Tipps Aston Villa Liverpool Premier League 13/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Liverpool wins the match

1. Liverpool has a better offensive and defensive potential than Aston Villa. In their last 5 matches, Liverpool has had an average offensive potential of 71% compared to 50% for Aston Villa, and a defensive potential of 50% compared to 71% for Aston Villa.

2. Despite some drawn or lost matches, Liverpool has shown an ability to score away from home, with an average of 2 goals per match, which is higher than the average goals conceded by Aston Villa at home (1.4 goals per match).

3. The statistics from Liverpool’s recent away matches against Aston Villa’s home matches indicate a certain superiority of Liverpool. Even though both teams have a 40% win rate, Liverpool has lost less (20% of the time compared to 40% for Aston Villa).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. The recent performance statistics of both teams show that they have a high goal per game ratio. Aston Villa have scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded 2 goals per game in their last 5 home matches, while Liverpool have scored an average of 2 goals and conceded 1.4 goals per game in their last 5 away matches.

2. The odds also suggest a high likelihood of goals in the match. The prediction “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 100% with odds of 1.31, implying that bookmakers also expect a match with at least 3 goals.

3. The recent match results of both teams indicate a high number of goals. For Aston Villa at home: 4, 4, 4, 3, and 6 goals were scored respectively. For Liverpool away: 4, 2, 4, 1, and 4 goals were scored respectively. Therefore, there is a strong tendency for matches to have more than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The recent history of both teams shows a clear trend of scoring and conceding goals. Aston Villa has scored 12 goals but also conceded 15 in their last 5 home matches, while Liverpool has scored 8 goals and conceded 10 in their last 5 away matches.

2. Statistics position Aston Villa with a 50% offensive potential at home and a 71% defensive potential, meaning they are likely to score but also concede goals. Liverpool’s offensiveness is also high at 71%, with a defensive potential of 50%, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring.

3. The specific results of Aston Villa’s recent home matches and Liverpool’s away matches prove that each team has scored in most of their games, which is a strong indicator that this could happen again in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Aston Villa wins the match – 50% chance of success: 2.22

Bet on the exact result

Aston Villa 2-2 Liverpool

1. Recent Match History: In their last 5 matches, Aston Villa and Liverpool have shown an ability to score goals, but also to concede them. Aston Villa has scored 12 goals in 5 matches (an average of 2.4 per match) and Liverpool has scored 8 (an average of 1.6 per match). Meanwhile, Aston Villa has conceded 15 goals (an average of 3 per match) and Liverpool 10 (an average of 2 per match). This indicates that both teams have an attacking style and are likely to score goals.

2. Home and Away Performances: Aston Villa has a 40% win rate at home and Liverpool has a 40% win rate away, suggesting a balanced match. Additionally, Aston Villa has a 20% draw rate at home while Liverpool has a 40% draw rate away, increasing the chances of a drawn match.

3. Overall Statistics: Both teams have a high likelihood of scoring goals, with a 100% probability for “Over 1.5 goals in the match,” indicating both teams have strong offensive potential. Furthermore, the odds for “Both teams to score” are relatively low (1.34), suggesting both teams are likely to score at least one goal in the match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Aston Villa has shown mixed form at home with 2 wins and a draw in 5 matches. With 12 goals scored and 15 conceded, defense appears to be their weakness.

Liverpool, on the road, has a similar record with 2 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches. They have scored fewer (8 goals) but also conceded fewer (10 goals).

In terms of offensive potential, Aston Villa averages 1.4 goals per match, while Liverpool finds the net an average of 2 times per match.

Defensively, Aston Villa concedes more often with an average of 2 goals per match compared to 1.4 for Liverpool.

The probability of victory is 50% for each team. The odds reflect this equality with 4.15 for Aston Villa and 1.75 for Liverpool.

There is a high probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals (100% success at 1.09) and more than 2.5 goals in the match (100% probability at 1.31). This suggests that the match will likely be high-scoring.

Finally, the probability that both teams score is 100% (odds at 1.34), confirming the offensive trend.

In conclusion, a match with goals from both sides seems likely. A bet on “Over 2.5 goals” or “Both teams to score” could be interesting.

The potential number of goals

Aston Villa is at home. Lately, they win 40% of the time and score 12 goals in 5 matches. But they also concede goals, 15 in total. Not great defensively.

Liverpool, away from home, has similar results. They triumph in 40% of the cases, with 8 goals scored. However, they concede 10 goals. Their defense can be shaky.

On average, Aston Villa scores 1.4 goals per match at home and Liverpool scores 2 away. Offensive potential inversely proportional to their defense.

What about the predictions? It is predicted an equal chance between a victory for Liverpool and one for Aston Villa – 50% possible for each. A draw seems less likely – 0%.

Feeling like betting on the number of goals? The odds favor over 1.5 goals, even 2.5. Both teams to score is apparently a safe probability.

Let’s look at Aston Villa’s recent home matches: their offense seems efficient. The same goes for Liverpool’s away matches.

My conclusion? An animated match, with probable goals on each side. And an undecided victory between the two.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Considering all these elements, it appears that this match between Aston Villa and Liverpool is likely to be high-scoring, with an average of over 2.5 goals per game for both teams recently. There is also a strong likelihood that both teams will score, further supporting the relevance of such a bet.
That being said, the outcome seems more uncertain, with both teams showing relatively equal performances. Bettors looking for a value bet may, however, find it worthwhile to bet on a favorable outcome for Aston Villa or a draw, as the odds for such a result are quite attractive compared to the estimated probability.
Ultimately, statistics are just one indicator among many, and each bettor must exercise discernment in their choices, remembering that the results of football matches are the result of a combination of predictable and unpredictable elements.