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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atalanta Fiorentina

    Tipps Atalanta Fiorentina Serie A 15/09/2024

    Last update : 15/09/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Atalanta Bergamo wins the match

    1. Recent match history: Atalanta Bergamo has a stronger recent home performance compared to Fiorentina away. Atalanta Bergamo has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, while Fiorentina has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.

    2. Offensive and defensive statistics: Atalanta Bergamo has shown a home offensive potential of 36% compared to Fiorentina’s 50% away. However, Atalanta Bergamo has a higher defensive potential of 79% compared to Fiorentina’s 50%, which could contribute to securing the victory.

    3. Betting probabilities: According to the given probabilities, Atalanta Bergamo has a higher chance of winning the match with a probability of 53.33% compared to only 22.05% for Fiorentina. This suggests that bookmakers believe Atalanta Bergamo is the favorite to win this match.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Over 2.5 goals in the match

    1. Both teams have fairly similar offensive statistics: on average, Atalanta Bergamo has scored 2.4 goals per home match, and Fiorentina has scored 2.4 goals per away match in their last 5 games. This shows the offensive potential of each team that could easily lead to more than 2.5 goals in the match.

    2. The defensive statistics of both teams are also concerning. Atalanta Bergamo has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per home match, and Fiorentina has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per away match in their last 5 games, indicating weak defenses that often allow opponents to score.

    3. Looking at the provided success probabilities, we notice that the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a 61.54% success probability. Furthermore, the probability of “both teams to score” is 63.08%, which makes sense if we expect to see more than 2.5 total goals in the match, further reinforcing the likelihood of this outcome.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. Team History: In their respective last 5 matches, both Atalanta Bergamo and Fiorentina have scored at least one goal in each game. This shows a consistency in their offensive performance regardless of wins or losses.

    2. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Atalanta Bergamo and Fiorentina have shown respective offensive potentials of 36% and 50%, averaging 1 and 1.4 goals per match. Additionally, their defensive potential is also high (79% for Atalanta Bergamo and 50% for Fiorentina), indicating that they often concede goals in their matches.

    3. Betting Probability: The probability of both teams scoring is 63.08%, which is higher than the average of other possible types of bets (win, draw, etc). This high probability, supported by the teams’ past performances, reinforces the prediction that both teams will score in this match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw or Fiorentina wins the match – 2.00

    1. Fiorentina has a strong ability to resist away from home, obtaining a win or a draw in 80% of cases in their last 5 matches. This demonstrates a solidity on the road that can allow them to stand up to Atalanta Bergamo.

    2. In their last meeting in Bergamo, Fiorentina managed to come out on top against Atalanta (2-3). This recent victory on Atalanta’s pitch shows Fiorentina’s ability to win or draw here.

    3. Atalanta Bergamo’s defensive statistics at home are quite weak, with an average of 2.2 goals conceded per match in their last 5 matches. This shows a defensive vulnerability that can be exploited by Fiorentina.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Atalanta Bergamo 2 – 1 Fiorentina

    1. Recent performance history: According to their last 5 matches statistics, Atalanta Bergamo has a better home win record (60%) compared to Fiorentina’s away record (20%). Atalanta Bergamo has also scored more goals at home than Fiorentina away.

    2. Goal statistics: Atalanta Bergamo’s offensive potential at home is lower than Fiorentina’s away (36% vs 50%), however, Atalanta’s defensive potential is significantly better (79% vs 50%). This suggests that Atalanta can score two goals while conceding one.

    3. Match result probabilities: Atalanta Bergamo has a higher probability of winning the match (53.33%). There is also a high probability (85.13%) of there being over 1.5 goals in the match and a probability of 63.08% that both teams will score, which aligns with the prediction Atalanta Bergamo 2 – 1 Fiorentina.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Atalanta Bergamo is in good form at home, with 3 recent victories, but their defense is questionable, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match. Fiorentina has not shined away from home, with only one victory and many draws, their defense is solid but their attack leaves something to be desired with 1.4 goals per match.

    In their recent encounters, Atalanta won the match against Fiorentina, scoring 2 goals against 3. But in the previous home match, Atalanta lost against Juventus, failing to score.

    In terms of probability, Atalanta has a 53.33% chance of winning, with odds of 1.85. A draw has a 24.62% chance, with odds of 3.75, indicating this scenario is less likely. Fiorentina’s victory is less probable at 22.05%, with odds of 4.30.

    Looking at goals, over 1.5 goals have an 85.13% chance of happening, with odds of 1.24. Over 2.5 goals have a 61.54% chance of occurring, with odds of 1.75.

    In summary, Atalanta seems to have the advantage. However, one should consider the possibility of a high number of goals and Fiorentina’s defensive capabilities. A victory for Atalanta with over 2.5 goals in the match could be an option to consider for betting.

    The potential number of goals

    Atalanta Bergamo, at home, has won 60% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 13. Their offensive potential is 36% and defensive potential is 79%.

    On the other hand, Fiorentina has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 14. Their offensive and defensive potential is 50%.

    Atalanta Bergamo’s probability of winning is 53.33%, while for Fiorentina it’s only 22.05%.

    The likelihood of the score exceeding 1.5 goals is very high, with a probability of 85.13%. It is also probable that there will be over 2.5 goals (61.54% chance).

    Both teams have a 63.08% chance of scoring.

    Taking these factors into consideration, a bet on Atalanta Bergamo to win or a draw could be reasonable, with a success probability of 77.95%. Betting on over 1.5 goals in the match is the most promising with odds of 1.24.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    To conclude, considering the history of past encounters, recent performances, offensive and defensive statistics, as well as the probabilities of the bets, there are some interesting betting tips emerging for this match between Atalanta Bergamo and Fiorentina.

    Atalanta Bergamo’s victory is the most likely outcome according to bookmakers, with a probability of 53.33%. However, the likelihood of a high number of goals also seems very probable, supported by both teams’ tendency to concede goals, making a bet on “over 2.5 goals” in the game quite interesting.

    The bet “both teams to score” also has a high success probability of 63.08%, which aligns with the past performances of both teams.

    Nevertheless, a bet offering an interesting value bet is the bet “draw or Fiorentina to win the match,” despite the bookmakers’ view.

    Finally, the exact score of Atalanta Bergamo 2 – 1 Fiorentina seems plausible considering all these analyses.

    Please note that these tips are based on statistics and probabilities, but each match is unpredictable and depends on many factors that can influence the final result.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Atalanta against Fiorentina on 15/09/2024

    1. Recent match history: Atalanta Bergamo has a stronger recent home performance compared to Fiorentina away. Atalanta Bergamo has won 60% of their last 5 home matches, while Fiorentina has only won 20% of their last 5 away matches.

    2. Offensive and defensive statistics: Atalanta Bergamo has shown a home offensive potential of 36% compared to Fiorentina’s 50% away. However, Atalanta Bergamo has a higher defensive potential of 79% compared to Fiorentina’s 50%, which could contribute to securing the victory.

    3. Betting probabilities: According to the given probabilities, Atalanta Bergamo has a higher chance of winning the match with a probability of 53.33% compared to only 22.05% for Fiorentina. This suggests that bookmakers believe Atalanta Bergamo is the favorite to win this match.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Atalanta to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
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    Bet option :Fiorentina to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atalanta or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fiorentina or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Atalanta or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fiorentina or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atalanta or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Fiorentina or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Atalanta vs Fiorentina match!

    To not miss anything from the Atalanta vs Fiorentina match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 15/09/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

    logo team a
    composition
    29Carnesecchi
    19Djimsiti
    4Hien
    23Kolašinac
    16Bellanova
    15de
    13Éderson
    22Ruggeri
    11Lookman
    17De
    32Retegui
    Lineups Atalanta
    logo team a
    composition
    43de
    28Martínez
    6Ranieri
    3Biraghi
    2Dodô
    32Cataldi
    8Mandragora
    21Gosens
    23Colpani
    4Bove
    20Kean
    Lineups Fiorentina

    Match Highlights Atalanta vs Fiorentina on 15/09/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Atalanta vs Fiorentina match on 15/09/2024 at Gewiss Stadium stadium.

    15'L. Martínez Quarta
    picto
    17'Edoardo Bove
    picto
    21'M. Retegui
    picto
    27'Isak Hien
    picto
    32'M. Kean
    picto
    44'Rolando Mandragora
    picto
    45'A. Lookman
    picto
    45'C. De Ketelaere
    picto
    46'I. HienM. Brescianini
    picto
    62'A. ColpaniJ. Ikoné
    picto
    62'R. MandragoraA. Richardson
    picto
    67'Amir Richardson
    picto
    70'M. RuggeriD. Zappacosta
    picto
    70'M. ReteguiM. Pašalić
    picto
    74'D. CataldiY. Adli
    picto
    74'E. BoveR. Sottil
    picto
    81'L. RanieriM. Pongračić
    picto
    82'Davide Zappacosta
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Atalanta and Fiorentina

    All statistics for the match between Atalanta and Fiorentina will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Atalanta
    Fiorentina
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    52%
    48%
    Total Shots
    13
    13
    Shots on Goal
    7
    5
    Shots off Goal
    5
    5
    Corner Kicks
    5
    2
    Passing Accuracy
    80%
    78%
    Total Passes
    419
    395
    Successful Passes
    336
    308
    Fouls Committed
    16
    15
    Yellow Cards
    2
    3
    Red Cards
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atalanta against Fiorentina!

    logo team

    Form state of Atalanta in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Atalanta has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atalanta has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Fiorentina in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Fiorentina has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Fiorentina has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Atalanta against Fiorentina!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Atalanta in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Atalanta in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Atalanta
    Atalanta has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Atalanta in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atalanta
    Atalanta has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Fiorentina in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Fiorentina in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Fiorentina
    Fiorentina has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Fiorentina in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fiorentina
    Fiorentina has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atalanta and Fiorentina, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Atalanta vs Fiorentina: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Both teams have fairly similar offensive statistics: on average, Atalanta Bergamo has scored 2.4 goals per home match, and Fiorentina has scored 2.4 goals per away match in their last 5 games. This shows the offensive potential of each team that could easily lead to more than 2.5 goals in the match.

    2. The defensive statistics of both teams are also concerning. Atalanta Bergamo has conceded an average of 2.6 goals per home match, and Fiorentina has conceded an average of 2.8 goals per away match in their last 5 games, indicating weak defenses that often allow opponents to score.

    3. Looking at the provided success probabilities, we notice that the bet “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a 61.54% success probability. Furthermore, the probability of “both teams to score” is 63.08%, which makes sense if we expect to see more than 2.5 total goals in the match, further reinforcing the likelihood of this outcome.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Atalanta and Fiorentina!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Atalanta

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Fiorentina

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Atalanta Fiorentina?

    Finding a forecast for the Atalanta Fiorentina match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atalanta Fiorentina on 15/09/2024 in Gewiss Stadium are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atalanta at home and Fiorentina away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 15/09/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Atalanta and Fiorentina on 15/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Gewiss Stadium, Atalanta could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atalanta and Fiorentina, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atalanta and the away win rate of Fiorentina, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 15/09/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Atalanta and Fiorentina can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 15/09/2024 at Gewiss Stadium.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atalanta and Fiorentina, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atalanta or Fiorentina on 15/09/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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