Tipps Atletico Paranaense Flamengo Serie A 16/06/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Flamengo wins the match

1. Flamengo has shown a significant offensive performance in their recent away matches with an average of 3.2 goals per game, far surpassing Atletico PR’s home record of 1.6 goals per game.
2. Flamengo’s defense is also very solid away from home, conceding an average of only 0.2 goals per game, compared to Atletico PR’s 1 goal conceded at home.
3. The forecast gives Flamengo a 42.71% probability of winning the match, much higher than Atletico PR’s 25.52%. The odds also depict Flamengo as the favorite.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. The offensive potential of Flamengo in their away matches is extremely high (114%), with an average of 3.2 goals scored per game. This suggests a strong likelihood that they will significantly contribute to the total goals in the match.

2. In their last two matches, Atletico PR has also shown good scoring form at home with a total of 5 goals scored, indicating that they also have the potential to add to the overall goal tally in the match.

3. Taking into account the goals conceded by both teams in their respective matches, both at home and away, the average goals conceded also suggests that at least one goal could be conceded on each side, thereby increasing the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: Yes

1. Recent performance statistics show that both teams have a tendency to score and concede goals. Atletico PR has scored 7 goals and conceded 7 goals in their last 5 home matches, while Flamengo has scored 9 goals and conceded 11 goals in their last 5 away matches.

2. The offensive potential of both teams is high. Atletico PR averages 1.6 goals per home match, and Flamengo averages 3.2 goals per away match, indicating that both teams have the potential to score during the match.

3. The recent match history of both teams shows that they have been scoring and conceding goals. In Atletico PR’s last 5 home matches, there have been goals from both sides in 2 matches. Similarly, in Flamengo’s last 5 away matches, there have been goals from both sides in 3 matches.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Atletico PR 1-2 Flamengo

1. The prediction seems logical based on the averages of goals scored and conceded by Atletico PR and Flamengo in their last 5 matches played at home and away respectively. Atletico PR has an average of 1.6 goals scored per match while Flamengo has an average of 3.2 goals scored. Therefore, a scoreline of 1-2 seems plausible.

2. Flamengo has a significantly higher offensive potential compared to Atletico PR (114% versus 57%). Furthermore, Atletico PR has a relatively weak defensive potential of 36%, which suggests that Flamengo could score more goals.

3. The provided odds give a higher probability for a Flamengo win (42.71%) compared to an Atletico PR win (25.52%) and a draw (31.77%). Moreover, the probability of Flamengo winning or a draw occurring is 74.48%, which is quite high. Therefore, a 1-2 scoreline in favor of Flamengo aligns well with these probabilities.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Atletico PR at home shows stability, with a 60% win rate and a balance between goals scored and conceded of 7. Flamengo, away from home, wins less (40%) and concedes more goals (11 against 9 scored).

Atletico PR stands out for its offensive potential at home of 57% and a defensive one of 36%. Flamengo, when traveling, displays an impressive offensive potential of 114% but a weakened defense with 7%.

The prediction favors Flamengo with a 42.71% probability of success. A draw or a Flamengo win rises to a 74.48% chance of happening.

The match is expected to be high-scoring, with a 71.35% chance of seeing more than 1.5 goals and a 44.27% chance for more than 2.5 goals in this match.

Analysis of recent matches highlights a strong performance by Flamengo, especially against Vasco Da Gama RJ (6-1), while Atletico PR has suffered defeats against Sportivo Ameliano and Danubio despite some good victories against Vasco Da Gama RJ and Internacional RS.

Finally, the likelihood of both teams scoring is just slightly higher than them not scoring, with 50.52% against 49.48%.

The potential number of goals

In their last 5 home matches, Atletico PR has scored a total of 7 goals and also conceded 7. Offensively, Flamengo is stronger away, having scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, but conceding 11.

Based on average scores, Atletico PR scores 1.6 goals per match at home and concedes 1 goal on average. For Flamengo away, they score an average of 3.2 goals and concede only 0.2 goals, showing a solid defense.

In terms of victory, Atletico PR seems slightly disadvantaged with a 25.52% chance of winning the match according to betting odds, while Flamengo has a 42.71% chance of victory. The option of a draw or Flamengo win has a success probability of 74.48%, highlighting Flamengo’s offensive potential.

Regarding the number of goals, there is a 71.35% probability of having more than 1.5 goals in the match, and an 80.73% probability of having fewer than 3.5 goals. Both teams have an almost equal chance of scoring, with a slight advantage to both teams scoring (50.52%).

In conclusion, although Flamengo has suffered more losses, their recent offensive performance could just give them the edge in this match against Atletico PR.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on recent performances and trends, all statistics point towards a likely victory for Flamengo in this match. Indeed, Flamengo has an impressive away offensive strength, averaging 3.2 goals per game. Furthermore, their defense appears solid, conceding only 0.2 goals on average per away match.

On the other hand, although Atletico PR shows some stability at home, their defensive performance is lacking, with an average of one goal conceded per game.

The “over 2.5 goals in the match” betting option seems to offer an interesting value bet, considering Flamengo’s notable offensive potential and Atletico PR’s defensive trends. There is also a high likelihood that both teams will score.

In conclusion, although football often brings surprises and despite Atletico PR’s home performance, the odds seem to be in favor of Flamengo for this encounter. However, it is essential to stay updated on team news before placing a bet to account for variables such as injuries, suspensions, and tactical changes. Good luck with your bets!