Tipps Atlas Club Queretaro Liga MX 21/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atlas wins the match

1. Home Match History of Atlas: Atlas has a strong performance at home, winning 60% of their last 5 home matches. This is a strong indication that they have a good ability to control the match on their own turf.

2. Queretaro’s Away Performances: Queretaro has struggled to win in their away matches, not winning any of their last 5 matches and only scoring 2 goals. This indicates a weakness in their away performances that could tilt the balance in favor of Atlas.

3. Offensive and Defensive Potential: Atlas has a 50% offensive potential at home, which is significantly higher than Queretaro’s away potential (14%). Additionally, Atlas’s defensive potential is 50% compared to Queretaro’s 71%, suggesting that Atlas may be more effective in preventing Queretaro from scoring.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Less than 2.5 goals in the match.”

1. Atlas has an average offensive record at home with only 6 goals scored in 5 matches, while Queretaro struggles to score away from home with just 2 goals in 5 games. These are indicators for a potentially low-scoring match.
2. Queretaro has a solid defense on the road, having conceded only 2 goals in 5 matches, which could limit the number of goals in the encounter.
3. Previous match statistics for both teams show a tendency towards low scores, especially for Queretaro who failed to score in 3 of their last 5 away matches.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Queretaro’s away performance is weak, averaging 0.4 goals scored per match in their last 5 matches. This suggests they struggle to score when playing away.
2. Atlas has shown a strong defense in their home matches, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, which is relatively low compared to other teams. Additionally, in Atlas’s last 5 home matches, two of them ended with the opposition failing to score.
3. Historically, in previous matches, there have been instances where either team failed to score. For example, in the Atlas vs Guadalajara match, and in several Queretaro away matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Atlas wins the match – 1.15

Bet on the exact result

Atlas 1-0 Queretaro

1. In their last 5 home games, Atlas has won 60% of the time and scored an average of 1.4 goals per match. This high offensive performance, compared to Queretaro who only scores an average of 0.4 goals away from home, favors a scenario of an Atlas victory with a 1-0 scoreline.

2. Queretaro’s weak offensive performance away from home, with only 2 goals scored in 5 matches, and a win probability of only 18.85% according to the odds, also supports the idea that this team will struggle to score in this match against Atlas.

3. In addition to the high probability of Atlas winning the match (60.21%), there is a strong likelihood (78.53%) that the match will end with less than 3.5 goals. The prediction of a 1-0 scoreline for Atlas is therefore consistent with these statistics.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atlas is in better form at home compared to Queretaro away. Atlas has won 60% of their home matches, scoring 6 goals and conceding 7. Queretaro, on the other hand, has no away victories, with only 2 goals scored and 2 conceded. In terms of offensive and defensive potential, Atlas averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded at home. Queretaro away has an offensive potential of only 14% and a defensive potential of 71%.

Atlas’s recent home matches have been quite good, with mainly wins. Queretaro has struggled away, failing to secure any victories. The probabilities point towards an Atlas win with 60.21% probability or a draw or Atlas win with 81.15% chances. Both teams scoring is also something to consider with a success rate of 51.31%.

Overall, it would be logical to bet on an Atlas win or a match with a total of less than 3.5 goals given the current form of both teams and their offensive and defensive performances.

The potential number of goals

Atlas has a strong home performance, with a 60% win rate in its last 5 matches. It has a 50% offensive strength, as it scores an average of 1.4 goals per match.

Queretaro, on the other hand, has not managed to win any of its last 5 away matches, and shows a weak offensive capability with a 14% potential, scoring only 0.4 goals on average.

The defensive capabilities of both teams are quite similar, with a 50% potential for Atlas and 71% for Queretaro.

The probabilities heavily favor Atlas with a 60.21% chance of winning. A draw is less likely at 20.94%.

The safest option in terms of number of goals would be “Under 4.5 goals in the match,” with a 93.72% probability.

Atlas’ recent home matches have seen more than 1.5 goals, while Queretaro’s away matches have mainly produced fewer than 2.5 goals.

The trend indicates a potentially low-scoring match, with a probable victory for Atlas.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis and advanced statistics in this article clearly indicate a higher probability of victory for the Atlas team, especially due to their strong home performances and Queretaro’s weak offensive capabilities when playing away. Considering the trend of relatively low scores in matches involving these two teams, a bet on a total of under 2.5 goals seems to be a wise option. Furthermore, the likelihood of both teams not scoring is high given Atlas’ defensive performances and Queretaro’s offensive struggles. In terms of a value bet, the “Draw or Atlas win the match” bet seems to be the most interesting. Finally, the exact score prediction of 1-0 for Atlas aligns with these analyses and statistics. However, it is important to remember that sports betting always involves risk and should be done responsibly.