Tipps Atalanta Juventus Coupe d'Italie 15/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Juventus win the match

1. Recent statistics show that Juventus has a relatively high draw rate in their away matches (60% of their last 5 away matches ended in a draw), suggesting that they could at least secure a draw against Atalanta Bergamo.

2. Juventus also has slightly better defensive statistics (36%) compared to Atalanta Bergamo at home (21%), indicating that they would be able to withstand Atalanta Bergamo’s attacks and avoid a defeat.

3. The odds for the prediction that the match will end in a draw or a Juventus victory is 1.40, with a success probability of 74.44%. This is the highest probability among all offered bets, thus providing a better risk/reward ratio.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The statistics of Juventus away matches show a low offensive potential, with an average of 0.8 goals per game. This suggests a lower probability of multiple goals being scored by this side.
2. Atalanta Bergamo concedes an average of 0.6 goals at home, indicating a good defensive performance. Together, these factors could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.
3. The odds for under 2.5 goals in the match are 1.65, implying a high probability that the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals, according to bookmakers.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches show that Atalanta Bergamo has a strong offensive capability, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per home match, while Juventus has demonstrated some vulnerability in defense away from home, conceding an average of 1 goal per match.

2. Juventus, although not winning recent away matches, has scored goals in three out of their last five away matches, indicating some offensive potential despite suboptimal performances.

3. The “Both Teams to Score” factor has a success probability of 49.44%, which is not negligible. Furthermore, the success rate for over 1.5 goals in the match is 70%, suggesting that there will likely be goals from both sides during the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Atalanta Bergamo 2-1 Juventus.

1. Atalanta has a strong home record, both in terms of wins and goals scored. In their last 5 home matches, they won 60% of the time and scored an average of 2.4 goals per match.

2. Juventus has a poor away form, with no wins in their last 5 away matches. Additionally, they have conceded more goals than they have scored, with an average of 1 goal conceded per match.

3. The goal statistics suggest a low-scoring match. The highest probability is for less than 3.5 goals in the match at 91.11%, indicating it is likely to be a low-scoring affair. Given the recent performances of both teams, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Atalanta seems like a plausible outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atalanta Bergamo has been getting good results at home, winning 3 out of their last 5 matches. On the other hand, Juventus has been struggling more, failing to win any of their last 5 away matches.

Atalanta seems to have a strong home attack, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per match. Meanwhile, Juventus is having offensive difficulties with only 0.8 goals scored per away match.

In terms of defense, Atalanta concedes an average of 0.6 goals at home while Juventus concedes 1 on average away.

These combined statistics suggest a match in favor of Atalanta. However, predictions indicate a slight domination by Juventus with a probability of 42.22% compared to 25.56% for Atalanta.

The match could be close, but the home factor and Atalanta’s offensive form might tip the scales, especially with a 57.78% probability for a draw or Atalanta win.

Moreover, most data suggest a match with less than 3.5 goals, indicating caution from both teams in the Coppa Italia.

Therefore, despite a higher probability of success for Juventus, there are good reasons to bet on a solid performance from Atalanta Bergamo at home.

The potential number of goals

Atalanta is strong at home. They have won 60% of their recent matches with a total of 11 goals scored. However, they have conceded 13 goals, showing a rather weak defense. Meanwhile, Juventus struggles away from home, with no wins but 60% draws. They have scored poorly with only 4 goals, but have defended fairly well, conceding 5 goals.

In terms of potential, Atalanta shows a real offensive capacity with 86%, much higher than Juventus (29%). Their defense is also better with a potential of 21% compared to 36% for Juventus.

As for the prediction, a victory for Atalanta has a 25.56% chance, a draw is at 32.22%, and a Juventus win at 42.22%. Overall, the bet “Draw or Juventus win” seems to be the safest with a 74.44% success rate.

Regarding goals, the data suggests over 1.5 goals in the match with a probability of 70%. The probability for less than 3.5 goals in the match is very high, around 91.11%.

Finally, it is almost equally likely that both teams score (49.44%) or don’t score (50.56%).

In conclusion, this match could be tight and not very high-scoring. Juventus seems to have a slight edge, but Atalanta in good form at home could pose challenges for them.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the Coppa Italia match between Atalanta Bergamo and Juventus promises to be highly competitive due to the recent form of both teams. Although statistics slightly favor Juventus, the fact that Atalanta is playing at home with a strong offensive capability could still surprise. Furthermore, the likelihood of a draw should not be overlooked given Juventus’ recent away performances.

Regarding the number of goals, all evidence suggests a low-scoring encounter. Statistics indicate that the number of goals is unlikely to exceed three, favoring bettors who are inclined towards the “under 2.5 goals in the match” option. This could be attributed to Atalanta’s strong defensive performance at home and Juventus’ weak offensive display away. As for the “both teams to score” bet, it presents almost a 50% success rate and could also be an interesting option to consider.

Finally, we have seen that the “over 2.5 goals in the match” bet could represent an interesting value bet, despite statistics suggesting otherwise. Sometimes, it may be wise to bet against the trend if the match conditions justify it.

In summary, this match provides numerous opportunities for bettors who are willing to delve deep into statistics and show some boldness and creativity in their bets. Regardless of the match outcome, the key is to bet in an informed and responsible manner.