Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico-MG Fluminense
1. Match History: One of the recent matches between the two teams at Atletico MG’s home ended in a victory for Atletico MG.
2. Home Performance vs Away Performance: Atletico MG has a stronger home performance with an average of 40% wins compared to Fluminense’s average of 20% wins away.
3. Probabilities: The odds heavily favor Atletico MG with a probability of 57.51% to win the match against 16.58% for Fluminense.
1. Based on the latest performances of each team, they do not score many goals per match. Indeed, Atletico MG averages 1.2 goals per match and Fluminense averages 1.6 goals per match, which is below the 2.5 goals threshold.
2. The defenses of both teams are quite solid, with Atletico MG conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match and Fluminense conceding only 0.6 goals per match. These statistics suggest that both teams have the ability to control opposing attacks, thus limiting the number of goals scored.
3. Their head-to-head history also suggests low-scoring matches. For example, in their last encounter, the score was 0 – 2 in favor of Fluminense (a total of two goals), confirming that their meetings tend to stay below the 2.5 goals threshold.
1. The goal statistics for both teams are quite high, indicating a high likelihood that both teams will score. Atletico MG has scored 5 goals and conceded 6 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Fluminense has scored 6 goals and conceded 9 goals in their last 5 outings.
2. Atletico MG and Fluminense have an average of more than 1 goal per match in their last 5 meetings, reflecting their respective offensive capabilities. This also reinforces the idea that both teams are capable of scoring during the match.
3. The “Both teams to score” prediction has a success rate of 51.3%, meaning that the scenario is more likely than the opposite (48.7% probability that both teams will not score).
1. In the last 5 home matches of Atletico MG, they have a rather average performance with only 40% of wins and a goals scored/conceded ratio of 1.2/1.2, demonstrating a vulnerability both in attack and defense.
2. In their last 5 away matches, Fluminense has scored more goals on average (1.6 against 1.2) and conceded fewer goals (0.6 against 1.2) than Atletico MG at home. This indicates that Fluminense has a good attacking performance away from home and a solid defense, increasing the likelihood of them winning the match.
3. Fluminense won the previous match against Atletico MG on their own turf (Atletico MG 0 – 2 Fluminense). Therefore, it is possible that this positive performance could influence the next match and increase the chances of Fluminense winning again.
1. Average team performance: The past performances of Atletico MG and Fluminense show an average number of goals per match that favors a 1-1 scoreline. At home, Atletico MG scores an average of 1.2 goals and also concedes 1.2 goals on average. Furthermore, Fluminense scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 0.6 goals on average, which could indicate that Fluminense is likely to score but also to concede a goal.
2. Probability of a draw: The match has a 25.91% probability of ending in a draw, which is a relatively high probability compared to other outcomes. Additionally, Atletico MG has drawn in 20% of its recent home matches.
3. Both teams to score: The calculation for the probability of both teams scoring is 51.3%, which is slightly higher than the probability of both teams not scoring. Moreover, in their recent matches, both teams have shown a tendency to score goals.
The Atletico MG has mixed performances at home, with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. They have scored 5 goals but conceded 6, with a negative defensive record.
When playing away, Fluminense only secures victory 20% of the time and has never drawn a match. They have scored 6 goals but conceded 9.
In terms of statistics, Atletico MG has a combined offensive and defensive potential of 43% with an average of 1.2 goals per match. Fluminense has a stronger offensive performance at 57% but a weaker defensive performance at 21%.
Therefore, it’s more likely that Atletico MG will win the match with a success probability of 57.51% and odds of 1.75. Another probable outcome is a draw or Atletico MG win with a success probability of 83.42% and odds of 1.20.
Regarding goals, the match is highly likely to have over 1.5 goals (73.58%) and under 3.5 goals (79.27%).
Finally, recent matches show a slight edge to Fluminense with a victory over Atletico MG on their home turf.
Overall, despite Fluminense’s mediocre statistics, their recent success against Atletico MG cannot be ignored. However, a bet on either an Atletico MG win or a draw remains a safe option.
Atletico MG has had a mixed performance at home with 40% of wins and 20% of draws. With 5 goals scored and 6 conceded, its offensive and defensive efficiency over the last 5 matches is equal (43%).
Away from home, Fluminense has struggled with only 20% of wins. They have scored 6 goals but conceded more, 9 goals in total. They show 57% offensive and 21% defensive efficiency.
Among the possible scenarios, Atletico MG has a 57.51% chance of winning, while a draw is at 25.91% and Fluminense at 16.58%. The odds favor a draw or a victory for Atletico (83.42%).
Regarding goal predictions, there is a 73.58% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals in the match, and fewer than 3.5 goals is the most likely scenario with 79.27%.
Lastly, statistics indicate that both teams score in 51.3% of cases. Looking at the recent matches, there was a recent victory for Fluminense over Atletico (2-0).
Prediction: Atletico MG to win with fewer than 3.5 goals in the match.
In conclusion, during the match between Atletico MG and Fluminense, historical factors, recent performances of both teams, and statistical analysis favor a victory for Atletico MG. However, Fluminense’s offensive potential should not be underestimated as they have shown their ability to score in previous matches.
Therefore, it seems like a wise choice to bet on a victory for Atletico MG, with a total of fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It is also likely that both teams will score during the match. However, as always in sports betting, while statistics and probabilities provide valuable information, they do not guarantee results.
Remember that the main goal should always be to bet responsibly and have fun. Sports betting remains a game of uncertainty, and despite all the analysis, surprises can always happen. Good luck to everyone with your bets on this fascinating match between Atletico MG and Fluminense!
1. Match History: One of the recent matches between the two teams at Atletico MG’s home ended in a victory for Atletico MG.
2. Home Performance vs Away Performance: Atletico MG has a stronger home performance with an average of 40% wins compared to Fluminense’s average of 20% wins away.
3. Probabilities: The odds heavily favor Atletico MG with a probability of 57.51% to win the match against 16.58% for Fluminense.
To not miss anything from the Atletico-MG vs Fluminense match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 26/09/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
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In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.
In its last 5 matches, Fluminense has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Fluminense has a form rating of %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Goal prediction for goals scored by Fluminense
Fluminense has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fluminense
Fluminense has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico-MG and Fluminense, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
1. Based on the latest performances of each team, they do not score many goals per match. Indeed, Atletico MG averages 1.2 goals per match and Fluminense averages 1.6 goals per match, which is below the 2.5 goals threshold.
2. The defenses of both teams are quite solid, with Atletico MG conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match and Fluminense conceding only 0.6 goals per match. These statistics suggest that both teams have the ability to control opposing attacks, thus limiting the number of goals scored.
3. Their head-to-head history also suggests low-scoring matches. For example, in their last encounter, the score was 0 – 2 in favor of Fluminense (a total of two goals), confirming that their meetings tend to stay below the 2.5 goals threshold.
Finding a forecast for the Atletico-MG Fluminense match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico-MG Fluminense on 26/09/2024 in Arena MRV are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico-MG at home and Fluminense away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 26/09/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Atletico-MG and Fluminense on 26/09/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena MRV, Atletico-MG could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico-MG and Fluminense, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico-MG and the away win rate of Fluminense, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 26/09/2024!
The individual performances of players from Atletico-MG and Fluminense can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 26/09/2024 at Arena MRV.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico-MG and Fluminense, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico-MG or Fluminense on 26/09/2024.
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