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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico-MG River Plate

    Tipps Atletico-MG River Plate Copa Libertadores 23/10/2024

    Last update : 23/10/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Atletico MG wins the match

    1. Atletico MG has an excellent home form with 80% of victories in the last 5 matches. Additionally, the team scores an average of 1.6 goals per home match, showcasing a strong offensive capability.

    2. River Plate seems to struggle away from home, with only a 20% victory rate on the road. Their offensive potential is also weaker, averaging 0.6 goals per match.

    3. The odds predictions give Atletico MG a 38.8% chance of winning, which is the highest probability among the three possible outcomes (Atletico MG win, draw, River Plate win).

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Under 2.5 goals in the match

    1. Recent match statistics for Atletico MG and River Plate indicate an average of less than 2.5 goals per match. Atletico MG scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1.4 goals, while River Plate scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 0.4 goals.

    2. River Plate’s offensive potential away from home is low (21%) and their defensive potential is relatively good (14%), suggesting that they are likely to score few goals and not concede many.

    3. Looking at the given probabilities, “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has a high probability of success (85.79%), and “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.52, indicating that bookmakers also believe there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams score: Yes

    1. The offensive potential of Atletico MG is evaluated at 57%, so the probability of them scoring a goal is high, especially because they are playing at home.
    2. Although River Plate’s offensive potential away from home is rather low (21%), they have scored in 80% of their away matches, showing their ability to score even in unfavorable situations.
    3. Previous home matches of Atletico MG have always seen the team score, and River Plate’s away matches have also often involved them scoring, indicating a trend for both teams to score in their matches.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw or River Plate to win the match – 61.2% probability of success: 1.62

    1. River Plate has a strong history of draws in their last 5 away matches, with an 80% draw rate. This reinforces the prediction of a draw or a River Plate victory.
    2. Despite Atletico MG winning 80% of their recent home matches, they have also conceded as many goals as they have scored (11 goals), indicating some defensive vulnerability that River Plate may exploit.
    3. Additionally, River Plate has a solid defensive potential for this match, conceding on average only 0.4 goals per game in their last 5 away matches. This further strengthens the likelihood of a draw or a River Plate victory.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Atletico MG 1-1 River Plate

    1. The match history shows a trend for Atletico MG to score 1-2 goals at home, and River Plate has a tendency to draw matches or score 1 goal away. A score of 1-1 seems plausible based on these trends.

    2. Statistics indicate that Atletico MG has a 50% defensive potential at home, meaning they are likely to concede at least one goal. Similarly, River Plate has a 21% offensive potential away, suggesting they could score a goal.

    3. The probability of there being over 1.5 goals in the match is high at 69.95%, and the probability of both teams scoring is 55.19%. A 1-1 score satisfies both these conditions.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Atletico MG is strong at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. However, they have scored and conceded the same number of goals, with 11 each. River Plate, when playing away, has only won 20% of the time, but manages to secure a draw in 80% of cases. Their attack is struggling with 3 goals scored against 4 conceded.

    Atletico MG shows an average offensive potential of 57% and defensive potential of 50% at home. River Plate, on the other hand, struggles with 21% offensive and 14% defensive capabilities when playing away.

    The betting probabilities indicate:
    – Atletico MG to win at 38.8% (odds 2.35),
    – Draw at 30.6% (odds 3.00),
    – River Plate to win at 30.6% (odds 3.30).

    There is a 70% chance that the match will end in either a draw or Atletico MG’s victory (odds 1.33), and a 61% chance of a draw or a win for River Plate (odds 1.62).

    A low-scoring match is expected: less than 1.5 goals (odds 2.56) is less likely than more than 1.5 goals (probability 69.95%, odds 1.48). The probability decreases significantly for more than 2.5 goals at 40.44% (odds 2.47).

    The probability of both teams scoring is 55.19% (odds 2.06), slightly lower at 44.81% for the opposite outcome (odds 1.69).

    Previous Atletico MG home matches have often seen more than 1.5 goals scored. River Plate, when playing away, has been involved in several draws.

    Based on this data, the safest bet would be a match with more than 1.5 goals. However, considering Atletico MG’s strong home win rate, it could be interesting to bet on their victory.

    The potential number of goals

    Atletico MG shows a strong home performance with an 80% win rate, averaging 1.6 goals per match. However, their defense is moderately solid, conceding an average of 1.4 goals.

    For River Plate, the results are mixed away from home. They have a low 20% win rate and a high 80% draw rate. Their offensive performance is limited with only 0.6 goals per match, but their defense is solid, conceding only 0.4 goals on average.

    Comparing the probabilities, Atletico MG has a 38.8% chance of winning, while River Plate has 30.6%. A draw is also likely at 30.6%.

    In the scenario of total number of goals, the least probable outcome is for the match to have over 3.5 goals (4.87). The most probable outcome is for there to be under 4.5 goals, with a probability of 97.27%.

    For a cautious approach, one could consider the bet “draw or Atletico MG wins the match” with a success probability of 69.4%.

    Also, considering both teams to score with a probability of 55.19%, it appears that this match could be tight and low-scoring.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, statistics and probabilities indicate a low-scoring match where Atletico MG, with their strong home performance, have good chances of winning. However, considering River Plate’s ability to secure draws and their solid defensive performances, the possibility of a draw or even a surprise from River Plate cannot be ruled out.

    Betting on a total of under 2.5 goals also appears to be a safe option, given both teams’ tendency to participate in low-scoring matches. Furthermore, the likelihood of both teams scoring is quite high, suggesting that both teams have the capability to create action during the match.

    Overall, this match promises to be tight and could provide interesting betting opportunities, whether on the exact score, the total number of goals, or even the halftime score. As always, it is essential to rely on accurate analysis and well-thought-out strategies to maximize your chances of winning your bets.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Atletico-MG against River Plate on 23/10/2024

    1. Atletico MG has an excellent home form with 80% of victories in the last 5 matches. Additionally, the team scores an average of 1.6 goals per home match, showcasing a strong offensive capability.

    2. River Plate seems to struggle away from home, with only a 20% victory rate on the road. Their offensive potential is also weaker, averaging 0.6 goals per match.

    3. The odds predictions give Atletico MG a 38.8% chance of winning, which is the highest probability among the three possible outcomes (Atletico MG win, draw, River Plate win).

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Atletico-MG to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :River Plate to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :River Plate or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :River Plate or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :River Plate or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Atletico-MG vs River Plate match!

    To not miss anything from the Atletico-MG vs River Plate match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 23/10/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Atletico-MG vs River Plate

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    composition
    Lineups zu kommen Atletico-MG
    logo team a
    composition
    Lineups zu kommen River Plate

    Match Highlights Atletico-MG vs River Plate on 23/10/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Atletico-MG vs River Plate match on 23/10/2024 at Arena MRV stadium.

    There are currently no highlights available.

    Live Statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and River Plate

    All statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and River Plate will be displayed here once they are available live.

    The statistics are not yet available.

    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atletico-MG against River Plate!

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    Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.

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    Form state of River Plate in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, River Plate has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that River Plate has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Atletico-MG against River Plate!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season.

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    Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
    Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

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    Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
    Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

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    Average goals scored by River Plate in the current season

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    Goals scored by River Plate in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by River Plate
    River Plate has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by River Plate in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by River Plate
    River Plate has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico-MG and River Plate, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Atletico-MG vs River Plate: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Recent match statistics for Atletico MG and River Plate indicate an average of less than 2.5 goals per match. Atletico MG scores an average of 1.6 goals and concedes 1.4 goals, while River Plate scores an average of 0.6 goals and concedes 0.4 goals.

    2. River Plate’s offensive potential away from home is low (21%) and their defensive potential is relatively good (14%), suggesting that they are likely to score few goals and not concede many.

    3. Looking at the given probabilities, “Under 3.5 goals in the match” has a high probability of success (85.79%), and “Under 2.5 goals in the match” has odds of 1.52, indicating that bookmakers also believe there will be fewer than 2.5 goals in the match.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Atletico-MG and River Plate!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG

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    The last 5 winning predictions für River Plate

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    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Atletico-MG River Plate?

    Finding a forecast for the Atletico-MG River Plate match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico-MG River Plate on 23/10/2024 in Arena MRV are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico-MG at home and River Plate away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 23/10/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Atletico-MG and River Plate on 23/10/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena MRV, Atletico-MG could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico-MG and River Plate, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico-MG and the away win rate of River Plate, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 23/10/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Atletico-MG and River Plate can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 23/10/2024 at Arena MRV.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico-MG and River Plate, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico-MG or River Plate on 23/10/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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