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    Home/Football Predictions/Prediction Atletico Nacional Deportes Tolima

    Tipps Atletico Nacional Deportes Tolima Primera A 28/04/2024

    Last update : 28/04/2024
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    Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

    Deportes Tolima wins the match

    1. Deportes Tolima has a higher average of goals scored per match compared to Atletico Nacional (1.8 vs 0.8), indicating a stronger offensive potential.
    2. Both teams have the same win rate (40%), but Deportes Tolima has scored more goals in the last 5 matches (7 goals compared to Atletico Nacional’s 4 goals), demonstrating a more effective offensive form.
    3. Defensive analysis: Deportes Tolima has a better defense than Atletico Nacional away from home (0.8 goals conceded on average vs 1 for Atletico). Therefore, Deportes Tolima’s defensive potential is superior.

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    Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

    Under 2.5

    1. Atletico Nacional’s recent performances show a trend towards few goals scored and conceded. At home, they scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, indicating a potentially low-scoring game.

    2. Deportes Tolima, although having a slightly better offensive performance away from home with an average of 1.8 goals per match, has a solid defensive performance. They only conceded 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away matches. This strong defense and a not very high goal average could also lead to fewer than 2.5 total goals during the match.

    3. Examining the recent matches of each team, the numbers indicate that matches between these two teams often produce fewer goals. Additionally, in the case where both teams have a 100% probability of not scoring, it reinforces the idea that this match could also end with under 2.5 goals.

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    BTTS: Will both teams score ?

    Both teams to score: Yes

    1. Teams’ performance: Both teams have comparable performance according to the latest statistics. Atletico Nacional scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in their last 5 home matches, while Deportes Tolima scored 7 goals and conceded 8 in their last 5 away matches. These performances show a balance in offensive and defensive potentials that could lead to both teams scoring.

    2. Offensive and defensive potential: Atletico Nacional has a 29% offensive potential at home and a 36% defensive potential, while Deportes Tolima has a 64% offensive potential away and a 29% defensive potential. This means both teams have the ability to score and concede goals when playing at their respective homes and away.

    3. Recent match results: Both teams have shown their ability to score in their recent matches. Atletico Nacional scored in 3 of their last 5 home matches, while Deportes Tolima scored in 4 of their last 5 away matches. Based on these results, it is plausible that both teams will score in this match.

    Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

    Draw or Deportes Tolima wins the match

    1. Deportes Tolima has shown better performances away from home with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match compared to Atletico Nacional’s 0.8 at home. Additionally, their offensive potential away from home is at 64% compared to 29% for the home team.

    2. Both teams have the same win rate (40%) and draw rate (40%) in their last 5 matches. However, Atletico Nacional has scored and conceded the same number of goals (4) at home, while Deportes Tolima has scored more goals than they have conceded (7 against 8) away, indicating a knack for scoring on the road.

    3. Recent performances point towards a draw or a victory for Deportes Tolima. Atletico Nacional has recorded 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their last 5 home matches. Meanwhile, Deportes Tolima has secured 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 away games. This suggests a potentially tough match for Atletico Nacional.

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    Bet on the exact result

    “Atletico Nacional 1-1 Deportes Tolima”

    1. Both Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima have a strong tendency towards draws, having drawn in 40% of their respective last 5 matches. This suggests some equality between these two teams which could result in a 1-1 scoreline.

    2. The goal scoring and conceding statistics for both teams are also telling: Atletico Nacional has scored 4 goals and conceded 4 goals at home, while Deportes Tolima has scored 7 goals and conceded 8 goals away. These stats suggest both teams are capable of scoring and conceding goals in their matches, further supporting the hypothesis of a 1-1 scoreline.

    3. The average goals scored and conceded per match consistently produce a number close to 1 for both teams (0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded for Atletico Nacional, and 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded for Deportes Tolima). This strengthens the idea that when these two teams meet, the match could end in a 1-1 scoreline.

    Game Analysis and Key Facts

    Team Form

    Atletico Nacional has won 2 of their last 5 home matches and scored 4 goals. Their average goals scored is 0.8 per match, indicating an offensive potential of 29%. They have also conceded 4 goals, with a defensive potential of 36%.

    Deportes Tolima, on the other hand, has won 2 of their last 5 away matches, with a total of 7 goals scored. Their average goals per match is 1.8, showing an offensive potential of 64%. They have conceded 8 goals, corresponding to a defensive potential of 29%.

    The data does not indicate any likelihood of success for either Atletico Nacional or Deportes Tolima winning. However, they suggest a high probability of fewer than 3.5 goals being scored in the match and both teams not scoring.

    Overall, the match seems uncertain with a tendency towards a low number of goals.

    The potential number of goals

    Over their last 5 home matches, Atletico Nacional has scored 4 times and conceded 4 goals, winning 40% of these matches. On average, the team has scored 0.8 goals per match and conceded 1 goal per match, showing a deficient offensive potential at 29% and a defensive potential at 36%.

    Deportes Tolima, in their last 5 away games, has scored 7 goals and conceded 8, also winning 40% of their matches. With an average of 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 goals conceded per match, Tolima presents a strong offensive potential at 64% and a decent defensive potential at 29%.

    Combining these pieces of information, it seems to suggest a game with few goals, supported by a 100% probability for under 3.5 goals and under 4.5 goals in the match. Additionally, there is a 100% chance of both teams not scoring.

    Previous matches show that Atletico Nacional struggles to score and win at home, while Deportes Tolima has demonstrated their ability to win and score on the road. However, the lack of data on win probabilities makes it difficult to predict a winner.

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    Our conclusions and predictions for this match

    In conclusion, this Primera A match between Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima appears to be a tight encounter, with a high likelihood of seeing fewer than 2.5 goals. Despite Deportes Tolima having a slightly stronger attacking potential, the team’s solid defense and the historical trend of low-scoring games between these two teams support this prediction.

    Both teams also have a high probability of scoring, due to their recent offensive and defensive performances. However, it’s difficult to say for certain who will come out on top, as both teams have a similar win rate in their last 5 matches.

    An interesting betting value lies in the match ending in a draw or Deportes Tolima winning. This is based on Deportes Tolima’s superior attacking displays, their solid defensive statistics, and the recent trend of Atletico Nacional’s home games resulting in draws or losses.

    As for the exact score, the most likely outcome would be a 1-1 result, considering both teams’ tendency to draw and their ability to both score and concede.

    Overall, the match looks to be a balanced affair with good chances for a low goal total and both teams scoring. A cautious and informed betting strategy would therefore be to bet on under 2.5 goals, both teams to score, and the match ending in a draw or Deportes Tolima winning.

    Detailed Game Statistics

    Odds & Predictions

    Game Result Prediction Atletico Nacional against Deportes Tolima on 28/04/2024

    1. Deportes Tolima has a higher average of goals scored per match compared to Atletico Nacional (1.8 vs 0.8), indicating a stronger offensive potential.
    2. Both teams have the same win rate (40%), but Deportes Tolima has scored more goals in the last 5 matches (7 goals compared to Atletico Nacional’s 4 goals), demonstrating a more effective offensive form.
    3. Defensive analysis: Deportes Tolima has a better defense than Atletico Nacional away from home (0.8 goals conceded on average vs 1 for Atletico). Therefore, Deportes Tolima’s defensive potential is superior.

    Result at the end of the game
    Bet option :Atletico Nacional to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Deportes Tolima to win the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico Nacional or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Deportes Tolima or Draw
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Number of goals in the game
    Bet option :+1.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :+2.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-3.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :-4.5 goals in the game
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: Yes
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Both teams to score: No
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Double Chance and Number of Goals
    Bet option :Atletico Nacional or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Deportes Tolima or Draw and +1.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Atletico Nacional or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Bet option :Deportes Tolima or Draw and -3.5 goals
    Probability of success :
    Odd :
    Live & Match Info

    Live Match: Get all the details about the Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima match!

    To not miss anything from the Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima match, Winflix offers you the opportunity to follow the lineups, actions, and statistics of this match on 28/04/2024 in the Primera A live. Lineups are usually available 30 minutes to 1 hour before kick-off.

    Team Lineups: Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima

    logo team a
    composition
    1Castillo
    20Castro
    23Arias
    3Aguirre
    77Angulo
    14Mejía
    5Duque
    18Ocampo
    10Ceppelini
    19Mantilla
    39Aristizábal
    Lineups Atletico Nacional
    logo team a
    composition
    35Volpi
    26Hurtado
    17Torres
    4Haydar
    24Angulo
    80Rovira
    15Nieto
    20Hernández
    18Pérez
    30Gil
    23Castro
    Lineups Deportes Tolima

    Match Highlights Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima on 28/04/2024

    Don't miss any highlights of the Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima match on 28/04/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot stadium.

    21'É. Ocampo
    picto
    35'J. Hernandez
    picto
    46'K. PérezL. Miranda
    picto
    46'J. NietoC. Trujillo
    picto
    46'B. GilC. Cortés
    picto
    51'J. Aguirre
    picto
    52'C. HaydarA. Angulo
    picto
    61'J. F. Aguirre Tabares
    picto
    64'J. AguirreB. Espinosa
    picto
    65'Jhon DuqueA. Álvarez
    picto
    70'Á. CastroL. Riascos
    picto
    71'J. CastroE. Torres
    picto
    80'D. MantillaA. Salazar
    picto
    80'Á. AnguloS. Velásquez
    picto
    82'L. Riascos
    picto
    84'A. Salazar
    picto
    86'J. Arias
    picto
    88'L. Miranda
    picto
    90'M. Torres
    picto

    Live Statistics for the match between Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima

    All statistics for the match between Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima will be displayed here once they are available live.

    logo team
    Atletico Nacional
    Deportes Tolima
    logo team
    Ball Possession
    57%
    43%
    Total Shots
    23
    9
    Shots on Goal
    10
    3
    Shots off Goal
    10
    3
    Corner Kicks
    9
    4
    Passing Accuracy
    89%
    85%
    Total Passes
    503
    392
    Successful Passes
    448
    335
    Fouls Committed
    11
    9
    Yellow Cards
    1
    3
    Red Cards
    0
    1
    Statistics & 1VS1 Prediction

    Prediction on 1X2: Form comparison Atletico Nacional against Deportes Tolima!

    logo team

    Form state of Atletico Nacional in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, the team Atletico Nacional has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that the team Atletico Nacional has a form rating of %.

    logo team

    Form state of Deportes Tolima in its last 5 matches

    %Teamform

    In its last 5 matches, Deportes Tolima has victories, draws, and defeats. If you're looking for a forecast for this match, consider that Deportes Tolima has a form rating of %.

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    Statistiken & Torprognosen

    Goal Prediction: In the match Atletico Nacional against Deportes Tolima!

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Atletico Nacional in the current season.

    logo team

    Goals scored by Atletico Nacional in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Atletico Nacional in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Atletico Nacional
    Atletico Nacional has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    logo team

    Average goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the current season

    logo team

    Goals scored by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Attacking potential

    Goal prediction for goals scored by Deportes Tolima
    Deportes Tolima has scored goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The attacking potential in offense is %.

    logo team

    Goals conceded by Deportes Tolima in the last 5 matches

    Goals per game
    %Defensive potential

    Goal prediction for goals conceded by Deportes Tolima
    Deportes Tolima has conceded goals in the last 5 matches, resulting in an average of goals per game. The defensive potential in defense is %.

    Conclusion: Which goal prediction?

    From a purely mathematical standpoint, based on the results of the last 5 football matches of Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima, we should have a total of goals in this match.

    Prognosis
    Total number of goals based on statistics About goals in the match
    The tool to use: Wingoal

    Compare Over/Under 2.5 for all matches of the day and filter by odds.

    Predict Exact Result

    Exact Result Predictions Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima: Probabilities for the outcome

    1. Atletico Nacional’s recent performances show a trend towards few goals scored and conceded. At home, they scored 4 goals and conceded 4 in their last 5 matches, indicating a potentially low-scoring game.

    2. Deportes Tolima, although having a slightly better offensive performance away from home with an average of 1.8 goals per match, has a solid defensive performance. They only conceded 0.8 goals per match in their last 5 away matches. This strong defense and a not very high goal average could also lead to fewer than 2.5 total goals during the match.

    3. Examining the recent matches of each team, the numbers indicate that matches between these two teams often produce fewer goals. Additionally, in the case where both teams have a 100% probability of not scoring, it reinforces the idea that this match could also end with under 2.5 goals.

    Exact Results
    %
    Odds
    Forecast Results

    Forecast results from winflix for Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima!

    The last 5 winning predictions für Atletico Nacional

    logo team a

    The last 5 winning predictions für Deportes Tolima

    logo team a
    Frequently Asked Questions

    How do I find the best forecast for Atletico Nacional Deportes Tolima?

    Finding a forecast for the Atletico Nacional Deportes Tolima match can be complicated. But with all the statistics and key figures offered by Winflix, everything becomes much more logical. Winflix is a collection of tools and experts that provide you with many exclusive services to win your sports bets.

    The key elements to consider for a successful football forecast of Atletico Nacional Deportes Tolima on 28/04/2024 in Estadio Atanasio Girardot are the team's past performance in the Primera A, current form, and recent results. Also, the teams' statistics like goals scored and conceded by Atletico Nacional at home and Deportes Tolima away, shots on target, and possession can provide valuable insights into the final outcome of this football match on 28/04/2024.

    To evaluate the current form of Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima on 28/04/2024, you should examine their recent results in the Primera A, individual performances of key players, and the tactics used. Teams that have achieved multiple consecutive wins typically have better form than those who have lost several games in a row. Since the game is taking place at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Atletico Nacional could have a slight home advantage in this football match.

    Statistics are important to find the best football forecast because they can provide valuable information about the strength of Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima, their playing style, and overall performance. A crucial statistic is the home win rate of Atletico Nacional and the away win rate of Deportes Tolima, as well as the same consideration for losses. Also, statistics of the teams' direct encounters should be taken into account for this exciting game on 28/04/2024!

    The individual performances of players from Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima can be used to assess the likelihood of a team's victory. Key players who have recently scored goals or are in optimal physical condition may indicate that their team has a good chance of winning this football match on 28/04/2024 at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.

    To create a good football forecast and not overlook anything, it's important to combine all these different criteria. By analyzing the past performance of Atletico Nacional and Deportes Tolima, their current form, recent results, team statistics, and individual player performances, you can create a comprehensive analysis that helps determine the probabilities of a win by Atletico Nacional or Deportes Tolima on 28/04/2024.

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    Alex - Winflix

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