lille

1. Aston Villa has a better home record than Lille do away from home. They win 60% of the time at home compared to Lille’s 40% away. Therefore, there is a higher probability (54.7%) of Aston Villa winning the match.

2. Aston Villa’s offensive potential at home (79%) is higher than Lille’s away from home (64%). Additionally, Aston Villa has scored an average of 2.2 goals per game at home in their last 5 matches, indicating they have the ability to score at least 2 goals.

3. Both teams tend to concede goals. Aston Villa has conceded an average of 1.6 goals per game at home in their last 5 matches, while Lille has conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game away, with defensive potentials of 57% and 43% respectively. Moreover, given that the probability of both teams scoring is 50.28%, it is a conceivable possibility.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Regarding Aston Villa, with a 60% win rate and 20% draws in their recent home matches, the team is in good form. They have an average of 2.2 goals per game and have scored a total of 13 goals, showing a strong attacking dynamic. However, the 15 goals conceded indicate a somewhat vulnerable defense.

On the other hand, Lille, when playing away, has won 40% of their matches and drawn 20% of the time. Lille has scored a total of 7 goals, averaging 1.8 goals per match, slightly trailing behind Aston Villa offensively. However, with 10 goals conceded, their defense seems more solid.

The probabilities lean more towards a pro-Aston Villa result, with a 54.7% chance of the team winning. This is followed by a draw at 24.86%, while Lille has a 20.44% chance of winning.

Looking at goals, the highest probability is for a match with over 1.5 goals (83.43%) and for a score with less than 3.5 goals (81.22%).

Regarding the prediction, the possibility of a draw or an Aston Villa win seems likely at 79.56%, with odds of 1.17. The match could be tight, as both teams have almost equal chances of scoring (50.28% for yes, 49.72% for no).

Considering their recent matches, Aston Villa has had some high-scoring games at home, while Lille recently lost by a high score away. So, monitoring Aston Villa’s offensive potential in this match is crucial.

Overall, all signs point to Aston Villa having the edge in this match, but football is always unpredictable. We’ll have to wait and see.

The potential number of goals

Let’s analyze these statistics for the match between Aston Villa and Lille.

Aston Villa, when playing at home, wins 60% of their matches. Their offensive ability has allowed them to score 13 goals. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 15 goals. Lille, on the other hand, has a 40% win rate when playing away. They score fewer goals than Villa with 7 goals, but their defense is stronger, having conceded only 10 goals.

To assess the strengths of each team, let’s consider the goals scored/conceded ratios. Aston Villa has a ratio of 2.2/1.6, indicating an offensive potential of 79% and a defensive potential of 57%. For Lille, this ratio is 1.8/1.2, with offensive and defensive potentials of 64% and 43% respectively.

Probabilities predict a victory for Aston Villa with a 54.7% chance. A draw seems less likely with a 24.86% chance. Lille is the underdog with only a 20.44% chance of winning.

The number of goals could be decisive. There is a high likelihood of more than 1.5 goals in the match at 83.43%. The possibility of more than 2.5 goals is also significant at 54.7%.

Lastly, it’s decision time: there is a 50.28% chance that both teams will score. Or perhaps you prefer to bet on the probability of at least one of the teams not scoring, which stands at 49.72%?

Betting on football is a matter of analysis and strategy. Good luck!

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, by analyzing the performance of both teams and the odds indicated by bookmakers, it seems that Aston Villa has a better chance of winning this match. The analysis of past and current performances of these teams also suggests that the match could have more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown significant attacking power in the past, indicating that they will both be able to score in this match. However, the potential value bet could lie in a win for Lille, which is less expected but should not be overlooked from a defensive performance perspective.

Nevertheless, it is important to note that the tipster must also take into account their own observations and intuition, as predictions are estimates based on trends rather than certainties. Furthermore, even if Aston Villa appears to have the advantage in this match according to statistics, football is an unpredictable sport where anything can happen. Therefore, the information should be used with caution.

Remember that sports betting should be practiced responsibly and seen as entertainment rather than a source of income.