Tipps Atlas Guadalajara Chivas Liga MX 28/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Guadalajara wins the match

1. Guadalajara performs better away from home with a win rate of 60%, compared to only 20% for Atlas at home. This is a strong indicator in favor of Guadalajara.

2. Guadalajara also has a higher attacking potential than Atlas, averaging 1.6 goals per match compared to 1.4 for Atlas. Additionally, Guadalajara has a better defense, conceding only 0.4 goals on average compared to 2 for Atlas.

3. Overall statistics also favor Guadalajara with a win probability of 45.36% against 27.32% for Atlas. The odds offered confirm this advantage in favor of Guadalajara (2.10 compared to 3.30 for Atlas).

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Historical goal statistics show an average of around 2.5 goals per match for both teams, with Atlas scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and Guadalajara scoring 1.6.
2. Success probabilities indicate a potentially close match with slightly over 50% chance of having more than 2.5 goals in the game, which is in line with historical goal statistics.
3. Recent statistics of both teams prove their ability to frequently score and concede goals. For example, in Atlas’s last five matches, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in three matches. Similarly, in Guadalajara’s last five matches, there have been over 2.5 goals scored in three matches. Therefore, the trend of scoring and conceding goals often predicts a high-scoring match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent scores: For Atlas, despite a mixed performance at home, an average of 1.4 goals per match is noted. Guadalajara, on the other hand, has an excellent offensive ratio away from home with an average of 1.6 goals per match. Both teams have shown a propensity to score in their recent matches.

2. Weak defensive potential: Atlas’s defensive potential at home is relatively weak (71%), meaning that opposing teams frequently score when they visit Atlas. Conversely, Guadalajara’s defensive potential away is very low (14%), indicating that this team struggles to keep a clean sheet on the road.

3. Past results: Based on the teams’ recent matches, it is noticeable that both teams have managed to score in the majority of their respective games. This is a strong indicator that both teams have the ability to score against each other, making the bet “Both teams to score: Yes” plausible.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Guadalajara wins the match – 45.36% chance of success: 2.10

Bet on the exact result

“Atlas 1-2 Guadalajara”

1. Guadalajara has a better away performance with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches and a higher offensive potential (57%) compared to Atlas at home (50%).

2. On average, Atlas scores 1.4 goals and concedes 2 goals per match at home, which lowers their chances of winning against Guadalajara who averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.4 goals conceded per match on the road.

3. The odds-based probabilities favor Guadalajara with a 45.36% chance of winning the match against 27.32% for Atlas, and the likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 61.34%, supporting the predicted score of 1-2 in favor of Guadalajara.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atlas struggles at home, with only a 20% win rate. They score a lot but concede even more: 6 goals scored, 7 goals against.

Guadalajara is strong away from home: a 60% win rate. They are also solid defensively: 6 goals scored, 7 goals conceded.

Atlas might lack firepower against Guadalajara. Their offensive and defensive performances are not as good: 50% in attack, 71% in defense.

Guadalajara excels in both attack and defense on the road: 57% in attack, 14% in defense.

Statistics suggest a higher probability of Guadalajara winning: 45.36% chance. A draw or an Atlas victory only has a 54.64% chance of success.

Expect at least 1.5 goals, with a 75.26% probability. But less than 3.5 goals are also highly likely: 74.23%.

There is a 61.34% probability that both teams will score.

Based on recent matches, Atlas often loses at home despite scoring goals. Guadalajara frequently wins away, usually scoring at least one goal.

With this data, it seems likely that Guadalajara will win and the total goals will be under 3.5.

The potential number of goals

Atlas at home is less successful with a 20% win rate and 80% draws. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 7. Their defense is struggling.

On the other hand, Guadalajara away from home is more impressive with a 60% win rate. They have also scored 6 goals and conceded 7, just like Atlas, but their overall performance is better.

Atlas at home averages 1.4 goals scored and concedes 2 goals. Their offensive potential is only at 50% and their defense at 71%.

Guadalajara away from home scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes very few, only 0.4 goals. They have an offensive potential of 57% and a superb defense at 14%.

According to the probabilities, Guadalajara has a 45.36% chance of winning, making them the favorites.

There is a high probability of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match (75.26% probability) and a 61.34% probability of both teams scoring.

The data suggests a close match, but Guadalajara has a slight edge.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, statistics and performance indicators predict a victory for Guadalajara in this Liga MX match against Atlas. The past and recent performances, offensive and defensive efficiency of both teams favor Guadalajara, which appears more successful, especially when playing away. Also, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is quite high, suggesting an animated match with at least three goals scored. One of the interesting value bets to consider for this match would therefore be a bet on Guadalajara to win. However, it’s important to remember that sports betting always involves risk, so it’s essential to bet responsibly.