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Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico-MG San Lorenzo
Tipps Atletico-MG San Lorenzo Copa Libertadores 21/08/2024
Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?
Atletico MG wins the match.
1. Atletico MG has a strong home performance, winning 80% of its last 5 matches and also showing better offensive capabilities with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match.
2. San Lorenzo de Almagro has a poor away performance, winning only 40% of its last 5 matches and having lower offensive potential with just 0.6 goals scored on average.
3. The predictive probability for Atletico MG to win the match is 58.89%, which is significantly higher compared to San Lorenzo de Almagro’s probability of only 17.22%. This probability is also supported by the associated odds (odds of 1.65 for an Atletico MG win compared to 5.50 for a San Lorenzo de Almagro win).
Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?
“Under 2.5”
1. San Lorenzo de Almagro’s weak offensive potential: On average, they only score 0.6 goals per away match. This suggests they may struggle to score more than one goal against Atletico MG.
2. The total number of goals conceded/scored by both teams: Atletico MG has a defensive potential of 29% and concedes on average 0.8 goals per home match. On the other hand, San Lorenzo de Almagro has a defensive potential of 43% and concedes on average 1.2 goals per away match. This indicates a defensive match with few goals scored.
3. Both teams’ recent matches show a trend towards low scores, especially for San Lorenzo de Almagro, who have not scored more than 2 goals in their last 5 away matches. Given this trend, the match will likely end with fewer than 2.5 goals.
BTTS: Will both teams score ?
Both teams to score: Yes.
1. The recent home match history of Atletico MG shows they have a strong ability to score goals, finding the back of the net in each of their last five matches. They also tend to concede goals, having allowed a total of 11 goals in these matches.
2. The recent away performances of San Lorenzo de Almagro also indicate they have the ability to score goals, having scored in three of their last five away matches. They have also conceded at least one goal in one of these matches.
3. The overall statistics of both teams demonstrate a balance between their offensive and defensive potential. Atletico MG has an offensive potential of 43% compared to a defensive potential of 29%, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has an offensive potential of 21% against a defensive potential of 43%. These numbers suggest that both teams have a significant likelihood of scoring a goal each in the match.
Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?
“More than 1.5 goals in the match”
1. Atlético MG has shown a strong offensive performance at home with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match, and has scored 10 goals in its last 5 matches, which supports the prediction of over 1.5 goals in the match.
2. San Lorenzo de Almagro, despite an average of 0.6 goals scored per away match, has a tendency to concede goals with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per match. This could contribute to increasing the total score of the match beyond 1.5 goals.
3. The probability for the bet on over 1.5 goals is 78.33%, with odds of 1.46, making it a value bet considering the past performances of both teams and the high likelihood of the bet being successful.
Bet on the exact result
Atletico MG 2-1 San Lorenzo de Almagro
1. Atletico MG has a strong home win rate of 80% in their last 5 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating a solid home form and ability to find the net.
2. On the other hand, San Lorenzo de Almagro seems to struggle away from home, winning only 40% of their last 5 matches with an average of 0.6 goals scored per match. Additionally, they have conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, showing defensive vulnerability.
3. The odds and probabilities clearly point towards a victory for Atletico MG with a success probability of 58.89%. There is also a high likelihood of over 1.5 goals in the match (78.33%) and a significant probability that both teams will score (52.22%). All these factors suggest a probable result of 2-1 in favor of Atletico MG.
Game Analysis and Key Facts
Team Form
Atletico MG has a strong home performance with a 80% win rate from their last 5 matches. However, they have conceded more goals (11) than they have scored (10).
On the other hand, San Lorenzo de Almagro has a 40% win rate away from home, scoring and conceding 4 goals each in their last 5 matches.
Atletico MG has an offensive potential of 43% and defensive potential of 29% at home, while San Lorenzo de Almagro has an offensive potential of 21% and defensive potential of 43% away.
The probability of Atletico MG winning the match is 58.89% while San Lorenzo de Almagro’s is significantly lower at 17.22%.
Furthermore, there is a 78.33% chance of the match having over 1.5 goals, while there is a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a 52.22% chance of scoring.
Overall, the statistics favor Atletico MG, however, the defensive performance of San Lorenzo de Almagro should be considered when making a prediction.
The potential number of goals
In their last 5 home matches, Atletico MG has shown a strong performance, winning 80% of the time. However, they have scored 10 goals and conceded 11, indicating defensive weaknesses.
On the other hand, San Lorenzo de Almagro has a less impressive record away from home with only a 40% win rate. They have scored 4 goals and conceded the same amount, showing a balance between offense and defense.
In terms of offensive potential, Atletico MG leads with 43% compared to 21% for San Lorenzo de Almagro. Defensively, the two teams are closer, with Atletico MG at 29% and San Lorenzo de Almagro at 43%.
The odds are in favor of Atletico MG with a 58.89% chance of winning. A draw seems unlikely with a probability of 23.89%.
Across all goals scored, 78.33% of matches have more than 1.5 goals. Less than 3.5 goals are scored in 87.78% of cases.
Both teams have recorded a scoring percentage in previous matches of 52.22%, where both teams score, and 47.78% where they do not.
Therefore, Atletico MG appears to be the favorite for this match, despite a defense that could be improved. A low-scoring match is conceivable, with fewer than 3.5 goals seeming the most likely outcome. Both teams have equal chances of scoring.
Our conclusions and predictions for this match
In conclusion, based on past performances and key statistics, Atletico MG appears to have an advantage for this CONMEBOL Libertadores match against San Lorenzo de Almagro. Despite some balance in offensive and defensive performances, Atletico MG has shown solid form when playing at home, with a strong ability to score goals. While the defensive capability of San Lorenzo de Almagro should not be overlooked, their ability to consistently maintain offensive pressure and find the back of the net away from home may be questionable. Therefore, bettors are advised to favor Atletico MG in their 1X2 bets, a scoreline of under 2.5 goals, both teams scoring at least one goal, and a total of over 1.5 goals in the match. As for the exact score, a likely outcome of 2-1 in favor of Atletico MG seems to be a wise choice, based on recent trends from these teams.
Detailed Game Statistics
Game Result Prediction Atletico-MG against San Lorenzo on 21/08/2024
1. Atletico MG has a strong home performance, winning 80% of its last 5 matches and also showing better offensive capabilities with an average of 1.2 goals scored per match.
2. San Lorenzo de Almagro has a poor away performance, winning only 40% of its last 5 matches and having lower offensive potential with just 0.6 goals scored on average.
3. The predictive probability for Atletico MG to win the match is 58.89%, which is significantly higher compared to San Lorenzo de Almagro’s probability of only 17.22%. This probability is also supported by the associated odds (odds of 1.65 for an Atletico MG win compared to 5.50 for a San Lorenzo de Almagro win).
Live Match: Get all the details about the Atletico-MG vs San Lorenzo match!
To not miss anything from the Atletico-MG vs San Lorenzo match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 21/08/2024 in the Copa Libertadores live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.
Team Lineups: Atletico-MG vs San Lorenzo
Lineups Atletico-MG
Lineups San Lorenzo
Match Highlights Atletico-MG vs San Lorenzo on 21/08/2024
Don't miss any highlights of the Atletico-MG vs San Lorenzo match on 21/08/2024 at Arena MRV stadium.
Live Statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo
All statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo will be displayed here once they are available live.
Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atletico-MG against San Lorenzo!
Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.
Form state of San Lorenzo in its last 5 matches
In its last 5 matches, San Lorenzo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that San Lorenzo has a form rating of %.
Goal Prediction: In the match Atletico-MG against San Lorenzo!
Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season.
Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Average goals scored by San Lorenzo in the current season
Goals scored by San Lorenzo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals scored by San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.
Goals conceded by San Lorenzo in the last 5 matches
Goal prediction for goals conceded by San Lorenzo
San Lorenzo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.
Conclusion: Which goal prediction?
From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo, we should have a total of goals in this match.
Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.
Exact Result Predictions Atletico-MG vs San Lorenzo: Probabilities for the outcome
1. San Lorenzo de Almagro’s weak offensive potential: On average, they only score 0.6 goals per away match. This suggests they may struggle to score more than one goal against Atletico MG.
2. The total number of goals conceded/scored by both teams: Atletico MG has a defensive potential of 29% and concedes on average 0.8 goals per home match. On the other hand, San Lorenzo de Almagro has a defensive potential of 43% and concedes on average 1.2 goals per away match. This indicates a defensive match with few goals scored.
3. Both teams’ recent matches show a trend towards low scores, especially for San Lorenzo de Almagro, who have not scored more than 2 goals in their last 5 away matches. Given this trend, the match will likely end with fewer than 2.5 goals.
Forecast results from winflix for Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo!
The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG
The last 5 winning predictions für San Lorenzo
How do I find the best forecast for Atletico-MG San Lorenzo?
Finding a forecast for the Atletico-MG San Lorenzo match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.
The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico-MG San Lorenzo on 21/08/2024 in Arena MRV are the team's past performance in the Copa Libertadores, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico-MG at home and San Lorenzo away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 21/08/2024.
To evaluate the current form of Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo on 21/08/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Copa Libertadores, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena MRV, Atletico-MG could have a slight home advantage in this football match.
Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico-MG and the away win rate of San Lorenzo, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 21/08/2024!
The individual performances of players from Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 21/08/2024 at Arena MRV.
To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico-MG and San Lorenzo, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico-MG or San Lorenzo on 21/08/2024.
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