Tipps Atalanta Bayer Leverkusen UEFA Europa League 22/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Bayer Leverkusen wins the match”

1. Bayer Leverkusen has a better overall performance: They have won 60% of their away matches compared to Atalanta Bergamo’s 80% home win rate, while also having a higher draw rate, giving Atalanta less chances to win.

2. Bayer Leverkusen’s offensive efficiency is higher: Bayer Leverkusen has scored an average of 3.2 goals per away match while Atalanta Bergamo has scored an average of only 1.8 goals at home. Bayer Leverkusen’s offensive potential is therefore 114% compared to Atalanta Bergamo’s 64%.

3. The pre-calculated probability of winning favors Bayer Leverkusen: Bayer Leverkusen has a success probability of 54.36% to win the match, which is significantly higher than Atalanta Bergamo’s win probability of 24.62%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5

1. High Offensive Rate: Bayer Leverkusen has a high offensive rate, scoring an average of 3.2 goals per away match, so there is a chance they will score at least one or more goals during this match. Additionally, Atalanta Bergamo has a respectable offensive rate with an average of 1.8 goals per home match.

2. Low Defensive Rate: In the last 5 matches, Atalanta Bergamo has conceded more goals than they have scored (12 against 11). Bayer Leverkusen also has a weak defense, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per away match.

3. Number of Goals in Previous Matches: Based on previous matches, both teams have already played matches with a lot of goals. For example, in the match between Atalanta Bergamo and Fiorentina (4-1) or the match between Vfl Bochum and Bayer Leverkusen (0-5).

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics of both teams show that they have a strong offensive capability. Atalanta Bergamo scores an average of 1.8 goals at home, while Bayer Leverkusen scores an average of 3.2 goals when playing away. This indicates that both teams have prolific attackers who are capable of scoring goals.

2. Atalanta Bergamo has conceded goals at home in their last 5 matches, while Bayer Leverkusen has managed to score in their last 5 away matches. This trend suggests that it is likely that both teams will score during the match.

3. The probabilities related to the number of goals during the match indicate that there is a high chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match (73.33% probability), including a significant chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match (48.72% probability). This reinforces the idea that the conditions are favorable for each team to score at least one goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Atalanta Bergamo wins the match – 2.05

Bet on the exact result

Atalanta Bergamo 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

1. Bayer Leverkusen has a better performance away (60% wins and 40% draws) compared to Atalanta Bergamo which has a slightly lower home performance (80% wins and 20% draws), suggesting a certain superiority of Bayer Leverkusen in this match.
2. The average number of goals scored by Bayer Leverkusen in their last 5 away matches is 3.2 per game, which is significantly higher than Atalanta Bergamo who scored an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, indicating a strong offensive potential for Bayer Leverkusen.
3. The odds provided suggest that Bayer Leverkusen is more likely to win the match (54.36% probability of success) compared to Atalanta Bergamo (24.62% probability of success). Furthermore, there is a high probability (73.33%) that there will be more than 1.5 goals in the match, which aligns well with the prediction of a 1-2 scoreline.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atalanta has a strong home record, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded one more goal than they have scored.

Bayer Leverkusen has shown they can perform away from home by winning 60% of their matches, scoring 14 goals and conceding 15.

Despite Atalanta’s home victories, their attacking prowess is at 64%, averaging 1.8 goals per match. Their defense is more solid, conceding only 0.6 goals on average per match.

On the other hand, Bayer Leverkusen has an average of 3.2 goals per away match and concedes only 0.8. Their offensive and defensive powers are at 114% and 29% respectively.

Looking at the odds, the match seems to favor Bayer Leverkusen with a success probability of 54.36%. This is supported by odds of 1.85 for a victory.

However, a draw or a win for the home team, Atalanta, could occur with a probability of 45.64%.

Interestingly, there is a high probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match. The odds are at 1.31 with a 73.33% chance.

Looking at the historical data of both teams, it is also likely that both teams will score, despite the probabilities being almost equal (48.72% vs. 51.28%).

In conclusion, a victory for Bayer Leverkusen seems to be the most likely outcome. However, the potential for a high-scoring match is undeniable.

The potential number of goals

Atalanta Bergamo shows a strong home form, with 80% of wins in their last 5 matches. However, they have scored 11 goals and conceded 12. Atalanta Bergamo thus have a solid offensive potential of 64% but limited defensive potential at 21%.

Bayer Leverkusen has good away results, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 15, boasting a powerful attack at 114% and a defense at 29%.

The probabilities suggest a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 54.36%. Moreover, there is a strong probability of 73.33% for over 1.5 goals in the match.

However, both teams have an equal probability of scoring at 48.72%, and not scoring at 51.28%.

In summary, key factors indicate a competitive match with strong attacks on both sides. Bayer Leverkusen victory seems more likely, but with an expectation of multiple goals during the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the prognosis for this match between Atalanta Bergamo and Bayer Leverkusen appears to be a real challenge for bettors. Considering the past performances and statistics of both teams, Bayer Leverkusen seems to have a slight probable advantage to win this match, particularly due to their higher offensive efficiency.

As for bets on the number of goals, the Over 2.5 indicator seems to be a wise choice, as both teams have shown significant offensive potential in their previous matches.

The BTTS (Both Teams To Score) – Yes bet also seems interesting, given the ability of both teams to score goals, despite the difference in their respective chances of winning.

However, despite Bayer Leverkusen’s presumed dominance, the odds for a draw or a victory for Atalanta Bergamo offer an interesting value bet, reflecting Atalanta’s notable performances at home.

Finally, the bet on the exact score seems to lean towards a 1-2 result in favor of Bayer Leverkusen, in line with the overall trend of the presented analyses.

This is a match that promises to be rich in goals and twists, marked by the performance of both teams both at home and away. However, as always in sports betting, a level of uncertainty remains, making these forecasts both appealing and perilous. Good luck to all bettors!