Tipps Athletic Club Atletico Madrid La Liga 31/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico Madrid wins the match

1. Atletico Madrid has a higher win percentage (80% compared to 60%) than Athletic Bilbao in their respective last 5 matches. This shows a better recent performance by Atletico Madrid.
2. Atletico Madrid has a higher offensive potential (114%) than Athletic Bilbao (43%). Furthermore, Atletico Madrid’s defensive potential (29%) is much lower than Athletic Bilbao’s (79%), which means Atletico Madrid concedes fewer goals.
3. The likelihood statistics demonstrate a greater confidence in a victory for Atletico Madrid with a probability of 46.03% compared to a probability of 29.63% for an Athletic Bilbao win.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Recent statistics show a high goal rate in Atletico Madrid’s away matches. In their last 5 games, they have scored an average of 3.2 goals per match. This high average of goals scored suggests a potentially goal-rich match and hence a possible exceeding of the 2.5 goals mark.

2. Athletic Bilbao has scored at least one goal in their last 5 home matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Although this is a lower average compared to Atletico Madrid’s, it remains significant and can contribute to reaching a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Athletic Bilbao’s defense at home seems to be struggling, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per match in their last 5 home games. This, combined with Atletico Madrid’s powerful attacks, hints at a possibility of reaching a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Previous score performances: Considering Athletic Bilbao’s previous home matches and Atletico Madrid’s away matches, it is clear that both teams are capable of scoring during a match.

2. Potential high offensives: Athletic Bilbao has a 43% offensive potential at home while Atletico Madrid has a huge 114% offensive potential away. This means both teams have a high probability of scoring.

3. Potential defensives: Athletic Bilbao has a 79% defensive potential at home while Atletico Madrid’s away defensive potential is 29%. This indicates that both teams have weaker defenses, increasing the chances of both teams scoring in the match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Atletico Madrid wins the match – 2.50

Bet on the exact result

Athletic Bilbao 1-3 Atletico Madrid

1. Atletico Madrid has had an outstanding performance in away matches, winning 80% of their last 5 matches with an average of 3.2 goals scored per game, indicating a high offensive potential and solid defense.

2. Athletic Bilbao has shown a weak defensive performance at home in their last 5 matches, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game, suggesting vulnerability in defense that could be exploited by Atletico Madrid’s powerful attack.

3. Probability statistics also clearly support Atletico Madrid as the favorite to win the match with a success probability of 46.03%, while Athletic Bilbao has a success probability of only 29.63%. Overall, there is a stronger trend for Atletico Madrid to win the match by a wider margin.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Athletic Bilbao has won 60% of their home matches, scoring 8 goals but conceding 10. They have not had any recent draws.
Atletico Madrid is strong away from home, winning 80% of the time and drawing 20%. They have scored 16 goals and conceded the same.
On average, Bilbao scores 1.2 goals and concedes 2.2 at home. Atletico Madrid scores 3.2 goals and concedes 0.8 away.
The chances of Bilbao winning are only 29.63%. A draw has a 24.34% chance. Atletico Madrid is more likely to win with 46.03%.
Bilbao’s previous home matches have had ups and downs, with several wins but also matches with as many goals conceded as scored.
Atletico Madrid has shown strong performances in their away matches, recording several wins with at least a two-goal margin.
We expect over 1.5 goals (73.54% probability). However, the match is likely to remain under 3.5 goals (80.42% probability).
There is an equal chance of both teams scoring (50.26%) as not (49.74%).
Prediction: Atletico Madrid to win, with over 1.5 goals but less than 3.5.

The potential number of goals

Athletic Bilbao has won 60% of their last home matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals per match and conceding 2.2 on average. They have an offensive capacity of 43% and defensive capacity of 79%. Their probability of winning against Atletico is approximately 30%.

On the other hand, Atletico Madrid has an impressive 80% win rate in their recent away matches. They average 3.2 goals scored and concede only 0.8. Their offensive potential is at 114% and defensive at 29%. The probability of winning the match is about 46%.

The data suggests a match with at least 1.5 goals (73.54% probability). Defensively, Atletico appears stronger, scoring more goals on average and conceding fewer.

My prediction would be a victory for Atletico Madrid, with more than 1.5 goals in the match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistical analysis and probabilities of this La Liga match between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid indicate that Atletico Madrid is in better form and possesses a greater offensive and defensive potential than Athletic Bilbao. Therefore, it is recommended to place a bet on Atletico Madrid to win, with over 2.5 goals expected in the match.

It is also likely that both teams will score given their past performances. Furthermore, the bet on Atletico Madrid to win the match has odds of 2.50, which seems to be an interesting value bet based on the analyzed factors.

As for the exact score bet, the prediction of Athletic Bilbao 1-3 Atletico Madrid seems reasonable considering the offensive and defensive performances of both teams.

Overall, it appears that the odds favor Atletico Madrid in this upcoming match, and it is advised for bettors to consider these recommendations based on their own analysis and the current momentum.