Tipps Athletic Club AZ Alkmaar UEFA Europa League 03/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Athletic Bilbao wins the match

1. According to statistics, Athletic Bilbao has a success probability of 62.5% to win the match against AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League. This estimation is based on their previous performances and home winning rate.

2. By analyzing previous matches, it is noticeable that Athletic Bilbao has a stronger defensive capacity at home, conceding on average only one goal per match. Even though AZ Alkmaar has a high offensive potential away, Bilbao’s defensive solidity at home could be a decisive factor.

3. Recent statistics of Athletic Bilbao show that they have achieved positive results against strong teams at home. Despite losing to Atlético Madrid, they managed to draw against Sevilla and defeat Celta Vigo, proving their ability to perform well against high-level teams.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

1. The offensive potential of both teams is quite high, with Athletic Bilbao averaging 2 goals per home match and AZ Alkmaar boasting an impressive average of 3.6 goals per away match. Therefore, an offensive game can be expected.

2. AZ Alkmaar has shown a recent trend of scoring away from home, as evidenced by their last five matches where they scored at least one goal in each game. This could increase the likelihood of there being over 2.5 goals in the match.

3. While the odds of Athletic Bilbao winning are higher, the odds of there being over 2.5 goals in the match are also substantial at 58.33%. This, combined with the recent performances and offensive potential of both teams, suggests that there could be over 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from previous matches show a certain goal-scoring ability from both teams. Athletic Bilbao has scored in 80% of their last 5 home matches, while AZ Alkmaar has scored in 100% of their last 5 away matches.

2. Both teams have leaky defenses: Athletic Bilbao has conceded goals in 4 of their last 5 home matches, while AZ Alkmaar has also conceded in 4 of their last 5 away matches.

3. The success rates calculated for the “Both teams to score” market are 53.13%, higher than the opposite percentage which is 46.87%. Therefore, based on the calculations, there is a greater chance for both teams to score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

AZ Alkmaar wins the match

Bet on the exact result

Athletic Bilbao 2-2 AZ Alkmaar

1. The offensive potential of Athletic Bilbao at home and AZ Alkmaar away is quite high, with respective rates of 71% and 129%. This increases the likelihood of each team scoring at least 2 goals.

2. The statistics of goals conceded by Athletic Bilbao at home and AZ Alkmaar away show that both teams struggle to keep a clean sheet, conceding on average more than 1 goal per match for each team. This suggests there will be goals from both sides.

3. The probability of a draw is 19.27%, but considering the number of draws recently achieved by Athletic Bilbao at home (2 draws in the last 5 matches), a prediction of a 2-2 draw seems quite plausible.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Athletic Bilbao have been in uneven form at home, winning 2 out of their last 5 matches. They score an average of 2 goals per game but concede 1 goal. AZ Alkmaar has excelled away from home, with an 80% win rate. They score a lot, with an average of 3.6 goals per game and only concede 1.2 goals per game.

The odds favor Bilbao, indicating a win probability of 62.5%, compared to only 18.23% for Alkmaar. The draw or Bilbao win option has a high probability of 81.77%.

The chances are strong for over 1.5 goals (77.6%) in this match, with a moderate probability of over 2.5 goals (58.33%). There is also a 50-50 chance (53.13%) that both teams will score.

Considering these stats and the recent results of both teams, we are likely heading towards an Athletic Bilbao win with over 1.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Bilbao has won 40% of its last 5 home matches. They are a solid team. They have scored 6 times and conceded 7, indicating a slight weakness in defense. Their offensive potential is at 71%.

Alkmaar is a force away from home, with a winning rate of 80%. They have scored 7 goals and conceded the same amount, with an offensive potential of 129%. Their defense is better, at 43%.

On paper, the match would lean towards Bilbao with a probability of 62.5%. However, Alkmaar seems capable of scoring more, indicated by a strong offensive rate and a good away form.

Interestingly, matches tend to have more than 1.5 goals with a 77.6% chance, and a 58.33% chance of having more than 2.5 goals. So expect goals! And both teams could score, given the probability of 53.13%.

In conclusion, this could be a tight match, with probably several goals scored by both teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, this match between Athletic Bilbao and AZ Alkmaar in the UEFA Europa League is expected to be interesting and potentially high-scoring. Based on statistical analysis, Athletic Bilbao is favored to win at home. However, with AZ Alkmaar’s strong offense away from home, there are chances for both teams to score.

Bettors could take advantage of a bold choice by betting on an AZ Alkmaar victory, even though they are not the favorites. Furthermore, a prediction of a 2-2 scoreline seems plausible given the offensive potential of both teams and their struggles to keep a clean sheet.

Overall, this match is likely to provide suspense and excitement, with a high probability of many goals. Sports betting and football enthusiasts should keep an eye on this match as it promises to be lively and could offer good betting opportunities.