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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico-MG Fortaleza EC
Tipps Atletico-MG Fortaleza EC Serie A 23/06/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Atletico MG wins the match
1. Home Performance: Atletico MG has a relatively strong home performance, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals in 5 matches, demonstrating offensive potential at home.
2. Defensive Performance: Statistics show that Fortaleza EC concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game in their away matches. With Atletico MG showing good offensive potential at home, this could benefit the home team.
3. Statistical Probabilities: Atletico MG has a win probability of 55.44%, which is significantly higher than Fortaleza EC’s (16.06%). This statistic reinforces the idea of a home team advantage.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
Under 2.5 goals in the match.
1. The average number of goals scored at home by Atletico MG (1.4 goals) and away by Fortaleza EC (0.6 goals) gives a combined average of 2 goals per match, which is below 2.5 goals. This demonstrates a tendency for low-scoring matches between these two teams.
2. The past performances of both teams show a trend towards low-scoring matches. For example, Atletico MG’s latest home matches have totaled 10 goals in 5 games, while Fortaleza EC’s away matches have totaled 7 goals in 5 games.
3. The probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 1.75, indicating that bookmakers believe there is a strong chance the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals. Additionally, both teams not scoring – a 54.4% success probability – further supports the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No
1. Fortaleza EC has a low offensive potential away from home, averaging only 0.6 goals per match in their last 5 outings. This indicates a low probability for the team to score in the match against Atletico MG.
2. Atletico MG’s defensive potential at home is at 50%. This means the team concedes an average of 1.4 goals per match at home. Considering Fortaleza EC’s low offensive efficiency, Atletico MG has good chances of not conceding any goals during the match.
3. Fortaleza EC’s recent away results show difficulty in scoring goals. For example, they failed to score in their three previous away matches.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
Draw
1. Recent Performances: Atletico MG has only recorded a 60% home win rate in their last 5 matches, with a draw rate of 20%. Similarly, Fortaleza EC has a low 20% away win rate and also a 20% draw rate in the same five matches. There is therefore a substantial probability of a draw.
2. Goal Statistics: Looking at average goals per match, Atletico MG scores and concedes an average of 1.4 goals per home match, suggesting a balance between their attack and defense. Similarly, Fortaleza EC away shows a lack of attacking efficiency (0.6 goals per match) but demonstrates relative defensive solidity (1.6 goals conceded per match). This trend towards relatively low scores increases the likelihood of a draw.
3. Success Probabilities: For a draw, the indicated success probability is 28.5%, with odds of 3.75. Compared to the odds for an Atletico MG win (1.63 with a 55.44% probability) and for a Fortaleza EC win (5.50 with a 16.06% probability), the draw appears to be a “value bet” due to its higher odds relative to its success probability.
Bet on the exact result
Atletico MG 2-1 Fortaleza EC
1. Atletico MG has a strong home performance with a 60% win rate and an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, while Fortaleza EC has a weak away performance with only a 20% win rate and an average of 0.6 goals scored per match.
2. Fortaleza EC has a weak defense in away games, conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match, giving Atletico MG a good opportunity to exploit this weakness.
3. Sports betting statistics also indicate a higher probability for Atletico MG to win the match (55.44%) compared to Fortaleza EC (16.06%). Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring during the match is quite significant (45.6%), which could suggest a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Atletico MG.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Atletico MG is showing solid form at home, winning 60% of its last 5 matches and having a 50% offensive potential. Additionally, they have scored 10 goals, demonstrating consistent performance.
However, Atletico MG has also conceded 12 goals, indicating defensive weaknesses. This team is strong in attack but has some doubts in defense.
As for Fortaleza EC, they have few away wins (20%) and a weak attacking force with only 7 goals. They have also conceded 10 goals, showing an ineffective defense.
The probabilities favor a win for Atletico MG (55.44%) or a draw (28.5%). On the other hand, the chances of Fortaleza EC winning are low (16.06%).
It is highly likely that there will be fewer than 4.5 goals in this match (93.78%). Both teams not scoring has a success probability of 54.4%, suggesting a low-scoring game expectation.
In summary, Atletico MG appears to have the upper hand, but the high probability of a low number of goals could make the match tight. A draw or a win for Atletico MG seems like a reasonable choice.
The potential number of goals
Atletico MG has a good home performance, with 60% of wins in their last 5 matches. They are a balanced team, scoring and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. The probability of Atletico MG winning is 55.44%.
On the other hand, Fortaleza EC struggles away from home, with only 20% of wins. Their offensive performances are weak, scoring only 0.6 goals per game. However, they concede an average of 1.6 goals.
The most likely outcome is a win for Atletico MG or a draw (83.94% chances). The score is expected to be close: there is a 81.35% probability of less than 3.5 goals.
It’s worth noting that Atletico MG had a tough previous match against Palmeiras SP (lost 4-0). As for Fortaleza EC, their last away game was a heavy defeat against Cuiaba (5-0).
In summary, Atletico MG is favored given their recent home record. Fortaleza EC might struggle to score, emphasizing their clear offensive deficit.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, the analysis and statistics give a clear advantage to Atletico MG for the upcoming match. Their home performance is strong, and they have shown significant offensive capability in their recent games. Fortaleza EC, on the other hand, may struggle on the road, with a poor away performance and a tendency to concede many goals.
However, despite the numbers favoring Atletico MG, football is unpredictable and every match is a new opportunity for teams to excel. Betting on a draw could be interesting for this match given its high odds and the possibility that neither team completely dominates.
Regarding the number of goals, the statistics suggest a low-scoring match, possibly fewer than 2.5 goals, which aligns with the past performances of both teams. The “both teams to score” bet is also an option to consider.
Ultimately, this match offers several interesting betting opportunities. It is recommended to carefully study each option based on the teams’ recent performances, the odds offered by bookmakers, and one’s own intuition.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Atletico-MG against Fortaleza EC on 23/06/2024
1. Home Performance: Atletico MG has a relatively strong home performance, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals in 5 matches, demonstrating offensive potential at home.
2. Defensive Performance: Statistics show that Fortaleza EC concedes an average of 1.6 goals per game in their away matches. With Atletico MG showing good offensive potential at home, this could benefit the home team.
3. Statistical Probabilities: Atletico MG has a win probability of 55.44%, which is significantly higher than Fortaleza EC’s (16.06%). This statistic reinforces the idea of a home team advantage.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC match!
To not miss anything from the Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 23/06/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC
Lineups Atletico-MG
Lineups Fortaleza EC
Match Highlights Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC on 23/06/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC match on 23/06/2024 at Arena MRV stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC
All statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atletico-MG against Fortaleza EC!
Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.
Form state of Fortaleza EC in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Fortaleza EC has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Fortaleza EC has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Atletico-MG against Fortaleza EC!
Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season.
Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Fortaleza EC in the current season
Goals scored by Fortaleza EC in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Fortaleza EC in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Atletico-MG vs Fortaleza EC: Probabilities for the outcome
1. The average number of goals scored at home by Atletico MG (1.4 goals) and away by Fortaleza EC (0.6 goals) gives a combined average of 2 goals per match, which is below 2.5 goals. This demonstrates a tendency for low-scoring matches between these two teams.
2. The past performances of both teams show a trend towards low-scoring matches. For example, Atletico MG’s latest home matches have totaled 10 goals in 5 games, while Fortaleza EC’s away matches have totaled 7 goals in 5 games.
3. The probability of fewer than 2.5 goals in the match is estimated at 1.75, indicating that bookmakers believe there is a strong chance the match will end with fewer than 2.5 goals. Additionally, both teams not scoring – a 54.4% success probability – further supports the prediction of fewer than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC!
The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG
The last 5 winning predictions für Fortaleza EC
How do I find the best forecast for Atletico-MG Fortaleza EC?
Finding a forecast for the Atletico-MG Fortaleza EC match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico-MG Fortaleza EC on 23/06/2024 in Arena MRV are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico-MG at home and Fortaleza EC away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 23/06/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC on 23/06/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena MRV, Atletico-MG could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico-MG and the away win rate of Fortaleza EC, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 23/06/2024!
The individual performances of players from Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 23/06/2024 at Arena MRV.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico-MG and Fortaleza EC, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico-MG or Fortaleza EC on 23/06/2024.
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