Tipps Atletico Tucuman Sarmiento Junin Liga Profesional 04/11/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Atletico Tucuman wins the match.

1. Home performances of Atletico Tucuman: In their last 5 home matches, they won 60% of the time, showing some strength when playing at home.
2. Poor away performances of Sarmiento Junin: In their last 5 away matches, Sarmiento Junin has not won at all, indicating a significant weakness in away games.
3. Probability of success: Based on the given probabilities, Atletico Tucuman has a 50.92% chance of winning the match, which is significantly higher than Sarmiento Junin who only has a 16.56% chance.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Under 2.5 goals in the match

1. Low offensive potential: In their last 5 matches, both teams have averaged 0.8 goals per match, indicating a low offensive efficiency.

2. Good defensive potential: Atletico Tucuman and Sarmiento Junin have shown a good defensive potential in their previous matches, conceding an average of only 1.6 and 1 goals per match respectively.

3. Match history: Based on the previous matches of both teams, the majority of games have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: No

1. Atletico Tucuman has shown a strong defensive potential at home, conceding only 1.6 goals on average per match in their last 5 games, while Sarmiento Junin has displayed a weak offensive efficiency away from home, scoring only 0.8 goals on average per match in their last 5 away games.
2. The statistics suggest a 60.74% chance of both teams not scoring, which is higher than the probability of both teams scoring (39.26%).
3. Recent away match history of Sarmiento Junin indicates a tendency towards low-scoring games, with 4 out of 5 matches where the team either scored only one goal or failed to score at all. This could signal a struggle to find the back of the net in away fixtures.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Less than 1.5 goals in the match: 2.50

Bet on the exact result

Atletico Tucuman 1-1 Sarmiento Junin

1. Recent statistics show that Atletico Tucuman has drawn at home in 40% of cases, while Sarmiento Junin has drawn in 60% of their away matches. This high percentage of draws for both teams makes a 1-1 score likely.
2. In their recent matches, Atletico Tucuman and Sarmiento Junin have an average of 0.8 goals scored per match each, indicating that both teams are capable of scoring at least one goal.
3. The away match history of Sarmiento Junin shows a worrying tendency to concede at least one goal per match. Similarly, Atletico Tucuman has conceded at least one goal per match in their recent home games, making a draw with at least one goal for each team likely.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

The Atletico Tucuman is strong at home, with a 60% win rate and recently scored at least 7 goals. Their offensive potential of 29% and defensive potential of 57% show a stable team despite conceding an average of 1.6 goals per match.

Sarmiento Junin struggles to win away from home, with a 0% win rate in the last 5 away games. The 4 goals scored and conceded indicate a defensive team with higher defensive potential (36% vs. 29%).

The probability of Atletico Tucuman winning is 50.92%, giving them an advantage in this match. The draw or Atletico’s victory has a 83.44% chance, providing a good opportunity for a safe bet.

The match is likely to be low-scoring, with a 59.51% probability of over 1.5 goals and only 34.36% for over 2.5 goals. Both teams to score is low at 39.26%.

Therefore, my advice would be to bet on a win for Atletico or a draw, with under 2.5 goals.

The potential number of goals

Atletico Tucuman, at home, has an impressive performance record with a 60% win rate. However, their record is not flawless, having conceded as many goals as they have scored, totaling 7 goals. Sarmiento Junin, on the other hand, struggles away from home with no wins, but an encouraging 60% draw rate.

In terms of offensive performance, both teams have an identical average of 0.8 goals per match. However, Sarmiento Junin shows better defense with an average of 1 goal conceded per match compared to Atletico Tucuman’s average of 1.6 goals conceded.

Sarmiento Junin’s defensive abilities seem insufficient to win the match, with a 16.56% probability of winning. Atletico Tucuman is more likely to win with a 50.92% probability of victory.

The prediction of “Under 4.5 goals in the match” seems safe with an impressive success probability of 119.02%. Furthermore, the probability of both teams scoring is relatively low, at 39.26%.

Recent matches confirm these predictions. Atletico Tucuman has only lost twice and has never failed to score. Sarmiento Junin, on the other hand, has not won any of their away matches and frequently concedes goals.

In conclusion, it would be a good idea to bet on a match with under 4.5 goals and a victory for Atletico Tucuman.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In summary, our analysis of this match between Atletico Tucuman and Sarmiento Junin clearly leans towards a victory or a draw in favor of Atletico Tucuman, given their strong home performance and Sarmiento Junin’s struggle away from home. With a win rate of 50.92% for Atletico Tucuman and a stable offensive and defensive potential, the odds are definitely in their favor.

However, the match is expected to be low-scoring. Both teams have relatively low offensive scores, which is reflected in our forecast of less than 2.5 goals for the match. The match history and recent team performances also support this prediction.

Finally, the probability of both teams scoring is quite low, which is consistent with their observed offensive and defensive performances lately.

As for higher value bets, a bet on less than 1.5 goals seems to offer a good opportunity, given both teams’ consistent trend towards low scores.

In conclusion, it will likely be a tight match with few goals, with a preference for an Atletico Tucuman victory or draw. A safe bet could focus on a home win (or draw) with less than 2.5 goals in this encounter. For bettors seeking more risk, a bet on less than 1.5 goals could be considered.