Tipps Atletico San Luis Monterrey Liga MX 06/10/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Monterrey wins the match

1. Monterrey has a better away win rate: Monterrey has a success probability of 43.54% indicating a strong performance away from home. In comparison, Atlético San Luis has a home win probability of 28.57%. This higher win rate gives Monterrey an edge.

2. Monterrey has shown a stable defensive performance: Monterrey has conceded an average of 1 goal per game in their last 5 away matches, indicating a stable defensive performance, which is comparable to Atlético San Luis’ home record.

3. Monterrey has performed better in recent away matches: In Monterrey’s last 5 away matches, they have defeated teams like Santos Laguna, Puebla, and Necaxa, and drawn against Guadalajara and Tijuana, showing an excellent recent away performance.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

“More than 2.5 goals in the match”

1. Recent statistics show a trend of both teams scoring, as Atlético San Luis has scored 14 goals in their last five home matches, while Monterrey has scored 8 goals in their last five away matches. This goal-scoring potential could easily lead to a total of over 2.5 goals in the match.

2. Both teams have relatively weak defensive statistics. Atlético San Luis has conceded 17 goals in their last five home matches, while Monterrey has conceded 8 goals in their last five away matches. These defensive weaknesses could favor a high-scoring match.

3. The prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 58.5%, which is relatively high. Furthermore, the odds for this prediction are 1.67, indicating it is a popular choice among bettors. Bookmakers, basing their odds on statistics and form factors, therefore believe the probability of a match with over 2.5 goals is quite high.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The first argument comes from the offensive and defensive potential of both teams. Atlético San Luis has shown an offensive potential of 57% with an average of 1.6 goals per home match, while Monterrey has an offensive potential of 50% with an average of 1.4 goals per away match. Furthermore, both teams have a relatively weak defensive potential, conceding an average of 1 goal per match, whether at home for Atlético San Luis or away for Monterrey.

2. The second argument is based on the fact that both teams have shown a high level of performance in their recent matches. Atlético San Luis has recently scored multiple times in their home matches (3-1 against Santos Laguna and Cruz Azul, 2-1 against Atlas, 4-0 against Queretaro, 2-3 against CF Montreal). Similarly, Monterrey has also scored multiple times in their recent away matches (1-1 against Guadalajara, 0-2 against Santos Laguna, 2-2 against Tijuana, 1-2 against Puebla, 0-1 against Necaxa).

3. Finally, the third argument is based on the probabilities given for this prediction. The probability of success for the ‘Both teams to score’ option is 62.59% – a high proportion and therefore a reliable indicator for this bet. This indicates that both teams have a strong chance of scoring at least one goal each during the match, in line with their recent performances and statistics.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw or Atlético San Luis wins the match – 56.46% chance of success: 1.65

Bet on the exact result

Atlético San Luis 2-2 Monterrey This means that the match between Atlético San Luis and Monterrey ended in a 2-2 draw.

1. According to the statistics from the last 5 matches, Atlético San Luis shows a strong offense at home, averaging 1.6 goals per game, compared to Monterrey’s 1.4 goals away. This supports the argument for a potentially high score.

2. Both teams have displayed a tendency to concede goals in their respective matches, with Atlético San Luis averaging 1 goal conceded per home game, and Monterrey also conceding 1 goal on average in their away matches. This increases the likelihood of a draw with goals on both sides.

3. Looking at the odds, the draw has a success probability of 27.89%. Additionally, the “Both Teams to Score” market shows a probability of 62.59%. These two factors combined strengthen the case for a 2-2 draw.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

San Luis is coming in strong at home, winning 80% of their last 5 matches. Monterrey, on the other hand, shines away with a 60% victory rate.

San Luis is scoring heavily with 14 goals in 5 matches, despite conceding 17 goals. Monterrey, more balanced, has 8 goals scored and conceded.

In terms of probabilities, Monterrey seems to be the favorite with a 43.54% chance of winning. A draw is less likely at 27.89%. The most likely scenario is either Monterrey wins or there’s a draw at 71.43%.

A goal spree also seems probable: a 58.5% chance of seeing more than 2.5 goals in the match. Each team has a strong chance of scoring – 62.59%.

Based on recent matches, San Luis may surprise: a 4-0 victory against Queretaro and a 3-1 win against Cruz Azul. Monterrey is equally unpredictable away: a 1-1 draw against Guadalajara but a 2-0 win against Santos Laguna.

In summary, this match appears to be a balanced encounter but with a slight tilt in favor of Monterrey. Betting enthusiasts should expect goals to be scored.

The potential number of goals

Atlético San Luis, in their last 5 home matches, have shown strength with a win in 80% of the games. However, they have conceded more goals (17) than they have scored (14).

Monterrey, in their last 5 away matches, have won 60% of the time. They have scored and conceded the same number of goals (8).

Atlético San Luis has an attacking potential of 57% and a defensive potential of 36% at home. Monterrey away has similar figures with 50% and 36% respectively.

The odds suggest that Monterrey is more likely to win the match with a probability of 43.54%. However, the probability of a draw or Atlético San Luis winning is greater at 56.46%.

Regarding goals, the most likely option is over 1.5 goals in the match, with a success probability of 78.91%.

Analysing the recent matches, Atlético San Luis has scored a lot when playing at home, while Monterrey is stable in defense away.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is 62.59%.

In conclusion, the match could be competitive, with good chances of seeing at least two goals. It’s up to you to decide your bet.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, considering the probabilities, statistics, and recent performances of both teams, the match between Atlético San Luis and Monterrey looks to be full of twists and turns, with a slight preference for Monterrey due to their higher success rate away from home. However, the offensive potential of Atlético San Luis at home should not be overlooked. Betting enthusiasts should expect a high-scoring match, with the prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” having a high likelihood of success. Furthermore, both teams have shown an ability to score in their recent games, making the option “Both teams to score” a promising choice. For those seeking a value bet, the wager “Draw or Atlético San Luis to win the match” could prove to be intriguing. Ultimately, while Monterrey appears to have a slight edge, the recent performances of both teams suggest a competitive and action-packed encounter.