Tipps Atlanta United FC DC United Major League Soccer 12/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

The forecast for the Atlanta United VS DC United match in Major League Soccer based on the provided data would be: Atlanta United wins the match.

1. Atlanta United’s home performances: Looking at recent statistics, Atlanta United has a strong performance at home. Winning 40% of their last 5 matches and securing a draw in 40% of cases, these numbers show that Atlanta United is a powerful force when playing at home.

2. DC United’s away performances: Compared to Atlanta United’s home performances, DC United’s away performances are significantly weaker. Winning 0% of their last 5 matches and only managing to secure a draw in 80% of cases, DC United seems to struggle to find a winning rhythm when not playing at home.

3. Probability of success and offensive performance: The data shows a clear advantage for Atlanta United. The success probability in favor of Atlanta is 56.19% and their offensive potential is 36%, compared to a 50% offensive potential for DC. This means there is a strong chance that Atlanta will score more goals, which could lead them to win the match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Recent statistics from both teams show a trend of scoring and conceding goals. Atlanta United has scored and conceded 9 goals in 5 home matches, while DC United has scored 5 goals and conceded 7 in 5 away matches. These numbers indicate an average of over 2.5 goals per match.

2. The provided data also shows that both teams have a relatively high offensive potential, with Atlanta United at 36% and DC United at 50%. Furthermore, their defense regularly allows goals, which increases the likelihood of a match with over 2.5 goals.

3. The odds for over 2.5 goals in the match indicate a success probability of 60%. This is a strong indicator that bookmakers also expect a match with over 2.5 goals. The low odds for under 2.5 goals in the match reinforce this perception.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Previous historical trend: Judging by their recent past, both teams have shown a capability to score goals at home for Atlanta and away for DC United. Atlanta has scored in 80% of their last 5 home matches, while DC United has scored in all of their recent away matches.

2. Offensive and defensive efficiency: Both teams have significant offensive and defensive efficiency. Atlanta has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 50%, while DC United has an offensive potential of 50% and a defensive potential of 64%. This demonstrates that both teams have the ability to cause damage to the opposition.

3. Scoring prowess of both teams in their last 5 matches – Atlanta United has an average of 1 goal per match, while DC United has an average of 1.4 goals per match. This trend of scoring regularly shows a high likelihood that each team will score in the next match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or DC United wins the match – 2.20

Bet on the exact result

Atlanta United 1-1 DC United

1. Recent home match history of Atlanta United and away match history of DC United shows that both teams have a high draw rate, 40% and 80% respectively. This suggests a balanced competition between the two teams, reinforcing the prediction of a 1-1 score.

2. On average, Atlanta United scores and concedes around 1 goal per home match, while DC United scores and concedes just over 1 goal per away match. These statistics align with a potential 1-1 scoreline.

3. The probability of both teams scoring is 57.14%, which is quite high. Considering neither team has a strong probability of winning (Atlanta United having the highest at 56.19%, which is far from guaranteed), the 1-1 result is a reasonable prediction.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atlanta United has won 2 out of their last 5 home matches. With a 40% win and draw rate, and an average of 1 goal per match, their home performance seems fairly balanced.

DC United struggles away from home. They have failed to win any of their previous 5 outings, settling for 4 draws and 1 loss. They score an average of 1.4 goals on the road, but also concede more, with an average of 1.8.

Based on these statistics, Atlanta United has a 56.19% probability of winning, with a 25.71% chance of a draw.

The probabilities indicate a match with over 1.5 goals (81.9% likelihood), and possibly over 2.5 goals (60% chance). According to recent matches, both teams are also likely to score (57.14% probability).

Conclusion: Favorable for Atlanta United, with chances of goals from both sides.

The potential number of goals

Atlanta United are strong at home. Recent performances show they win or draw 80% of the time. However, they have as many goals scored as conceded (9). Their offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 50% are relatively average.

DC United seem weaker away from home. They have had no recent victories and often draw. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 7. Their offensive potential (50%) is better than Atlanta’s, but defensively they are weaker with 64%.

In terms of probabilities, Atlanta United have a strong chance of winning at 56.19%. A draw has a success probability of 25.71%. Even though DC United has a better offensive potential, their chance of winning is low at 18.1%.

The match could have more than 1.5 goals with a probability of 81.9%. But it would be less likely to exceed 4.5 goals (90.48% probability of scoring fewer than 4.5 goals). Both teams could score with a probability of 57.14%.

Looking at past matches, Atlanta seems comfortable with scores of 2 goals while DC tends to draw with 0 or 2 goals. This supports Atlanta’s offensive potential and DC’s defensive potential.

In conclusion, Atlanta has a good chance of winning, but the match could see fewer than 4.5 goals. Atlanta’s attackers could have a good day against a fragile DC defense.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the statistics and recent performances of both teams, the safest bet appears to be a victory for Atlanta United, with a success probability of 56.19%. However, given the high offensive potential of both teams and their tendency to score and concede goals, one can also expect a match where over 2.5 goals will be scored, with a probability of 60%.

Moreover, both teams have shown their ability to score, whether at home for Atlanta or away for DC United, supporting the prediction that both teams will score in the match.

Despite DC United’s weaker recent performances on the road, the bet “draw or DC United win” provides significant value at odds of 2.20, offering an interesting option for bettors looking for high-value bets.

For the exact score bet, the score of 1-1 seems the most likely option, reflecting the balance between the two teams and their tendency to be involved in tight matches.

The current form of Atlanta United and the statistics from recent home matches indicate they are favorites in this match, but one should not overlook DC United’s offensive potential that could surprise Atlanta, especially if their defense continues to show weaknesses.

Lastly, the potential number of goals expected for the match, based on the offensive and defensive statistics of both teams, suggests an open match with several scoring opportunities. However, the probability of over 4.5 goals is low, indicating that defense might ultimately prevail in this encounter.

To sum up, while considering the statistics, the element of surprise/in-play dynamics in live matches must be taken into account, as it can create unforeseen scenarios that could disrupt predictions. Good luck to all bettors!