Tipps Atletico Paranaense Bahia Serie A 11/07/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Athletico PR wins the match.

1. The statistics show that Atletico PR, when playing at home, has a higher probability of winning (43.58% probability) or drawing (31.28% probability). This gives a combined probability of 74.86% for the prediction “Draw or Atletico PR wins the match”.

2. In comparison, the statistics for Bahia BA away show that it is less likely to win the match (25.14% probability). Additionally, the offensive potential of Bahia BA is lower than that of Atletico PR.

3. Examining past results, although Atletico PR has had some losses, they have also managed to draw or win against top teams like Flamengo and Corinthians SP. On the other hand, Bahia BA has lost to Sao Paulo SP and Flamengo, which are teams of similar level to Atletico PR.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. The recent form of Bahia BA away from home shows a strong attack, averaging 2 goals scored per match, which can significantly contribute to a total score of over 2.5 goals.

2. Atletico PR has displayed defensive weaknesses at home, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match. Against Bahia BA’s offense, it is likely that multiple goals will be scored.

3. Both teams have a tendency towards draws, indicating that they are often capable of scoring goals against each other. This fact strengthens the likelihood of a total number of goals exceeding 2.5.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The statistics from the last matches show that both teams have scored and conceded a significant number of goals. Atletico PR has scored 6 goals and conceded 7 goals, while Bahia BA has scored 7 goals and also conceded 7 goals.

2. The offensive and defensive potential of both teams demonstrates that they have the ability to score goals. Atletico PR has an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 43%, while Bahia BA has an offensive potential of 71% and a defensive potential of 50%.

3. The data from the last matches of both teams show that they have often scored in their encounters. Both teams have managed to score goals in their respective last matches, indicating that they are both capable of scoring in their next encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw – 31.28% success probability: 3.40

Bet on the exact result

Atletico PR 1-1 Bahia BA

1. Both teams have very similar historical performances with 40% of their matches ending in a draw in their last 5 games. Specifically, Atletico PR has had 3 draws at home, while Bahia BA has also had 3 draws away.

2. Both teams have relatively equal offensive and defensive potentials. Atletico PR has an average of 0.8 goals scored per home game, while Bahia BA has scored an average of 2 goals per away game. Furthermore, their defensive abilities are both close to average with Atletico PR conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match and Bahia BA 1.4.

3. The odds of the ‘both teams to score’ option have a success probability of 51.96%, indicating that bookmakers predict that each team has the potential to score, hence, the prediction of 1-1 is quite plausible. Additionally, there is about a 71.51% chance that the match will end with over 1.5 goals, meaning that a 1-1 scoreline is a likely outcome.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico PR has not been in great form at home with only 20% of wins and 40% of draws in their last 5 matches. Their defense is lacking as they concede an average of 1.2 goals per match. With an average of 0.8 goals scored, their attack is also struggling.

Bahia BA does not perform much better away from home with stats almost similar to Atletico PR’s. They do score more, with an average of 2 goals per match, but also concede 1.4 goals per game.

The probabilities suggest an advantage for Atletico PR with a 43.58% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw is 31.28%, while Bahia BA has a 25.14% chance of victory.

Recent encounters between the two teams indicate a high possibility of goals. The probability of there being more than 1.5 goals in the match is 71.51%. The likelihood of both teams scoring is also high, at 51.96%.

Statistics support the idea of a fairly close match, with a slight edge for Atletico PR. However, the prediction is not certain. Football is unpredictable, and anything can happen in the game.

The potential number of goals

Atletico PR shows an average performance at home with a 20% win rate and 40% draw rate. They have an offensive potential of 29%, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match, and a defensive potential of 43%, conceding an average of 1.2 goals. They have scored 6 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 home matches.

Bahia BA, when playing away, also wins 20% of the time and draws 40% of the time. They have an offensive potential of 71%, with an average of 2 goals per match, and a defensive potential of 50%, conceding an average of 1.4 goals. They have scored 7 goals and conceded 7 in their last 5 away matches.

The probabilities suggest a slightly higher chance for Atletico PR to win the match at 43.58%, while Bahia BA has a probability of 25.14%. The probability of a draw is 31.28%, and the likelihood of there being over 1.5 goals is 71.51%. Both teams to score has a probability of 51.96%.

Given these factors, the match could be closely contested with a slight edge for Atletico PR. Both teams seem capable of scoring at least one goal. An interesting bet could be a potential draw or an Atletico PR win with odds of 1.30. However, despite their lower chance of victory, do not underestimate Bahia BA who has shown good offensive performance away from home.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, based on statistical analysis and past performances of both teams, it is likely that this match will result in a draw or a victory for Atletico PR. Both teams scoring could also be expected, and the total score could exceed 2.5 goals.

Considering the odds offered, a bet on a draw could provide good value, given the frequency of draws in the recent meetings between the two teams. Additionally, betting on the exact score could be of interest given the frequency of this result in the recent matches of both clubs.

However, despite the probabilities and statistics leaning towards these outcomes, it is important to remember that football is an unpredictable sport, with each match being unique with its own dynamics. Sports betting should be approached with caution, acknowledging that there is always an element of randomness and surprises in the world of sports betting. Even though Atletico PR may have a slight advantage, Bahia BA has a chance and could spring a surprise.