Tipps Athletic Club Espanyol La Liga 19/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Athletic Bilbao wins the match

1. Athletic Bilbao’s home performance: In their last 5 home matches, Bilbao has won 60% of the time. They have also shown a strong offensive performance, scoring 7 goals in these matches.

2. Espanyol Barcelona’s poor away performance: Espanyol has failed to win any of their last 5 away matches, and they have only scored 2 goals during this time.

3. Overall statistics in favor of Athletic Bilbao: The odds are strongly in favor of Athletic Bilbao with a success probability of 66.06% for a Bilbao win. This, combined with the fact that Espanyol has a low success probability of 12.12%, strengthens the argument for Bilbao winning the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The head-to-head history between Athletic Bilbao and Espanyol Barcelona shows a general trend towards low-scoring matches, with an average of less than 2.5 goals combined per match.
2. Espanyol Barcelona’s recent away form has been quite weak, with an average of only 2 goals scored in their last 5 away matches, reducing the chances of a high total of goals in this match.
3. Athletic Bilbao’s defensive statistic at home indicates they tend to concede few goals (on average 1 goal per match), which, combined with Espanyol’s weak offensive performance away, reinforces the assumption of a low-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Recent home match history of Athletic Bilbao shows they manage to keep a clean sheet in 60% of cases (3 out of 5 matches), reducing the chances of both teams scoring.

2. Espanyol Barcelona’s recent away performances have been poor, averaging only 0.4 goals scored per match (2 goals in 5 matches). They have failed to score in 80% of these matches, indicating a low probability of them scoring in this match.

3. Athletic Bilbao’s home defense statistics are solid, conceding an average of only 1 goal per match, pointing to a strong defensive form that could prevent Espanyol Barcelona from scoring.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol Barcelona

1. Athletic Bilbao’s home performance: Athletic Bilbao has shown a strong performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches with an average of 1.6 goals per game, giving them a significant advantage.

2. Espanyol Barcelona’s away performance: Espanyol Barcelona has displayed a weak performance away from home, with no wins in their last 5 matches and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. This does not bode well for their upcoming match performance.

3. Statistical probabilities: The statistics favor Athletic Bilbao with a 66.06% probability of winning, and there is a 73.94% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, aligning with a predicted score of 2-1 in favor of Athletic Bilbao.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Athletic Bilbao is showing good results at home, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches. They average 1.6 goals per match but have also conceded the same number of goals, 7 in total, in those games.

On the other hand, Espanyol Barcelona struggles away from home, with no wins in 5 attempts. They have only scored 2 goals and conceded double that. Their defensive average is weak at 71%.

Based on probabilities, Bilbao has a 66.06% chance of winning compared to just 12.12% for Barcelona, a significant difference highlighting the contrast in performance between the two teams.

There is a 73.94% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, which could be supported by Bilbao’s average goals scored at home.

Bilbao’s last 5 home matches have shown a tendency for low scores, often less than 3.5 goals, with a success rate of 81.21%.

Conversely, Espanyol Barcelona struggles to score away – most of their recent matches ended with less than 2.5 goals.

In conclusion, Athletic Bilbao appears to be the favorite to win this match. The probability of a Bilbao win or a draw is very high at 87.88%. Both teams could score, but there is a higher chance they won’t at 55.76%. It’s also highly likely that there will be fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

By analyzing the last 5 matches of Athletic Bilbao, the goal balance is even with 7 scored and 7 conceded at home. Furthermore, Bilbao has won 60% of these matches and drawn 20%. On the other hand, Barcelona’s performance is average with zero wins, 20% draws, and only 2 goals scored away.

Now let’s look at the offensive and defensive potential of the teams. Bilbao is more offensive at home, averaging 1.6 goals per game. Defensively, they are strong, conceding an average of just one goal. In comparison, Espanyol scores less away (1.4 goals/game) and has a weaker defense (2 goals conceded/game).

Approaching the match, Bilbao is the favorite with a 66.06% chance of winning, the draw is estimated at 21.82%, while Espanyol has only a 12.12% chance of winning.

In terms of goals, there is a 73.94% chance of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match, while the probability of both teams scoring is fairly balanced: 44.24%.

In conclusion, Athletic Bilbao seems to have the advantage for this match, especially on their home turf. Therefore, consider betting on a Bilbao win or a match with over 1.5 goals.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on the recent performances of both teams, the statistics strongly favor an Athletic Bilbao victory over Espanyol Barcelona. Bilbao has shown strong performances at home, while Espanyol has struggled away. The goal potential in this match seems to be leaning towards Bilbao, and there could be less than 2.5 goals in the match. The likelihood of both teams scoring is low. Therefore, it seems suitable to bet on an Athletic Bilbao win, with less than 2.5 total goals in the match and a low probability of both teams scoring.