Tipps Athletic Club Valencia La Liga 28/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Athletic Bilbao wins the match

1. Historical Performance: Athletic Bilbao has a strong home win rate in their last 5 matches (60%) while Valencia has struggled to win away, not having won any of their last 5 away matches.

2. Offensive and Defensive Potentials: Athletic Bilbao has superior offensive and defensive potentials compared to Valencia, with an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 79%, as opposed to Valencia who has an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 64%.

3. Probability statistics: Athletic Bilbao’s probabilities of winning the match are significantly higher (59.16%) than Valencia’s (13.09%).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Both Athletic Bilbao and Valencia have a relatively low goal average in their last 5 matches, each scoring 1.2 goals per game. This suggests that their offensive performances are not at a high level, making a total of under 2.5 goals more likely.

2. Bilbao’s home defensive statistics and Valencia’s away defensive statistics show an average of 2.2 and 1.8 goals conceded respectively, both below the 2.5 goals mark. This indicates defensive strength from both teams that could limit the total number of goals scored in the match.

3. Probability calculations also support the prediction of under 2.5 goals in the match with a success probability of 50.21%. Additionally, both teams have often either won or lost in their recent matches by a small margin, further backing this prediction.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics show a similar offensive potential for both teams, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match. This indicates that it is quite likely that each team will score at least one goal.

2. The recent match history shows that both teams have managed to score in most of their encounters, whether at home or away.

3. In terms of defense, there is a high percentage of goals conceded, with 79% for Bilbao and 64% for Valencia. This means that their defenses are quite vulnerable and there is a high probability that each team will concede a goal.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

More than 2.5 goals in the match

Bet on the exact result

Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Valencia

1. The high percentage of Athletic Bilbao’s home wins: indeed, in their last 5 home matches, the team has won 60% of the games, suggesting a strong performance when playing on their own turf.
2. Valence’s lack of away wins: based on their last 5 away matches statistics, Valence has not won any of these matches, indicating a relatively low level of performance when they play outside their own stadium.
3. Athletic Bilbao’s defensive performances at home are superior to Valence’s away performances. On average, Bilbao concedes 2.2 goals per match at home, while Valence concedes 1.8 goals per match away. This suggests Bilbao may have the advantage in terms of defense in this match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Bilbao is showing strong form at home, with a 60% win rate. No recent draws, with 8 goals scored and 10 conceded. Valence doesn’t shine away with a 0% win rate and 20% draws. They’ve scored 5 goals, conceded 6.

Bilbao averages 1.2 goals per match and concedes 2.2. Their offensive potential is at 43%, defensive at 79.

Valence, with the same goal average, concedes less with 1.8 goals. Their offensive potential is at 43%, defensive at 64%.

The probabilities show Bilbao as the favorite with a 59.16% chance of winning and odds of 1.60. A draw remains possible at 27.75%.

Valence has little chance, at 13.09%, despite attractive odds at 6.00.

Betting on a Bilbao win or a draw is safest at 86.91%. The odds are 1.13.

There should be many goals. More than 1.5 goals have a 75.92% chance of happening, odds at 1.35. Less than 3.5 goals are likely at 82.2% (odds at 1.28).

Both teams have almost equal chances of scoring (47.12%) as they do of remaining goalless (52.88%).

Based on these figures, Bilbao should secure a victory at home with potentially several goals scored.

The potential number of goals

Athletic Bilbao has shown a strong home performance with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They average 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded per match, giving them an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 79%.

On the other hand, Valencia has struggled away from home. They have not won any matches, drawn in 20% of cases, scored 5 goals, and conceded 6 in their last 5 away games. Their offensive potential is 43% and defensive potential is 64%.

The highest probability suggests a likely winner in Athletic Bilbao, with a 59.16% chance of winning. In contrast, Valencia has a low chance of winning at 13.09%.

In terms of goals, there is a 75.92% probability of over 1.5 goals in the match. However, a low score is also highly probable with a 95.29% chance of under 4.5 goals in the match.

The likelihood of both teams scoring is almost balanced – 47.12% for ‘Yes’ and 52.88% for ‘No’.

Overall, a low-scoring victory for Athletic Bilbao appears to be the most likely outcome for this match.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on historical performance analyses, offensive and defensive potentials, and probability statistics, the safest bet for the match between Athletic Bilbao and Valencia appears to be a Bilbao win with less than 2.5 goals scored during the match. However, the fact that both teams have similar attacking potentials and a history of scoring in their matches also suggests the possibility of both teams scoring during the game.

An interesting betting choice also arises with ‘over 2.5 goals in the match,’ a proposition that offers some value considering the frequency of scoring by both teams and past defensive statistics.

The prediction for the exact score of the match is 2-1 in favor of Athletic Bilbao, based on their strong home performance and Valencia’s relatively vulnerable defense away from home.

Overall, this match promises to be an interesting encounter where technical and tactical details could potentially determine the final result. Bettors are advised to consider these analyses but also to follow their own judgment while betting responsibly.