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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico-MG Penarol
Tipps Atletico-MG Penarol Copa Libertadores 24/04/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
“Atletico MG wins the match”
1- Atletico MG has shown a superior offensive capability to Penarol in their last 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per match compared to 1.8 for Penarol.
2- Atletico MG’s defensive potential is also higher at home, with a 50% clean sheet rate, compared to only 21% for Penarol when playing away.
3- Atletico MG has a success probability of winning the match at 73.81% compared to only 9.52% for Penarol, indicating higher confidence in a win for Atletico MG.
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match.”
1. Atletico MG has a significant offensive potential, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per home match, indicating that they are likely to contribute to a total score of over 2.5 goals.
2. Both teams have mediocre defensive records, with Atletico MG conceding an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Penarol conceding an average of 0.6 goals per away match. This could increase the total number of goals scored during the match.
3. Past match history shows that these two teams tend to play high-scoring games. For example, the last five home matches of Atletico MG have seen over 2.5 goals, as have three of Penarol’s last five away matches.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: No.
1. Defensive analysis: Penarol’s team has a solid defense in their away games, conceding an average of only 0.6 goals per match. Furthermore, their defensive potential is assessed at 21%, making it less likely for this team to concede a goal.
2. Past performances: Looking at Atletico MG’s recent home matches, they failed to score a goal on one occasion. On the other hand, Penarol couldn’t score in their away match against Rosario Central.
3. Statistical probability: Statistically, the probability of both teams not scoring is 62.5% according to the odds, significantly higher than the probability of both teams scoring (37.5%). This highlights that the bet “both teams to score: No” has a greater chance of success.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
“More than 2.5 goals in the match”
1. The statistics show a trend for high-scoring matches for both teams. Atletico MG has scored 10 goals in their last 5 home games, and Penarol has scored 9 goals in their last 5 away games.
2. The goal averages per match are high. Atletico MG averages 2.4 goals per home match, while Penarol averages 1.8 goals per away match, totaling 4.2 goals, well above 2.5.
3. The past performances of these two teams in their respective matches indicate a tendency for high-scoring games. In the majority of Atletico MG’s last 5 home matches and Penarol’s last 5 away matches, the total goals exceeded 2.5.
Bet on the exact result
Atletico MG 2-1 Penarol
1. Atletico MG’s home performance: Statistics show that Atletico MG has a strong home performance, winning 60% of their last matches, and averaging 2.4 goals per game.
2. Atletico MG’s offensive and defensive potential compared to Penarol: Atletico MG has an offensive potential of 86% (higher than Penarol’s 64%) and a defensive potential of 50% (significantly higher than Penarol’s 21%).
3. Probability of success indicating Atletico MG wins: Despite a strong away performance by Penarol, the probability of Atletico MG winning the match is 73.81%, which is significantly higher than other betting options.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Atletico MG have a strong home record, with a 60% win rate in their last 5 matches. They have scored 10 goals and conceded 11, showing an average defense. However, their offensive potential is strong at 86%.
On the other hand, Penarol has been impressive away from home, winning 80% of their matches and conceding only 10 goals while scoring 9. Their offensive potential is slightly lower at 64%, but their defensive potential is outstanding at 21%.
Predictions:
– Atletico MG is more likely to win with a success probability of 73.81%. The odds are 1.45.
– A draw has a success probability of 16.67%, with estimated odds of 4.20.
– The probability of Penarol winning the match is 9.52%, with potential odds of 7.50.
Regarding goals:
– There is a high likelihood of under 3.5 goals (95.24% chance), with potential odds of 1.25.
– Over 2.5 goals in the match have a 41.07% chance with odds of 2.04.
Overall, Atletico MG seems to have an advantage due to their strong home performance, but Penarol boasts a solid defense that could keep the score low.
The potential number of goals
Atletico MG demonstrates a strong performance at home, averaging 2.4 goals per match. Their offensive potential is at 86%, although their defensive potential is slightly lower at 50%. Despite this, they have a high probability of winning at 73.81%, with odds of 1.45.
Penarol is also a strong opponent, with an 80% win rate away from home. They score an average of 1.8 goals on the road and are solid in defense, conceding only 0.6 goals per match.
However, Penarol has a low success rate to win this match or draw, at 9.52% and 26.19% respectively. On the other hand, their defensive potential is strong at 21%.
The probability that the match ends with less than 3.5 goals is high at 95.24%.
As for both teams to score, it is more likely that this situation doesn’t happen with a probability of 62.5%.
Based on this information, the forecast leans towards a match with less than 3.5 goals and where both teams do not score. Atletico MG seems to have an advantage, but with football being unpredictable, anything can happen.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, based on the analysis and the available statistical data, Atletico MG seems to be the favorite for this match against Penarol. Their offensive performance at home is notably superior and their probability of winning stands at 73.81%. However, Penarol should not be underestimated considering their defensive strength in away matches.
It is also more likely that the total goals in the game will be over 2.5, given both teams’ tendency to play high-scoring matches. Nevertheless, the most probable scenario remains that both teams will not score, with a 62.5% probability for this prediction.
Therefore, it is suggested to bet on Atletico MG to win and on a total of over 2.5 goals in the match. However, as always in sports betting, caution is advised and nothing is guaranteed. It is recommended to carefully examine all information, assess the risks, and bet responsibly.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Atletico-MG against Penarol on 24/04/2024
1- Atletico MG has shown a superior offensive capability to Penarol in their last 5 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per match compared to 1.8 for Penarol.
2- Atletico MG’s defensive potential is also higher at home, with a 50% clean sheet rate, compared to only 21% for Penarol when playing away.
3- Atletico MG has a success probability of winning the match at 73.81% compared to only 9.52% for Penarol, indicating higher confidence in a win for Atletico MG.
Live Match: Get all the details about the Atletico-MG vs Penarol match!
To not miss anything from the Atletico-MG vs Penarol match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 24/04/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Atletico-MG vs Penarol
Lineups Atletico-MG
Lineups Penarol
Match Highlights Atletico-MG vs Penarol on 24/04/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Atletico-MG vs Penarol match on 24/04/2024 at Arena MRV stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and Penarol
All statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and Penarol will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atletico-MG against Penarol!
Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.
Form state of Penarol in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, Penarol has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Penarol has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Atletico-MG against Penarol!
Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season.
Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by Penarol in the current season
Goals scored by Penarol in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Penarol
Penarol has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Penarol in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Penarol
Penarol has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico-MG and Penarol, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Atletico-MG vs Penarol: Probabilities for the outcome
1. Atletico MG has a significant offensive potential, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per home match, indicating that they are likely to contribute to a total score of over 2.5 goals.
2. Both teams have mediocre defensive records, with Atletico MG conceding an average of 1.4 goals per home match and Penarol conceding an average of 0.6 goals per away match. This could increase the total number of goals scored during the match.
3. Past match history shows that these two teams tend to play high-scoring games. For example, the last five home matches of Atletico MG have seen over 2.5 goals, as have three of Penarol’s last five away matches.
Forecast results from winflix for Atletico-MG and Penarol!
The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG
The last 5 winning predictions für Penarol
How do I find the best forecast for Atletico-MG Penarol?
Finding a forecast for the Atletico-MG Penarol match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico-MG Penarol on 24/04/2024 in Arena MRV are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico-MG at home and Penarol away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 24/04/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Atletico-MG and Penarol on 24/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena MRV, Atletico-MG could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico-MG and Penarol, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico-MG and the away win rate of Penarol, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 24/04/2024!
The individual performances of players from Atletico-MG and Penarol can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 24/04/2024 at Arena MRV.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico-MG and Penarol, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico-MG or Penarol on 24/04/2024.
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