Tipps Atalanta Arsenal UEFA Champions League 19/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Arsenal wins the match

1. Recent Away Results of Arsenal: Arsenal has won 80% of their last 5 away matches, with a very solid defensive capability, conceding only an average of 0.2 goals per match. This demonstrates their ability to maintain a strong defensive performance while being threatening on the offensive end.

2. Home Performance of Atalanta Bergamo: Atalanta wins 80% of their home matches, but their defense has shown weaknesses, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. This trend could provide opportunities for the relatively more defensive team of Arsenal to capitalize on these weaknesses.

3. Betting Statistics: The betting odds offer a 51.78% probability of Arsenal winning the match, which is significantly higher than the chances of Atalanta Bergamo winning (26.9%) or a draw (21.32%). This indicates Arsenal’s recent consistent performances and suggests that bookmakers see Arsenal as the favorites to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive performance of Atalanta Bergamo and Arsenal is quite similar, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per match in their last 5 games. This means that together, their average goals per match is 3.2, which is higher than the 2.5 goals target.

2. Atalanta Bergamo’s defense is weak, having conceded 15 goals in the last 5 home games, while Arsenal’s defense is stronger, having only conceded 10 goals in the last 5 away games. This increases the likelihood of a match with more than 2.5 goals, given Atalanta Bergamo’s defensive vulnerability.

3. The history of encounters between the two teams shows a tendency for high-scoring matches. For example, Atalanta Bergamo has won 3 of their last 5 home games with a score of over 2.5 goals. Similarly, 3 of Arsenal’s last 5 away games have also ended with a score of over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show a strong offensive potential for both teams: Atalanta Bergamo and Arsenal score an average of 1.6 goals per match respectively.
2. The defense of both teams has weaknesses, especially Atalanta Bergamo’s, which conceded 15 goals in its last 5 home matches, and Arsenal’s, which conceded 10 goals in its last 5 away matches.
3. The match history shows that both teams tend to score in their respective encounters. For example, in Atalanta Bergamo’s last five home matches, the opposing team scored at least one goal in 4 out of 5 matches. This is also the case for Arsenal in their away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Atalanta Bergamo 2-1 Arsenal

1. Atalanta Bergamo has an average of 1.6 goals scored per home match, while Arsenal also has an average of 1.6 goals scored away from home in their last 5 matches. This shows an offensive capability from both teams that could perfectly fit a 2-1 prediction.

2. Looking at the defensive performances of both teams, Atalanta concedes an average of 2 goals per home match, indicating some vulnerability in their defense that could allow Arsenal to score. Additionally, Arsenal has a weak defensive performance away from home, conceding an average of 0.2 goals per match, which could result in one or two goals being conceded to Atalanta.

3. Reviewing the teams’ previous matches, Atalanta has often scored more than 2 goals at home, while Arsenal has always managed to score at least one goal away from home. This trend reinforces the 2-1 prediction in favor of Atalanta.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atalanta Bergamo has won 80% of their last 5 home matches, scoring a total of 15 goals. Despite being defensive, their home efficiency is in question with 15 goals conceded. On the other hand, Arsenal, away, has also managed to win 80% of their matches, scoring 8 times, while defending better with only 10 goals conceded.

On average, Atalanta scores 1.6 goals and concedes 2 goals per home match. Their offense and defense have an efficiency of around 57% and 71% respectively. In contrast, Arsenal also scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes few goals (0.2) away. They show an offensive performance of 57% and an impressive defensive record of 7%.

Although the numbers indicate a balanced performance from both sides, Arsenal has a higher probability of winning at 51.78%, with Atalanta lagging behind at 26.9%. The chances of a draw are at 21.32%.

Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match seems promising with a probability of 81.73%. While the prediction for over 2.5 goals stands at 60.41%.

The statistic indicating both teams to score is at 62.44%.

Therefore, based on these percentages, a bet on an Arsenal win with over 1.5 goals in the match seems like a reasonable option.

The potential number of goals

Atalanta Bergamo has shown strong performance at home, with 80% of wins in the last 5 matches and no losses. On their home turf, the team averages 1.6 goals per match but their defense leaves something to be desired, conceding an average of 2 goals. This suggests a strong attacking intent but a lack of efficiency in defense.

On the other hand, Arsenal has displayed defensive solidity in their last 5 away games. The Gunners have won 80% of their matches, conceded very few goals (0.2 on average), and also scored 1.6 goals per match.

The probabilities favor Arsenal with a 51.78% chance of winning. A draw or an Arsenal victory is the most likely scenario with a probability of 73.1%.

Based on the data, this match could be high-scoring. The probabilities strongly favor over 1.5 goals in the match (81.73%), and over 2.5 goals (60.41%). Both teams have a 62.44% probability of scoring during the match.

Based on this information, Arsenal seems to have a slight edge, but Atalanta could surprise due to their strong offensive potential at home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analyzed data suggests a high likelihood of Arsenal winning the match against Atalanta Bergamo. Arsenal’s strong defensive performances, combined with Atalanta’s slight vulnerability at home, could be determining factors. However, considering the offensive tendencies of both teams, a match with over 2.5 goals is expected, and it’s highly likely that both teams will score at least once.

That being said, sports betting always involves a level of uncertainty and nothing is set in stone. While Arsenal appears to be the favorite based on betting odds and recent performances, Atalanta Bergamo might capitalize on their strong home offensive record to turn the tables. As always, it is recommended to bet responsibly.