Tipps Atletico-MG Palmeiras Serie A 18/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Palmeiras SP wins the match

1. In terms of probabilities, Palmeiras SP has a 44.44% chance of winning the match, which is higher than Atletico MG’s 28.33%. Thus, statistically, Palmeiras SP has a greater chance of winning this match based on these data.

2. Palmeiras SP has won 60% of their last 5 away matches and has never lost, with a strong defense potential conceding only 0.4 goals per game on average. In comparison, Atletico MG has won 80% of their home matches but has also conceded as many goals as they have scored (13), highlighting the instability of their defense.

3. Looking at Palmeiras SP’s recent away matches, they have shown a tendency to keep a clean sheet, scoring a total of 9 goals. On the other hand, Atletico MG, despite winning at home, has displayed a less solid defense by conceding in every match. This strong defensive performance by Palmeiras SP, combined with consistent offensive form, reinforces the prediction of their victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. The offensive potential of Atletico MG at home and Palmeiras SP away is relatively low (50% and 43% respectively). This indicates a higher probability that the total number of goals scored by both teams will be less than 2.5.

2. The defensive statistics for both teams are quite solid. Atletico MG at home concedes an average of 1 goal per match, and Palmeiras SP away concedes only 0.4 goals per match. This further reduces the likelihood of seeing a total of goals exceeding 2.5.

3. Looking at the last five home matches of Atletico MG and the last five away matches of Palmeiras SP, only two of these ten matches have seen a total of goals exceeding 2.5. This supports the prediction of a total of less than 2.5 goals in the match.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Palmeiras SP’s defensive statistics away from home are impressive, conceding only 0.4 goals per match on average in their last 5 games, indicating a high probability that they will not concede a goal.

2. Atletico MG, although strong at home, has an average of 1.4 goals scored per match. Given Palmeiras SP’s solid defense, it is likely that Atletico MG will struggle to score in this match.

3. The “Both teams to score – No” bet has an estimated success probability of 50.56%. This probability is slightly higher than the opposite bet (49.44%), suggesting that based on recent trends and statistics, it is slightly more likely that both teams will not score.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Palmeiras SP wins the match – 1.40

Bet on the exact result

Atletico MG 1-1 Palmeiras SP

1. Previous match statistics: Both teams have a fairly balanced average of goals scored and conceded, which could lead to a draw. Atletico MG scores an average of 1.4 goals per home match and concedes 1 goal, while Palmeiras scores 1.2 goals and concedes 0.4 goals away.

2. Atletico MG’s home match scores: Atletico MG has a recent history of home matches where the number of goals scored is often higher or equal to 1, and they have already had a draw with a 1-1 score.

3. Palmeiras SP’s recent away matches: None of the teams Palmeiras has recently played against managed to score more than 2 goals, indicating a solid defense. This is another indicator pointing towards a potentially balanced match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico MG, strong at home, has won 4 out of their last 5 matches with 13 goals scored. Palmeiras SP, however, is also performing well away from home. They have a 60% win rate with 9 goals in total.

Atletico MG has an attacking strength of 50% and a defensive potential of 36%. On the other hand, Palmeiras SP shows an offensive potential of 43% and a defensive potential of 14% in their away games.

The odds suggest a higher probability of victory for Palmeiras SP at 44.44% compared to 28.33% for Atletico MG. However, a draw or a win for Atletico MG presents a significant probability of 55.56%.

In terms of goals, the “Over 1.5 goals” option seems like a good choice with a probability of 72.22%. On the other hand, “Over 3.5 goals” appears less likely at 4.50%.

Statistics suggest that both teams could score with a probability of 49.44%.

In conclusion, this match looks set to be intense with a slight edge for Palmeiras SP. However, Atletico MG at home is a force to be reckoned with. The number of goals could be over 1.5 but under 3.5 and both teams could find the back of the net.

The potential number of goals

Atletico MG is strong at home with 80% recent win rate. The team has scored 13 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals per match. Their defense is solid with a potential of 36%.

Palmeiras SP performs well away with a 60% win rate and 40% draws. The team has scored 9 goals in 5 matches, averaging 1.2 goals per match. Their defense is stronger with a potential of 14%.

The forecasts slightly favor Palmeiras with a 44.44% chance of winning against 28.33% for Atletico. A draw is less likely with a probability of 27.22%.

The probability of over 1.5 goals in the match is 72.22% with odds of 1.45. The probability of under 2.5 goals is 92.78% with odds of 1.20.

Statistics indicate that both teams have a similar probability of scoring, with a 49.44% chance of both teams scoring and a 50.56% chance of both teams not scoring.

Based on this information, a bet on under 2.5 total goals or a draw or a win for Palmeiras SP could be sensible choices.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the statistics and recent data slightly favor Palmeiras SP to win against Atletico MG, despite the latter’s strength at home. However, it is important to keep in mind that football matches are unpredictable and anything can happen. The most likely exact score would be 1-1, although it is also probable that the match will end with less than 2.5 goals. As for the Both Teams to Score prediction, the data suggests that both teams are unlikely to score. Overall, an interesting bet to consider would be a draw or a victory for Palmeiras SP. However, as always, it is advisable to bet responsibly and not rely solely on statistics for betting.