Tipps Atletico Madrid Girona La Liga 25/08/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico Madrid wins the match

1. Based on their recent matches, Atletico Madrid has shown a better home record than Girona’s away record. Atletico has won 60% of their last five home matches, compared to only 20% for Girona away from home.

2. In terms of offensive and defensive performances, Atletico Madrid is once again superior. They have a 100% offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per match, and a 36% defensive potential, conceding on average 1 goal per match. In comparison, Girona has a 36% offensive potential away from home and an 86% defensive potential, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 2.4 goals per match.

3. According to the success probabilities, Atletico Madrid has a 56.92% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Girona’s 26.15% chances. This statistic favors a victory for Atletico Madrid.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Atletico Madrid has a significant offensive potential at home, scoring an average of 2.8 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This indicates a potential for multiple goals in the match against Girona.
2. Girona has a weak defense away from home, conceding an average of 2.4 goals per game in their last 5 matches. This reinforces the likelihood of there being more than 2.5 goals in this match against Atletico Madrid.
3. Looking at the betting statistics, there is a 63.59% probability of there being more than 2.5 goals during the match. This is a strong indicator in favor of this type of bet.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Atletico Madrid has a strong tendency to score goals in their home matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game. Furthermore, the team has scored in 100% of their recent home matches.

2. Girona has also shown an ability to score in their recent away matches, although their offensive potential is lower (36%). However, they have managed to score in several recent away matches, indicating that they are capable of breaking through the opposing defense.

3. Atletico Madrid has conceded goals in their recent home matches, averaging 1 goal per game, indicating some defensive vulnerability. On the same note, Girona has a defensive potential of 86%, suggesting they are likely to concede goals, making it probable that both teams will score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Girona wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Atletico Madrid 2-1 Girona

1. Statistically, Atletico Madrid has a high chance of winning this match at home. With a 60% win rate in their last 5 home matches, it indicates that they perform well on their own turf.

2. In terms of goals scored and conceded, Atletico Madrid has averaged 2.8 goals scored per home match and 1 goal conceded per match on average. On the other hand, Girona has averaged 1 goal scored per away match and 2.4 goals conceded per match. These statistics suggest that Atletico Madrid has a stronger offense and better defense compared to Girona – supporting the prediction of a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Atletico.

3. The probability of both teams scoring in this match is 54.36%. Considering the average goals scored and conceded by both teams, as well as their respective attacking and defensive performances, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Atletico Madrid seems like a likely outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico Madrid has a strong home record, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. However, their defense seems weak as they have conceded 9 goals despite scoring 8 themselves.

On the other hand, Girona has had more modest results away from home. They have won only 20% of their last 5 matches and drawn 40% of the time. Their defense is balanced, with 5 goals scored and 5 conceded.

In terms of potential, Atletico Madrid has the edge at home with an offensive potential of 100% compared to Girona’s 36% away. Defensively, Girona slightly outperforms Atletico with a potential of 86% versus 36%.

In regard to the prediction, the probability of an Atletico Madrid win is 56.92%. In the case of a draw or an Atletico Madrid victory, the probability increases to 73.85%. The probability of the match having over 1.5 goals is 87.18%.

In conclusion, the game looks tight but Atletico Madrid, stronger at home, is the favorite. It may be better to focus on the number of goals scored for this prediction.

The potential number of goals

Atletico Madrid is in good shape at home, winning 60% of their last 5 matches. Atletico shows promise in attack, scoring 2.8 goals per match. However, their defense concedes 1 goal per match.

Girona is struggling away from home, with only a 20% win rate. Their attack scores an average of one goal per match while their defense struggles with 2.4 goals conceded.

The odds favor an Atletico victory (56.92%) or a draw (16.92%). The both teams to score probability is balanced at 54.36%.

Prediction: Expect a match featuring Atletico’s offensive prowess, with the potential for goals from both sides. Although Girona struggles on the road, their recent performances show an ability to score even away from home. Bet on over 2.5 goals in the match with a probability of 63.59% for a return of 1.60.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, based on the probabilities and past performances of the teams, Atletico Madrid appears to be the favorite to win the match against Girona. Their superior performance both at home and away, as well as their offensive statistics, are key indicators suggesting a likely victory for Atletico Madrid. However, Girona should not be underestimated, as despite poor away performances, they have shown they can score on the road. The match also has a high potential for goals, judging by the offensive trends of both teams. Ultimately, the bet that offers an interesting “value bet” would be to bet on a Girona victory despite the odds. This match may hold some surprises for us.