Tipps Athletic Club Getafe La Liga 15/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Athletic Bilbao wins the match.

1. Offensive and defensive potential: In their last 5 respective matches, Athletic Bilbao has a higher offensive potential at 57% compared to Getafe’s 7%. They also have a better defense with an average of 29% compared to Getafe’s defensive potential of 64%.

2. Goals scored and conceded: Athletic Bilbao has scored almost twice as many goals as Getafe (7 to 3) in their last 5 matches, indicating a better attacking performance. Getafe, on the other hand, has conceded more goals than Athletic Bilbao in their last 5 matches (4 to 8).

3. Result profitability: According to statistics, Athletic Bilbao has a 75.15% chance of winning the match, compared to only 9.09% for Getafe. It is also worth noting that in their recent matches at home, Athletic Bilbao has outperformed Getafe’s away performances.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent history of both teams shows that they have a low average of goals scored per match: Athletic Bilbao has an average of 1.6 goals per match at home and Getafe has an average of 0.2 goals per match away.

2. Getafe has a low offensive potential when playing away, only 7%, which indicates they are unlikely to score many goals.

3. Statistics reveal that Athletic Bilbao’s defensive potential is 29%. This means they concede very few goals, further reducing the chances of a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. Getafe has a weak offensive potential away from home, averaging only 0.2 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This suggests that it is unlikely for them to score a goal in this match.
2. Athletic Bilbao has a strong defense at home, conceding on average only 0.8 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This indicates that they are capable of not conceding goals against teams like Getafe with a weak offensive potential.
3. The weight of statistics also supports this argument, with a 58.18% probability that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

Bet on the exact result

Athletic Bilbao 2-0 Getafe

1. Past statistics – Athletic Bilbao seems to have a more stable performance at home, having scored 7 goals in their last 5 home matches. Additionally, they have a very good defensive performance, conceding only 0.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Getafe has a rather weak offensive performance in their away games, averaging only 0.2 goals scored per match and conceding an average of 1.8 goals.

2. Bookmakers’ odds – The probabilities show that Bilbao has a 75.15% chance of winning, while the chances of Getafe winning the match are quite low at 9.09%. Bilbao has a high probability of keeping a clean sheet (58.18%) and the chances of more than 2.5 goals being scored in the match are at 45.45%, suggesting a low-scoring game.

3. Recent team performances – Looking at recent performances, Bilbao has managed to score at least 2 goals in their recent home matches against Sevilla, whereas Getafe has failed to score in their last 3 away games. This indicates that Bilbao is capable of maintaining a strong offensive performance at home while Getafe struggles to score away from home.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bilbao, at home, struggles to win with only a 20% win rate in their last 5 matches, but they score almost 2 goals per game (1.6). Getafe, away from home, only wins 20% of the time, has a weak offensive record with just 0.2 goals per match.

Bilbao’s defense holds up quite well, conceding 0.8 goals per game at home, while Getafe concedes almost 2 goals on average per away match.

The odds indicate a high probability of a Bilbao victory at 75.15%, and a draw or Bilbao win at 90.91% probability – an option not to be overlooked for a safe bet.

The match will likely have few goals, with odds of 1.35 for over 1.5 goals but a very high probability of under 3.5 goals at 94.55%. Bilbao generally scores, while Getafe struggles to find the net away. This trend is confirmed by a 58.18% probability of both teams not scoring.

Based on recent results, Bilbao tends to produce tight draws at home, while Getafe struggles to score away. The safest bet here would be a Bilbao win or draw, with under 3.5 goals in the match.

The potential number of goals

Athletic Bilbao has shown a relatively stable performance at home, scoring an average of 1.6 goals per match. However, they have been hindered by defensive weaknesses, conceding 0.8 goals per match. Nonetheless, their offensive potential outweighs their defensive shortcomings (57% vs 29%).

On the other hand, Getafe, playing away, struggles offensively, scoring a mere 0.2 goals per match. They do display better defensive solidity with a defensive potential of 64%. However, their low offensive output (7%) compromises their performance.

Based on the statistics, Bilbao has a higher probability of winning (75.15%) with odds of 1.47, which appears to be a rational choice for a bet.

The expected number of goals in the match is likely to be limited. The most probable scenario is a match with under 2.5 goals (odds of 1.78), with a high probability of under 3.5 goals (94.55%).

Furthermore, both teams do not always score, as indicated by a 58.18% probability of both teams not scoring. Therefore, this could be an attractive bet with odds of 1.62.

In summary, the numbers favor the home team, Athletic Bilbao, with potentially few goals in the match and a scenario where both teams may not score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistical analysis, current form of the teams, and bookmakers’ odds suggest a probable victory for Athletic Bilbao in a match where the total number of goals should be under 2.5. The home team’s offensive prowess and Getafe’s lack of success away from home also make it very likely that Getafe will not score in this match. Betting on these scenarios could offer value for bettors. However, as always in sports betting, while analysis and statistics can provide a useful insight, nothing is guaranteed. It is essential to bet responsibly and consider all available information before placing a bet.