Tipps Austin Sporting Kansas City Major League Soccer 19/05/2024

Prediction 1X2 : Which team to bet on?

Draw or Austin wins the match.

1. Austin has a solid home performance with a 44.92% probability of winning, winning 60% of the time in their last 5 home matches, with an offensive potential of 29% and a defensive potential of 21%, demonstrating an overall dominance in terms of gameplay.

2. Sporting KC has a variable performance away from home with only a 40% win rate in their last 5 away matches and a slightly higher tendency to concede goals with an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match, indicating a defensive weakness that can be exploited by Austin.

3. The probability of a draw or an Austin win is 72.19%, which is significantly higher than the other options. Additionally, the historical record of both teams shows that Austin has won or drawn in the majority of their recent home matches while Sporting KC has struggled to maintain a consistent performance away from home.

Over/Under 2,5: Which bet ?

Over 2.5 goals in the match

1. Based on the offensive and defensive statistics of the teams, an average of over 2.5 goals per match is possible. Austin has an offensive potential of 29%, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match, and a defensive potential of 21%, conceding an average of 0.6 goals per match. On the other hand, Sporting KC has an offensive potential of 50%, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match, and a defensive potential of 64%, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match.

2. Previous match statistics also suggest that over 2.5 goals will be scored. In Austin’s recent home matches, we see scores like Austin 2 – 0 LA Galaxy, Austin 4 – 3 SJ Earthquakes, Austin 2 – 1 Dallas, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. Similarly, in Sporting KC’s recent away matches, there are scores like Minnesota United FC 2 – 1 Sporting KC, Toronto 1 – 3 Sporting KC, Union Omaha 1 – 1 Sporting KC.

3. The odds also provide a strong argument. The prediction of “Over 2.5 goals in the match” has a success probability of 59.89% with odds of 1.72, meaning there is a high chance that this scenario will occur according to bookmakers.

BTTS: Will both teams score ?

Both teams score: Yes

1. The offensive potential at home for Austin and away for Sporting KC: Based on statistics, Austin has shown a strong offensive performance at home, scoring an average of 0.8 goals per match. On the other hand, Sporting KC has also been effective offensively on the road, with an average of 1.4 goals scored per match.

2. The defensive performances of both teams: Austin has conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match at home, while Sporting KC has an average of 1.8 goals conceded per match in their last 5 away games. These statistics show that both teams tend to concede goals, increasing the likelihood of both teams scoring in the match.

3. The recent matches of both teams: Austin has managed to score in every match in their last five home games. Similarly, Sporting KC has scored in four of their last five away matches. This suggests that it is likely for both teams to score in this encounter.

Which bet offers an interesting value bet ?

Draw.

Bet on the exact result

Austin 2-1 Sporting KC

1. On one hand, Austin has a good home performance, winning in 60% of cases. Furthermore, in three of their last five home matches, Austin has scored exactly two goals, suggesting a solid and consistent offensive ability when playing at home.

2. On the other hand, Sporting KC has shown some vulnerability in defense in their away matches, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per game. This trend suggests that they could likely concede two goals against a team like Austin which has a strong home offensive.

3. Finally, although Sporting KC has a relatively weak away performance with only a 40% win rate, they have managed to score in the majority of their away matches. Therefore, it seems plausible that they will score at least one goal against Austin, hence the score prediction of 2-1 in favor of Austin.

Game Analysis and Key Facts

Team Form

Austin is in good form at home, winning 60% of their matches and scoring an average of 0.8 goals per game. However, their defense needs strengthening, having conceded 14 goals in 5 matches.

Sporting KC, on the other hand, is less successful away from home, only winning 40% of their matches. They are more consistent in scoring and conceding, with averages of 1.4 and 1.8 goals per game respectively.

Looking at the success rate, Austin has a higher probability of winning the match at 44.92%. The risk of a draw is at 27.27%.

Sporting KC has a higher offensive potential at 50% compared to Austin’s 29%, while Austin has a better defense at 21% against Sporting KC’s 64%.

Prediction: The statistics suggest that the match could favor Austin, but Sporting KC’s performance should not be underestimated. A safer bet would be towards a match with over 1.5 goals (76.47% probability).

Recently, Austin has secured home wins against LA Galaxy, SJ Earthquakes, and Dallas. Sporting KC, playing away, has had draws against Union Omaha and Los Angeles, and a win against Toronto.

The potential number of goals

Austin has a strong home record with a 60% win rate. However, their defense is shaky, conceding 14 goals in 5 matches. On the other hand, their attack is effective with 12 goals scored.

Sporting KC, when playing away, has a mixed record with a 40% win rate and 20% draws. Their defense is stable, having conceded 6 goals and scored 6 goals.

Austin has a 29% home offensive potential compared to Sporting KC’s 50% away offensive potential. Similarly, in defense, Austin is less efficient with 21% compared to Sporting KC’s 64%.

According to the probabilities, Austin has a 44.92% chance of winning, and the match has a 76.47% chance of having over 1.5 goals. Furthermore, there is a 58.82% chance of both teams scoring.

Analyzing their recent matches, Austin tends to be involved in high-scoring games, while Sporting KC plays more balanced matches with tight scores.

This suggests a relatively high-scoring game with evenly balanced chances of victory for each side. The highest probability is for Austin to win, followed by a draw, and then Sporting KC to win. Therefore, a bet on an Austin victory with at least 2 goals in the match seems like a reasonable choice.

Our conclusions and predictions for this match

In conclusion, the match between Austin and Sporting KC promises to be full of action and twists. Both teams have their own strengths and weaknesses, and it will be interesting to see how they perform on the field.

Based on statistics, Austin seems to have the upper hand with a strong home performance and a 44.92% probability of winning. However, Sporting KC should not be underestimated, as they have shown a strong offensive ability in their away games.

From a betting perspective, the safest choice would be to bet on a match with over 1.5 goals given both teams’ tendencies to score and concede. A draw also offers an interesting value bet with odds of 3.75.

As for the exact score, a plausible prediction is Austin 2 – 1 Sporting KC, considering Austin’s offensive potential at home and Sporting KC’s weaker defense away.

For bettors, the match promises to be intense and offers several interesting opportunities. However, as always in betting, it is important to bet responsibly and never wager more than you can afford to lose.