Tipps Atletico Madrid Athletic Club La Liga 27/04/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico Madrid wins the match

1. Atletico Madrid has a strong home performance. They have won 80% of their last 5 home matches, indicating a high probability of winning the next match.
2. Atletico Madrid has a higher offensive and defensive potential compared to Athletic Bilbao. On average, Atletico Madrid scores 1.8 goals per home match and concedes 1.8 goals, while Athletic Bilbao scores and concedes 1 goal per away match.
3. The head-to-head history favors Atletico Madrid. In the last away encounter between the two teams, Atletico Madrid defeated Athletic Bilbao. This can boost their confidence for the upcoming match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive and defensive statistics of both teams: The last five home matches of Atletico Madrid show an average of 1.8 goals scored and conceded per match, while Athletic Bilbao scores and concedes 1 goal on average in their last five away matches. These statistics suggest that both teams tend to be involved in low-scoring matches.

2. Their recent performance: Recent records show that Atletico Madrid has scored 9 goals and conceded 10 goals in their last 5 home matches, and Athletic Bilbao has scored 4 goals and conceded 4 goals in their last 5 away matches. These numbers also indicate that these teams tend to score and concede fewer goals, suggesting that there is likely to be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

3. Projections based on probabilities: The probabilities offered by bookmakers (75.77% for under 3.5 goals in the match and 92.78% for under 4.5 goals in the match) also show that it is very likely there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in this match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The statistics from Atletico Madrid’s recent matches show some defensive weakness, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game and scoring an average of 1.8 goals. This demonstrates a certain balance between scoring and conceding goals.

2. Athletic Bilbao, although less effective offensively than Atletico Madrid, also averages 1 goal scored and 1 goal conceded per game when playing away. This suggests they are capable of scoring against their opponents despite their relatively low away win rate.

3. In conclusion, examining past results indicates that in the last 5 meetings, neither team has been shut out. Atletico Madrid has scored in every home game, and Athletic Bilbao has done the same in their away matches, except against Real Madrid.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Atletico Madrid 2-1 Athletic Bilbao.

1. Atletico Madrid has shown a strong home performance in their recent matches, winning in 80% of cases. They also have an average of 1.8 goals per home match, which aligns with our prediction of two goals for them.
2. Atletico Madrid has conceded goals in every home match in their last 5 games, indicating some vulnerability in defense that could give Bilbao the opportunity to score a goal. On the other hand, Athletic Bilbao has scored in every away match recently, except for one game, which further supports this point.
3. The overall odds also favor our prediction of 2-1 in favor of Atletico Madrid. The probability of Atletico Madrid winning the match is highest at 44.85%, and the option for over 1.5 goals in the match is also the most likely at 71.65%. Both teams to score also has a high probability of success at 54.64%.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico Madrid is displaying strong home form with 80% recent victories. However, they have a negative goal difference, with 9 goals scored against 10 conceded. Athletic Bilbao, when playing away, is less successful with only 40% wins. Their goal difference is balanced at 4 goals scored and 4 conceded. Statistically, there is a trend towards goals in the match, with Atletico Madrid averaging 1.8 goals per game both in attack and defense. Bilbao is more balanced, with an average of one goal per game in both attack and defense. According to predictions, Atletico Madrid has a slightly higher chance of winning the match with a 44.85% probability. A draw follows with a 32.99% probability, while Bilbao’s victory is less likely at 22.16%. Looking at the probability of goals, there is a 71.65% chance of having more than 1.5 goals in the match, but only a 45.88% chance for more than 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 54.64% probability of scoring, which is interesting to note for goal betting enthusiasts. Finally, Atletico Madrid has faced tough opponents in their recent home matches, while Bilbao has had a mixed experience away. It’s worth noting that in their last encounter, Bilbao won 1-0. In conclusion, while the statistics favor Atletico Madrid, the match could be more balanced than it seems. Goal bets could be an attractive option considering the offensive potential of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Atletico Madrid has a strong home performance. In 5 matches, they have won 80% and drawn 20%. They have scored 9 goals. However, their defense is lacking as they have conceded 10 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential is at 64%.

Athletic Bilbao, on the other hand, has a rather mixed record away from home. They have won 40% of their matches and drawn 20% of the time. They have scored and conceded 4 goals. Their offensive and defensive potential stands at 36%.

The prediction would lean towards Atletico Madrid with a 44.85% probability of winning the match. A draw is likely at 32.99% and Bilbao has a 22.16% chance of winning.

More than 1.5 goals are probable in the match with a 71.65% chance. Less than 3.5 goals with a 75.77% probability according to statistics. Both teams can score with a 54.64% chance.

To forecast the match, the historical match-ups offer insights. Previous encounters between these two teams have shown close and exciting competition. Keep an eye on Atletico Madrid who have won their last three home matches.

All of this could lead to a prediction in favor of Atletico Madrid.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, although statistics and recent performances suggest that Atlético Madrid is the favorite to win this match, Athletic Bilbao should not be underestimated. Both teams have shown a tendency to score and concede goals, which could result in a high-scoring game.

Bettors may also find value in the draw bet. The defensive performances of both teams indicate the possibility of balance on the field, which could lead to a tight result and potentially a draw.

The offensive potential of Atlético Madrid combined with their defensive weakness could also hint at a 2-1 exact score bet in favor of Madrid. However, considering the offensive and defensive habits of Athletic Bilbao, it is recommended to bet on under 2.5 goals as it seems to be the most likely option.

It is crucial to emphasize that despite all these analyses and predictions, sports betting always involves an element of uncertainty. It is recommended to bet responsibly and not exceed financial limits.