Tipps Atalanta Como Serie A 24/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atalanta Bergamo wins the match.

1. Home Win History: Atalanta Bergamo has shown strong performances when playing at home. In its last 5 home matches, the team has won 60% of the games. This is a convincing argument to support that Atalanta Bergamo is likely to win.

2. Current Form Comparison: Atalanta Bergamo has displayed stronger form by averaging 1.6 goals per game, compared to an average of 0.8 for Como. Additionally, Como’s defensive performances seem weak with an average of 1.6 goals conceded per game.

3. Betting Probabilities: Betting odds also attest to the superiority of Atalanta Bergamo with a probability of 64.8% to win, compared to a probability of 13.78% for Como. This indicates that bookmakers strongly predict a victory for Atalanta Bergamo.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The statistics of Atalanta Bergamo demonstrate a strong offensive and defensive capacity, with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceded per home match. Such numbers suggest a high probability of a high-scoring match.

2. Como’s away performances also show a tendency towards high-scoring matches. With an average of 1.6 goals conceded per away match and 0.8 goals scored, this implies that goals are likely to be scored by both teams.

3. The provided data indicates a strong likelihood of success (60.2%) for a total of over 2.5 goals in the match. This probability is also supported by the previous performances of both teams, which have had several matches with a total of goals exceeding 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent statistics: Atalanta Bergamo has scored and conceded goals in each of their last 5 home matches. Additionally, Como has also managed to score away from home in 3 of their last 5 matches. This clearly indicates offensive potential for both teams.

2. Goals average: The average goals scored and conceded per match for these two clubs is over 1. This suggests that both teams have the potential to score during the match.

3. Indicated probability: The indicated probability for the “Both teams to score” option is 55.1%, a relatively high probability. This probability is calculated based on the previous performances of both teams and suggests that both teams have a good chance of scoring during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Atalanta Bergamo 2-1 Como

1. Recent statistics: Atalanta Bergamo wins 60% of their home matches and has a strong offensive presence with an average of 1.6 goals per game. On the other hand, Como struggles to win away from home with only a 20% victory rate and has a particularly weak defense that concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game.

2. Score trend: Atalanta generally scores more than Como in their respective matches. The scores from Atalanta’s recent home games and Como’s away games show that both teams typically score between 1 and 3 goals per match, supporting the prediction of a 2-1 outcome.

3. Odds: The odds suggest a high likelihood of Atalanta winning the home match with odds of 1.45 and a success probability of 64.8%. Furthermore, the probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 60.2%, further supporting the 2-1 prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atalanta Bergamo’s home form is solid with a 60% win rate. They score an average of 1.6 goals per match, but have also conceded the same amount, so their defense could be more solid.
On the other hand, Como is less successful away from home, winning only 20% of the time. The lack of offensive power is reflected in an average of 0.8 goals per match.
Based on probability, Atalanta Bergamo is favored with a 64.8% chance of winning. A draw or an Atalanta win seems very likely at 86.22%.
In terms of goals, we should see over 1.5 with a probability of 82.65%. The most likely scenario is less than 3.5 goals at 65.31%.
In recent matches, Atalanta has shown offensive efficiency while Como has struggled to score away from home.
In summary, Atalanta Bergamo appears to be the favorite for this match, with a high likelihood of seeing over 1.5 goals in total.

The potential number of goals

Atalanta Bergamo has shown a strong performance at home, with a 60% win rate. They maintain an average of 1.6 goals per match, both in attack and defense. Como, the away team, arrives with only a 20% win rate on the road, scoring fewer at 0.8 goals per match and conceding as much as Atalanta, 1.6 goals.

Looking beyond the numbers, we see that Atalanta has been more comfortable at home, exhibiting an offensive potential of 57%, while Como struggles to reach 29% in attack during their away matches.

Bookmakers reflect these trends, with Atalanta being the heavy favorite with a probability of 64.8% at odds of 1.45. A draw is the least likely outcome, at 21.43%. For those seeking risk, a Como victory offers a 13.78% probability at odds of 7.00.

In terms of goals, the most likely scenario is a match with over 1.5 goals (82.65%). The bet that at least one of the two teams will score is predicted with a 55.1% probability.

Looking at Atalanta’s recent home matches and Como’s away matches, Atalanta is achieving higher results, despite a 0-0 draw with Arsenal. In comparison, Como has struggled more, failing to score at all against Juventus, for example.

In conclusion, a victory for Atalanta Bergamo seems to be the safest bet. As for goals, considering over 1.5 goals during the match has a good probability.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Summarizing all the statistics, analysis of the current form of both teams, goal-scoring trends, as well as the probabilities and odds from bookmakers, the prediction for the match between Atalanta Bergamo and Como strongly favors Atalanta. The victory of this team at home seems to be the safest bet given their consistent performance at this level. Furthermore, the risk of a high-scoring match is quite high, with a strong likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match and the possibility of both teams scoring.

That being said, in the world of sports betting, it’s important to remember that there is no sure value and every bet carries its risks. It is therefore recommended to always bet responsibly and within one’s means. While statistics and probabilities are tools that help make more accurate predictions, the element of randomness remains an undeniable reality in sports.