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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico-MG Sao Paulo

    Tipps Atletico-MG Sao Paulo Serie A 12/07/2024

    Last update : 12/07/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Draw or Atletico MG wins the match.

    1. Recent history: Atletico MG has drawn in 40% of its last home matches, while Sao Paulo SP has also ended 40% of its recent away matches in a draw. These statistics suggest that the chances of a draw are quite high. Additionally, Atletico MG has won 42.49% of its matches, indicating they are competitive at home.

    2. Offensive and defensive potential: Atletico MG has a defensive potential of 71%, higher than Sao Paulo SP’s 50%. This means they are less likely to concede goals. However, they have a lower offensive potential than Sao Paulo SP (43% compared to 71%), which could limit their ability to score goals. A draw or a win for Atletico MG seems likely given the balance of strengths.

    3. Betting probabilities: According to the betting odds, there is a 70.98% chance that the result will be a draw or a win for Atletico MG. This high probability indicates that this scenario is the most likely according to bettors and bookmakers, reinforcing the idea that it is a reasonable bet.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Under 2.5 goals in the match.

    1. The home performance statistics of Atletico MG show a low offensive capacity with an average of 1.2 goals per match, significantly limiting the total number of potential goals in the match.
    2. Despite their decent away performance, Sao Paulo SP has not been exceptionally offensive, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Considering Atletico MG’s defensive performance of conceding an average of 2 goals per home match, this suggests a low number of goals in the match.
    3. Betting statistics and probabilities indicate a trend towards fewer goals, with a success probability of 80.31% for under 3.5 goals and 93.78% for under 4.5 goals. These high percentages suggest a strong likelihood of a match with under 2.5 goals.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. Offensive potential of the teams: Both Atletico MG and Sao Paulo SP have shown a decent offensive potential in their previous matches, scoring an average of 1.2 and 2 goals per match respectively. This could suggest that there is a chance for both teams to score.

    2. Inconsistent defense: Both teams have shown some defensive weaknesses in their previous matches, with Atletico MG conceding an average of 2 goals per match and Sao Paulo SP conceding 1.4. These defensive shortcomings could help both teams to score.

    3. Historical statistics: In previous encounters between these two teams, they have often managed to score in the same match. Furthermore, the same trend can be observed in their respective previous matches, which would strengthen the prediction that both teams will score in the upcoming match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Sao Paulo SP wins the match

    1. Atletico MG’s recent home performances have been poor with no wins in their last 5 matches. They have also conceded an average of 2 goals per game, highlighting a weak defense.

    2. In contrast, Sao Paulo SP has shown stronger form in their away matches, winning 40% of the time. Furthermore, they have scored more goals than Atletico MG (8 to 5) and have a higher offensive potential (71% to 43%).

    3. The odds for Sao Paulo SP to win are set at 3.30, which represents relatively high value considering their recent performances and Atletico MG’s struggles. So, despite a success probability of 29.02%, the potential value of the win makes this tip a ‘value bet’.

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    Bet on the exact result

    Atletico MG 1-2 Sao Paulo SP

    1. Recent statistics: Atletico MG has had poor performances at home with zero wins and an average of 2 goals conceded per match in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP has shown a decent performance away from home and averages 2 goals scored per match.

    2. Historical performances: In recent matches, Atletico MG has scored at least one goal at home while São Paulo has managed to score at least two goals in their away matches.

    3. Betting probabilities: The odds suggest a low probability for Atletico MG to win (42.49%) whereas Sao Paulo SP has a relatively high probability of winning the away match (29.02%), thus pushing back the possibility of a draw.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Atletico MG is struggling at home, with no wins in 5 matches. They have a 0% win rate and have scored 5 goals in these matches. Their defense is lacking, conceding an average of 2 goals per game.

    Sao Paulo SP shows a balanced performance away from home. They have won 40% of their matches and scored 8 goals. They have an offensive potential of 71% with an average of 2 goals per game.

    The probability of Atletico MG winning is 42.49%. However, the probability of a draw or Atletico MG winning is higher at 70.98%.

    There is a 64.77% probability of more than 1.5 goals being scored in this match. This, combined with Sao Paulo SP’s offensive performance, could indicate a potentially attacking result.

    Finally, in terms of goals, the statistics suggest a match with less than 3.5 goals. The probability for this prediction is evaluated at 80.31%.

    In conclusion, it is recommended to expect a rather defensive match with less than 3.5 goals, despite some offensive potential from Sao Paulo SP.

    The potential number of goals

    Atletico MG struggles to win at home with 0% victories in their last 5 matches. Conceding an average of 2 goals per game, the defense is in trouble.

    On the other hand, Sao Paulo SP has shown a rather balanced form away from home with 40% wins and the same amount of draws in their last 5 outings.

    In the last 5 home matches for Atletico MG, a total of 11 goals were scored, averaging 1.2 goals per match.

    Meanwhile, Sao Paulo SP has scored 8 goals in 5 away matches, averaging 1.6 goals per game.

    Atletico MG is more defensive with a defensive potential of 71%, while Sao Paulo SP has a strong offensive potential with 71% effectiveness on the road.

    The odds suggest a low probability of victory for Atletico MG (42.49%). On the other hand, a draw seems more likely with odds of 3.10. Sao Paulo SP has slightly lower chances of winning, with odds of 29.02%.

    Looking at the goals, there is a high probability of less than 3.5 goals in the match (80.31%) with appealing odds of 1.18.

    Moreover, the chances of both teams scoring in this match are 48.7%, while the chances of both teams not scoring are slightly higher at 51.3%.

    Analyzing all these data, a low-scoring match, potentially a draw, seems like a possible outcome.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    Considering the past performances of both teams, recent statistics of their games, betting probabilities, and key factors such as offensive and defensive potential, several conclusions can be drawn.

    There seems to be a good chance of a draw or a victory for Atletico MG. However, given Sao Paulo SP’s recent form and the odds offered, a bet on Sao Paulo SP to win could be a “value bet.” It is also likely that the match will see fewer than 2.5 goals, but both teams are expected to score.

    Ultimately, despite Sao Paulo SP’s offensive potential suggesting a game with some goals, the betting probabilities and defensive performances of Atletico MG suggest we will see a rather defensive match with fewer than 3.5 goals. All these details make this match a complex yet exciting encounter, open to several possible outcomes.

    It is important to bet wisely, taking into account all these analyses and adapting them to your own betting strategy. And of course, always consult your betting advisor before making a decision.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Atletico-MG against Sao Paulo on 12/07/2024

    1. Recent history: Atletico MG has drawn in 40% of its last home matches, while Sao Paulo SP has also ended 40% of its recent away matches in a draw. These statistics suggest that the chances of a draw are quite high. Additionally, Atletico MG has won 42.49% of its matches, indicating they are competitive at home.

    2. Offensive and defensive potential: Atletico MG has a defensive potential of 71%, higher than Sao Paulo SP’s 50%. This means they are less likely to concede goals. However, they have a lower offensive potential than Sao Paulo SP (43% compared to 71%), which could limit their ability to score goals. A draw or a win for Atletico MG seems likely given the balance of strengths.

    3. Betting probabilities: According to the betting odds, there is a 70.98% chance that the result will be a draw or a win for Atletico MG. This high probability indicates that this scenario is the most likely according to bettors and bookmakers, reinforcing the idea that it is a reasonable bet.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Atletico-MG to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico-MG or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Sao Paulo or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo match!

    To not miss anything from the Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 12/07/2024 in the Serie A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo

    logo team a
    composition
    31Mendes
    26Saravia
    21Battaglia
    3Fuchs
    6Scarpa
    23Franco
    5Otávio
    13Arana
    10Paulinho
    11Vargas
    7Hulk
    Lineups Atletico-MG
    logo team a
    composition
    23Rafael
    2Vinícius
    5Arboleda
    28Franco
    6Welington
    25Alisson
    16Gustavo
    7Moura
    10Luciano
    47Ferreira
    9Calleri
    Lineups Sao Paulo

    Match Highlights Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo on 12/07/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo match on 12/07/2024 at Arena MRV stadium.

    9'Rodrigo Battaglia
    picto
    13'E. Vargas
    picto
    18'Lucas Moura
    picto
    44'Hulk
    picto
    45'Paulinho
    picto
    59'Alan Franco
    picto
    66'FerreiraWellington Rato
    picto
    66'LucianoRodrigo Nestor
    picto
    73'E. VargasCadu
    picto
    80'Igor ViníciusRafinha
    picto
    83'Luiz Gustavo
    picto
    86'J. CalleriAndré Silva
    picto
    86'Lucas MouraErick
    picto
    90'PaulinhoB. Palacios
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo

    All statistics for the match between Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Atletico-MG
    Sao Paulo
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    62%
    38%
    Total Shots
    14
    11
    Shots on Goal
    5
    4
    Shots off Goal
    7
    4
    Corner Kicks
    2
    6
    Passing Accuracy
    90%
    82%
    Total Passes
    607
    365
    Successful Passes
    545
    298
    Fouls Committed
    9
    13
    Yellow Cards
    2
    1
    Red Cards
    0
    1
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atletico-MG against Sao Paulo!

    logo team

    Form state of Atletico-MG in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico-MG has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico-MG has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Sao Paulo in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Sao Paulo has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Sao Paulo has a form rating of %.

    buts
    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Atletico-MG against Sao Paulo!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Atletico-MG in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico-MG
    Atletico-MG has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Atletico-MG in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico-MG
    Atletico-MG has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Sao Paulo in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Sao Paulo in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Sao Paulo
    Sao Paulo has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. The home performance statistics of Atletico MG show a low offensive capacity with an average of 1.2 goals per match, significantly limiting the total number of potential goals in the match.
    2. Despite their decent away performance, Sao Paulo SP has not been exceptionally offensive, scoring an average of 2 goals per match. Considering Atletico MG’s defensive performance of conceding an average of 2 goals per home match, this suggests a low number of goals in the match.
    3. Betting statistics and probabilities indicate a trend towards fewer goals, with a success probability of 80.31% for under 3.5 goals and 93.78% for under 4.5 goals. These high percentages suggest a strong likelihood of a match with under 2.5 goals.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico-MG

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Sao Paulo

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Atletico-MG Sao Paulo?

    Finding a forecast for the Atletico-MG Sao Paulo match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico-MG Sao Paulo on 12/07/2024 in Arena MRV are the team's past performance in the Serie A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico-MG at home and Sao Paulo away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 12/07/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo on 12/07/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Serie A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Arena MRV, Atletico-MG could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico-MG and the away win rate of Sao Paulo, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 12/07/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 12/07/2024 at Arena MRV.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico-MG and Sao Paulo, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico-MG or Sao Paulo on 12/07/2024.

    author
    Author
    Alex - Winflix

    "Ca arrive..."

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