Tipps Atletico Nacional Junior Primera A 27/09/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico Nacional wins the match.

1. Home performances of Atletico Nacional: With a victory in 60% of cases in their last 5 home matches, Atletico Nacional’s performances are strong, giving them an extra chance to win at home against Junior Barranquilla.

2. Poor away performances of Junior Barranquilla: In their last 5 away matches, Junior Barranquilla has only won once, which is 20% of the time. This poor trend in away wins contributes to the probability of Atletico Nacional winning.

3. Offensive and defensive potential: Statistics show that Atletico Nacional has an average of 1.8 goals scored per home match (offensive potential of 64%) and only 0.8 goals conceded (defensive potential of 29%), compared to Barranquilla’s 1 goal scored and 1.6 goals conceded per match (offensive potential of 36% and defensive potential of 57%). These numbers indicate that Atletico Nacional has both a defensive and offensive advantage in this match.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5

1. Defensive performances: Both teams have shown good defensive performance in their previous matches. Atletico Nacional has only conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match at home, while Junior Barranquilla has an even lower average of 1 goal per match away.

2. Offensive performances: In terms of offensive performances, both teams also have modest statistics. Atletico Nacional scores an average of 1.8 goals per match at home, and Junior Barranquilla only scores 1 goal per match away. So, combining the two average scores, we only get an average of 2.8 goals per match, which is quite close to the 2.5 goals line.

3. Historical results: Looking more closely at the previous home matches of Atletico Nacional and away matches of Junior Barranquilla, we can see that 4 out of 5 matches for Atletico Nacional have resulted in fewer than 2.5 goals, and 5 out of 5 matches for Junior Barranquilla have also resulted in fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Robust defensive performances: Junior Barranquilla has conceded only one goal in their last 5 away matches, showcasing a very solid defensive performance that could prevent Atletico Nacional from scoring.

2. Lack of offensive potential: In their last 5 away matches, Junior Barranquilla has scored only one goal, indicating a lack of offensive potential and suggesting that it is unlikely they will score against Atletico Nacional.

3. Recent trend: Drawing from Junior Barranquilla’s recent away matches, it is common for either only the home team to score goals or for the match to end goalless. This reinforces the idea of “Both teams to score: No.”

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Atletico Nacional wins the match”

Bet on the exact result

Atletico Nacional 2-0 Junior Barranquilla

1. Atletico Nacional scores an average of 1.8 goals per home match, which is higher than the number of goals scored on average by Junior Barranquilla in their away matches. This suggests a superior ability for Atletico Nacional to score in this match.

2. Junior Barranquilla has a poor away performance with only a 20% win rate and an average of 1 goal scored per match. In comparison, Atletico Nacional has a 60% home win rate, indicating a higher probability of victory for Atletico Nacional.

3. According to statistics, it is highly likely that both teams will not score (100% success probability), supporting the prediction of a match ending without Junior Barranquilla scoring.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico Nacional, at home, shows a consistent form with 60% of wins in the last 5 matches. They have an offensive profile with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, against 0.8 conceded.

Junior Barranquilla, away, performs less well with only 20% of wins. They have an average of just one goal scored per match, but they concede on average 1.6 goals.

It is worth noting that Atletico Nacional has scored in every home match, while Junior Barranquilla has struggled more to score away.

It is also interesting to note the defensive efficiency of both teams. Atletico Nacional has only conceded 1 goal per match at home, whereas Junior Barranquilla has let through 1.6 when playing away.

Although there are no odds mentioned for the match outcome, it appears that Atletico Nacional has an advantage. However, Junior Barranquilla should not be underestimated, as they have shown solid defensive potential.

Prediction: we could expect a match with fewer than 4.5 goals based on the past performances of both teams.

The potential number of goals

Atletico Nacional has a strong home form. They have won 60% of their matches and scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches. However, their defense seems fragile as they have conceded 9 goals.

On the other hand, Junior Barranquilla struggles more away from home. They have only won 20% of their matches and scored just 1 goal in 5 matches. Yet, their defense is solid having conceded only 1 goal.

Atletico Nacional has an offensive potential of 64% and a defensive potential of 29%, indicating they are more effective in attack than defense.

Conversely, Junior Barranquilla has an offensive potential of 36% and a defensive potential of 57%, showing a weaker attack but a stronger defense.

Recent home matches for Atletico Nacional suggest they score frequently, while Junior Barranquilla struggles to score away.

According to predictions, there is a 100% chance that less than 3.5 goals will be scored in the match and that both teams will not score.

Based on these data, a low-scoring game seems likely with Junior Barranquilla’s solid defensive performance and weak offensive display in their away matches. Atletico Nacional is more likely to be the team to score.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, Atletico Nacional appears to be favored to win this match based on their recent home performances and Junior Barranquilla’s lackluster away form. Their superior offensive and defensive displays give Atletico Nacional a significant edge in this match.

However, a closely contested match can be expected. Barranquilla’s solid defensive potential might prevent a goal fest. Predicting a match with under 2.5 goals seems appropriate, with a recommendation to consider the “both teams to score: no” option.

Regarding the exact score, a 2-0 victory for Atletico Nacional seems the most likely scenario given the previously mentioned statistics. It is important to note that stats do not guarantee match outcomes, and betting should be done responsibly.

Overall, this match is likely to provide a value bet on an Atletico Nacional win, given their superior performances and Junior Barranquilla’s current form.