Tipps Atalanta Marseille UEFA Europa League 09/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atalanta Bergamo wins the match.

1. Atalanta Bergamo has a better home record compared to Marseille’s away record. In their last 5 respective matches, Atalanta Bergamo won 60% of their matches while Marseille did not win any of their away matches.
2. Atalanta Bergamo has a greater offensive potential. The average goals scored per match at home is 1.8 for Atalanta Bergamo, compared to 1.6 for Marseille away. Additionally, Atalanta Bergamo has an offensive potential of 64% compared to Marseille’s 57%, meaning they are more likely to score goals.
3. The probabilities based on statistical calculations also favor Atalanta Bergamo. The likelihood of Atalanta Bergamo winning the match is estimated at 53.61%, while the chance of Marseille winning is only 21.13%.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent performances of both teams, Atalanta Bergamo and Marseille OM, indicate a tendency for high-scoring matches. In their last 5 respective matches, Atalanta Bergamo scored 10 goals while Marseille OM scored 5. By adding the goals conceded by each team, the total exceeds 2.5 goals in most cases.

2. Advanced statistics show a high offensive and defensive potential for both teams. Atalanta Bergamo scored an average of 1.8 goals per home match while Marseille OM scored an average of 1.6 goals away. Additionally, Atalanta Bergamo conceded an average of 0.8 goals at home and Marseille OM conceded an average of 1.2 goals away. These average scores suggest that a match between these two teams could very well see more than 2.5 goals.

3. The initial prediction also indicated a 54.64% probability that the match would end with over 2.5 goals, with attractive odds of 1.84. This means that, statistically speaking, the probability of having more than 2.5 goals in this match is higher than average.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The historical goal-scoring performance of both teams is quite high. Atalanta Bergamo has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Marseille OM has scored 5 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams also have defensive weaknesses, as evidenced by the number of goals conceded in their last 5 matches. Atalanta Bergamo has conceded 11 goals at home, while Marseille OM has conceded 8 goals away.

3. Finally, in their recent matches, both teams have often managed to score, regardless of the final result. This trend highlights their ability to score goals, strengthening the argument for a “both teams to score” prediction.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Atalanta Bergamo 2-1 Marseille OM

1. Atalanta Bergamo has a stronger performance at home with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match and a 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches, unlike Marseille (OM) whose away win rate is 0% while scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match.

2. The odds indicate that Atalanta Bergamo has the highest probability of defeating Marseille (OM) with a 53.61% chance of success compared to 21.13% for an OM victory. Furthermore, the odds for a draw or Atalanta win are at a 78.87% probability.

3. Analysis of the teams’ recent matches shows a consistent trend with our prediction. Most of Atalanta’s recent home matches have resulted in over 2.5 goals (in line with the odds of 54.64%) and they have won most of the time with 2 goals scored. In contrast, Marseille (OM) tends to lose their away matches with at least 1 goal scored.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atalanta Bergamo has shown a good home performance, with three wins in their last five matches. Their offensive potential stands at 64%, with an average of 1.8 goals per match against a solid defense of 29% conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match.

Marseille OM, on the other hand, struggles away from home, with no wins in their last five matches. Their offensive power is only at 57%, with an average of 1.6 goals, and a mediocre defense of 43%.

In terms of probabilities, Atalanta Bergamo has an advantage with a 53.61% probability of winning the match, while OM has only a 21.13% probability of winning.

There is a high chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match with an 80.41% probability.

Both teams have a 55.15% probability of scoring a goal.

Based on these numbers, a favorable forecast for Atalanta seems obvious.

The potential number of goals

Atalanta Bergamo is strong at home with an average of one win in two matches and an average of 1.8 goals per game. Their offensive potential is 64%. However, they have conceded more goals than scored recently (11 against 10).

Marseille OM, on the other hand, is struggling away from home. They have not won any recent matches and have scored fewer goals than their opponent today (5 goals). Their offensive potential stands at 57%.

Considering the probabilities, Atalanta appears to be the favorite with 53.61%. a draw is quite probable (25.26%), while Marseille’s victory is the least likely scenario (21.13%).

Regarding the number of goals in the match, there is an 80.41% probability for more than 1.5 goals and 54.64% for more than 2.5 goals. It seems probable that both teams will score, with a probability of 55.15%.

Based on these figures, Atalanta Bergamo seems to have the advantage in this match. However, football can always bring surprises.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis indicates a superiority of Atalanta Bergamo over Marseille OM, in terms of home performances and offensive efficiency. Furthermore, the probabilities of a victory for Atalanta Bergamo are 53.61% compared to only 21.13% for Marseille OM. We also anticipate a high-scoring match with over 2.5 goals being the most likely outcome, considering both teams’ recent performances and the betting odds. However, as football is an unpredictable sport, it remains crucial to exercise caution when placing bets. Remember, sports betting involves risks: only wager money you are willing to lose.