Tipps Atletico Paranaense Atletico-MG Serie A 16/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico PR or draw.

1. Atletico PR has a better defensive potential at home compared to Atletico MG away. They concede an average of 1.2 goals per match compared to 2 goals for Atletico MG, providing more defensive stability for Atletico PR.

2. Although both teams have a similar win rate, Atletico PR has a higher percentage of draws at home than Atletico MG away. Atletico PR has drawn in 40% of cases compared to 20% for Atletico MG, increasing the likelihood of a draw or a win for Atletico PR.

3. The number of goals scored by Atletico PR at home exceeds the number of goals scored by Atletico MG away, indicating better offensive performance by Atletico PR at home. On average, Atletico PR scores 1.6 goals at home while Atletico MG scores around 1.2 away.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“Under 2.5”

1. The home performance of Atletico PR in their last 5 matches shows a weak offensive ability with only 7 goals scored. Despite a 57% offensive potential, the team has only won 20% of their matches, suggesting they may struggle to score more than 2 goals.

2. Atletico MG’s away performance also indicates a lack of offensive prowess with only 7 goals in their last 5 matches. They have lost in 40% of cases and have scored an average of just 1.2 goals per match, also indicating a low potential to score more than 2 goals.

3. The defensive statistics of both teams also suggest a likely probability of less than 2.5 goals. Atletico PR concedes an average of 1.2 goals at home, while Atletico MG concedes an average of 2 goals away. This hints at a low-scoring match, with less than 2.5 goals being a probable outcome.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. The past performances of both teams indicate that they regularly score goals, with an average of 1.6 goals per match for Atletico PR at home and 1.2 goals per match for Atletico MG away.
2. In addition to being able to score, both teams have also conceded goals in their previous matches, so the score is not often 0-0 for either team. Atletico PR concedes an average of 1.2 goals per match at home while Atletico MG concedes an average of 2 goals away.
3. The latest matches of both teams show that they have both been involved in matches where both teams scored. Examples: Atletico PR 1 – 3 Bahia BA, Atletico PR 1 – 2 Sao Paulo SP, Juventude 1 – 1 Atletico MG, Vitoria 4 – 2 Atletico MG.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw

Bet on the exact result

Atletico PR 1-1 Atletico MG

1. Atletico PR’s home performance shows that in their last 5 matches, they have scored an average of 1.6 goals per game and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game. This indicates a tendency to have close scores in their home matches.

2. Atletico MG, in their last 5 away matches, have scored an average of 1.2 goals per game and conceded an average of 2 goals per game. This suggests that they tend to concede more goals than they score when playing away.

3. Analyzing the last 5 matches of each team shows a trend towards balanced scores. For example, Atletico PR had two 1-1 draws at home, and Atletico MG also had a 1-1 draw away. This could indicate a repetition of this pattern for the upcoming match.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico PR struggles at home, winning only 20% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 7 goals but conceded 8 – not a positive record. They average 1.6 goals scored per match, but concede 1.2.

Atletico MG, on the other hand, is slightly better away from home, with victories in 40% of their last 5 matches. They have also scored and conceded 7 and 8 goals respectively, averaging 1.2 goals scored per match, but with a weaker defense, conceding 2 goals per match.

However, none of the information suggests a clear probability of who will win. The goal probabilities indicate a match with less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals, with a 100% probability. Both teams not scoring also seems highly likely.

Looking at their recent matches: Atletico PR has lost twice, won once, and drawn twice at home. Atletico MG has won twice, lost twice, and drawn once away.

The numbers suggest a close match, but a low scoreline is probable. Both teams have scored and conceded an equal number of goals in their respective last 5 matches, indicating a very balanced match. Therefore, it is wise to expect a match where less than 3.5 and 4.5 goals will be scored, with a high probability of both teams not scoring.

The potential number of goals

Atletico PR has only won 20% of their last 5 home matches and scores an average of 1.6 goals per game. They have conceded more goals than they have scored, with a defensive potential of 43%.

On the other hand, Atletico MG, in their recent away matches, has a better performance with a 40% win rate. However, they have also conceded more goals than they have scored. Their offensive potential is lower than Atletico PR, at 43%. Their defense is struggling, with a 71% rate.

In this context, one might think that neither team clearly dominates. But the match could have fewer goals than expected. In fact, the data suggests a 100% probability for less than 3.5 goals in the match, and even 100% for fewer than 4.5 goals.

Even more surprisingly, there is a 100% probability that both teams will not score. This suggests a very closed match where defense could prevail over offense.

In conclusion, this match could end with few goals and potentially result in a draw given the recent performances of these two teams.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the analysis of past and recent performances of Atletico PR and Atletico MG suggests a very tight match with potentially few goals. The strengths of both teams appear to be evenly matched, without a clear advantage for either side. The safest bet seems to be under 2.5 goals, with a significant probability of a draw. Additionally, the likelihood of both teams scoring during the match seems high. Finally, a precise score of 1-1 could be an interesting bet given the observed trends in previous matches between these two teams. However, as with any sports bet, these predictions are subject to the randomness of football matches and should be approached with caution.