Tipps Atletico San Luis Puebla Liga MX 03/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

“Atlético San Luis wins the match.”

1. Home Performance: Atlético San Luis has an excellent record in their last 5 home matches with a 100% win rate. This consistency at home could be a significant advantage.

2. Offensive Potential: Atlético San Luis has scored an average of 1.6 goals per match in their last 5 home games, indicating a relatively high offensive potential. Additionally, Puebla has conceded an average of 2.2 goals per away match, further supporting the idea that Atlético San Luis has good chances of scoring.

3. Probability Statistics: The probability of Atlético San Luis winning the match is 55.31%, which is significantly higher than Puebla’s (20.67%). This suggests that, statistically, Atlético San Luis is more likely to secure the victory.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match.

1. Puebla’s recent away performances show a weak offensive capability, with an average of 0.8 goals scored per match in their last 5 games. This suggests they may not contribute much to a total of over 2.5 goals.

2. Atlético San Luis, despite having a better average of goals scored at home, also has a 50% defensive potential, indicating they are likely to be involved in matches with less than 2.5 goals.

3. The odds for “under 2.5 goals in the match” are 2.35, which could be perceived as an indicator of market probabilities, suggesting that bookmakers, at least, perceive there to be a significant chance the match could have under 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams to score: No

1. Puebla’s away performance is weak, with only 20% of wins and a low offensive potential of 29%. Additionally, with an average of just 0.8 goals per game, Puebla is highly likely to struggle to score.

2. Atletico San Luis has shown a strong defense at home, conceding an average of 1.4 goals per game. Moreover, in their last 5 home games, Atletico San Luis did not concede any goals in two matches, reinforcing the argument that they are highly likely not to concede against Puebla.

3. In Puebla’s recent away matches, they failed to score in three out of five games. This indicates a lack of offensive efficiency, supporting the idea that both teams will not score in this match.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

“Less than 3.5 goals in the match”

Bet on the exact result

Atlético San Luis 2-1 Puebla

1. The recent home match history of Atlético San Luis shows a strong offensive performance with an average of 1.6 goals scored per game. Moreover, they have won all their last 5 home matches, which strengthens their probability of winning the game.
2. Puebla has a weak offensive potential when playing away, scoring an average of only 0.8 goals per game. Furthermore, they have only won once in their last 5 away matches, indicating their probability of winning is relatively low.
3. The probability of both teams scoring is 52.51%, and considering Atlético San Luis’s strong tendency to score at home and Puebla’s ability to score away (despite their overall poor performance), a 2-1 scoreline in favor of Atlético San Luis seems reasonable.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Atlético San Luis is strong at home with a 100% winning rate. They have scored as many goals as they have conceded, with 13 goals. While they are powerful offensively, averaging 1.6 goals per match, their defensive potential is only average at 50%.

Puebla struggles away from home with only a 20% winning rate. They have scored and conceded just 2 goals. They are not very productive in attack (0.8 goals per match), but their defense remains solid with a 79% defensive potential.

The odds favor Atlético San Luis with a 55.31% chance of winning. It could be an interesting bet given the odds of 1.70. Puebla seems to be in poorer form, with a 20.67% chance of winning and odds of 4.50.

An interesting bet could be “Over 1.5 goals” in the match, with a 79.89% probability.

The hypothesis that both teams will score seems likely (52.51%). The prediction for “Under 4.5 goals” also appears very safe (98.88%).

The potential number of goals

Atlético San Luis shines at home, with victories in 100% of their last 5 matches. They have scored 13 goals in these matches, averaging nearly 1.6 goals per game. However, their defense is lacking, having also conceded 13 goals.

Puebla struggles away, winning only in 20% of their last 5 matches. Their attack is weak with only 2 goals scored, averaging 0.8 goals per game. Their defense is stronger, having conceded only 2 goals.

The odds favor Atlético San Luis, giving them a 55.31% chance of winning. A draw is less likely at 24.02%, while Puebla has only a 20.67% chance of victory.

The match is likely to be lively with a 79.89% chance of more than 1.5 goals. There is a 57.54% chance of more than 2.5 goals in the match.

Based on these data, Atlético San Luis seems to have the advantage. However, uncertainty remains, as football can always bring surprises.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

Based on a detailed analysis of recent performance statistics of both teams, it is predictable that Atlético San Luis will have the edge in this match, thanks to their excellent home performances and strong offense. However, Puebla’s defensive solidity could hinder Atlético’s offensive performance, potentially making the match less goal-filled. The bet “Under 2.5 goals in the match” therefore seems like a reasonable choice.

Furthermore, a likely exact score of 2-1 in favor of Atlético San Luis can be considered given their recent performances. Regarding the possibility of both teams scoring, Puebla’s poor offensive showings away from home suggest it is unlikely they will score in this match.

Finally, an intriguing value bet would be “Under 3.5 goals in the match” considering both teams’ goal trends.

Nevertheless, even though Atlético San Luis has a higher probability of winning, it is important to remember that all bets come with risks, and it is crucial to bet responsibly.